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Newcastle Falcons vs Manly W. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 68-66
21-14 20-21 6-17 21-14
Position#12
Record2-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#3
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game80.0
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Manly W.
12 May 2024
NEWC68
MANL66
18 Mar 2023
NEWC77
MANL41
25 Jun 2022
NEWC89
MANL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manly W. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A21/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A27/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
62-88
62
88
-26
H04/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
53-76
53
76
-23
H11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
29-15
17-17
25-17
18-24
13-29
14-36
26-14
7-29
28-25
24-22
13-33
12-19
18-22
10-27
25-17
8-23
16-14
20-10
16-20
19-22
22-11
17-18
23-10
26-19
12-21
10-16
21-21
19-21
17-16
23-11
21-17
16-24
12-38
17-13
17-13
13-21
8-19
17-14
15-22
149.8Avg total
70.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)67.878.5146.2-10.825%
Season at home (4)64.073.0137.0-9.025%
Season away (4)71.584.0155.5-12.525%
Last 10 (10)70.179.7149.8-9.630%
Last 5 (5)69.073.4142.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.587.7157.2-18.210%
vs Similar (9)74.672.3146.9+2.256%
vs Weaker (11)82.264.9147.1+17.391%
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
L
79-102
79
102
-23
A02/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H08/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A15/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H22/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H27/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H04/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A05/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
16-26
23-30
23-30
14-20
16-28
19-15
30-18
21-26
14-26
10-18
17-15
16-22
19-17
31-28
19-19
32-21
25-15
31-25
22-18
27-15
15-23
13-28
20-21
26-20
20-24
29-14
21-15
27-23
13-23
33-21
29-14
25-27
25-24
24-17
22-13
26-20
18-22
17-19
21-18
170.0Avg total
86.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.580.0173.5+13.583%
Season at home (3)102.777.7180.3+25.0100%
Season away (3)84.382.3166.7+2.067%
Last 10 (10)86.683.4170.0+3.250%
Last 5 (5)90.280.2170.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.888.8159.6-17.911%
vs Similar (6)78.075.5153.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.080.0172.0+12.080%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
Newcastle FalconsManly W.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
28-62
28
62
-34
H04/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H11/05
NBL1 East
75.9Avg total
33.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.576.7+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.033.572.5+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.581.0-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)33.042.975.9-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.475.2-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.344.577.8-11.220%-
vs Similar (9)38.933.672.4+5.378%-
vs Weaker (11)44.934.479.3+10.582%-
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H08/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A15/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H22/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H27/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A05/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/05
NBL1 East
85.0Avg total
41.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.843.180.9-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.845.984.7-7.121%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.677.5-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.885.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.288.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.944.078.9-9.111%-
vs Similar (6)40.039.579.5+0.583%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.243.890.0+2.440%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Newcastle Falcons wins
0
Manly W. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HBA CoE53-76
04/05/24HBankstown Bruins62-88
27/04/24APenrith P.80-65
21/04/24ASydney Comets69-77
20/04/24HHornsby S.81-61
14/04/24HCanberra60-67
13/04/24AInner West Bulls65-85
06/04/24AMaitland M.72-109
29/07/23ABA CoE71-103
22/07/23HBankstown Bruins88-66
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24AInner West Bulls82-79
05/05/24ASutherland Sharks96-81
04/05/24HCentral Coast Crusaders102-81
27/04/24HSydney Comets96-73
20/04/24ACanberra75-87
13/04/24HHornsby S.110-79
22/07/23HHills Hornets85-86
15/07/23ASutherland Sharks62-85
08/07/23HHornsby S.79-81
02/07/23AMaitland M.79-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game67.864.071.5
Allowed / game78.573.084.0
Point differential-10.8-9.0-12.5
Avg total146.2137.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manly W.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game93.5102.784.3
Allowed / game80.077.782.3
Point differential+13.5+25.0+2.0
Avg total173.5180.3166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra98189%86.068.9+17.1
2 Maitland M.87188%96.978.9+18.0
3 Manly W.65183%93.580.0+13.5
4 Inner West Bulls97278%93.978.9+15.0
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits86275%96.488.2+8.1
6 Hills Hornets85362%85.883.1+2.6
7 BA CoE74357%83.977.9+6.0
8 Sydney Comets84450%80.579.9+0.6
9 Norths Bears84450%80.680.5+0.1
10 Bankstown Bruins84450%77.678.2-0.6
11 Sutherland Sharks83538%80.884.0-3.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders83538%85.090.8-5.8
13 Newcastle Falcons82625%67.878.5-10.8
14 Penrith P.81712%79.993.8-13.9
15 Illawarra Hawks81712%78.2101.9-23.6
16 Hornsby S.9090%75.095.6-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons212062168
Manly W.1421171466
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