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Manly W. vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 88-81
14-13 20-27 23-27 31-14
Position#8
Record7-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#9
Record7-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.3
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Manly W. v Newcastle Falcons
28 Jun 2025
MANL88
NEWC81
22 Jun 2024
MANL87
NEWC75
29 May 2022
MANL62
NEWC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manly W. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A26/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A10/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H17/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H18/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A24/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H31/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
74-108
74
108
-34
H01/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
90-102
90
102
-12
H14/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
126-119 OT
126
119
+7
A21/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
16-16
27-28
21-23
31-17
16-15
28-18
23-23
14-20
13-22
23-20
15-18
30-27
27-19
28-21
19-24
22-18
25-17
19-24
25-25
21-24
25-14
24-21
16-19
22-15
17-26
12-20
29-21
22-25
11-31
19-33
22-19
29-32
18-22
18-24
25-24
32-34
20-18
27-24
13-16
180.2Avg total
89.5Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.086.7171.7-1.750%
Season at home (7)88.185.9174.0+2.357%
Season away (7)81.987.6169.4-5.743%
Last 10 (10)89.590.7180.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)91.297.8189.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.498.8177.2-20.40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.383.8172.1+4.667%
vs Weaker (16)87.177.3164.4+9.869%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#12
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A21/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
98-63
98
63
+35
A22/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-8
27-13
12-22
24-18
25-30
17-18
13-21
19-34
16-23
24-16
16-15
19-15
20-17
16-23
20-22
21-18
13-32
26-19
31-16
24-20
14-13
29-23
30-22
20-11
19-22
19-19
17-10
23-17
21-29
14-13
20-27
25-17
22-25
13-31
11-25
24-21
22-18
27-15
18-15
31-15
161.1Avg total
82.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.679.3158.9+0.347%
Season at home (7)79.171.6150.7+7.671%
Season away (8)80.086.1166.1-6.125%
Last 10 (10)82.378.8161.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)83.877.6161.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.981.9155.8-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.479.2155.6-2.950%
vs Weaker (8)86.278.9165.1+7.462%
This opponent (Manly W.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
Manly W.Newcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A10/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H17/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H18/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A24/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H31/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H01/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H14/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A21/06
NBL1 East
86.3Avg total
42.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.985.3+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.541.086.5+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.442.784.1-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.586.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.852.089.8-14.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.040.083.0+3.044%-
vs Weaker (16)45.439.885.2+5.769%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#12
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A21/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/06
NBL1 East
81.2Avg total
40.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.180.5-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.441.278.6-3.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.542.982.4-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.781.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.681.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.643.480.0-6.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.041.279.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker (8)42.140.582.6+1.650%-
This opponent (Manly W.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Manly W. wins
4
Newcastle Falcons wins
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25AMaitland M.126-119 OT
14/06/25HCanberra90-102
01/06/25HIllawarra Hawks 274-108
31/05/25HHills Hornets80-82
24/05/25ACentral Coast Crusaders86-78
18/05/25HSutherland Sharks91-84
17/05/25HMaitland M.104-91
10/05/25ASydney Comets65-80
03/05/25HBankstown Bruins98-73
26/04/25AInner West Bulls81-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25APenrith P.98-63
21/06/25ANorths Bears70-102
14/06/25ABA CoE80-86
31/05/25HNorths Bears78-68
25/05/25AInner West Bulls93-69
24/05/25HBankstown Bruins94-87
17/05/25AHornsby S.77-80
11/05/25HCanberra75-69
10/05/25ASutherland Sharks74-103
03/05/25HMaitland M.84-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manly W.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game85.088.181.9
Allowed / game86.785.987.6
Point differential-1.7+2.3-5.7
Avg total171.7174.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%0%14%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game79.679.180.0
Allowed / game79.371.686.1
Point differential+0.3+7.6-6.1
Avg total158.9150.7166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney Comets1411379%80.172.6+7.5
2 Illawarra Hawks 21411379%89.682.5+7.1
3 BA CoE1814478%84.473.2+11.3
4 Canberra1511473%92.378.1+14.1
5 Sutherland Sharks149564%85.979.1+6.9
6 Norths Bears147750%75.977.4-1.6
7 Manly W.147750%85.086.7-1.7
8 Newcastle Falcons157847%79.679.3+0.3
9 Central Coast Crusaders157847%81.384.0-2.7
10 Maitland M.146843%90.586.1+4.4
11 Bankstown Bruins146843%83.387.1-3.9
12 Hills Hornets156940%77.380.2-2.9
13 Hornsby S.145936%80.688.6-8.0
14 Inner West Bulls1441029%83.487.6-4.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1431121%78.092.0-14.0
16 Penrith P.1631319%75.189.6-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manly W.1420233188
Newcastle Falcons1327271481
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