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Newcastle Falcons vs Sutherland Sharks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 87-77
22-24 13-19 25-18 27-16
Position#9
Record7-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#7
Record9-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game80.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Sutherland Sharks
05 Jul 2025
NEWC87
SUTH77
20 Aug 2022
NEWC78
SUTH96
14 May 2022
NEWC78
SUTH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sutherland Sharks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A21/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
98-63
98
63
+35
A22/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A28/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
17-18
13-21
19-34
16-23
24-16
16-15
19-15
20-17
16-23
20-22
21-18
13-32
26-19
31-16
24-20
14-13
29-23
30-22
20-11
19-22
19-19
17-10
23-17
21-29
14-13
20-27
25-17
22-25
13-31
11-25
24-21
22-18
27-15
18-15
31-15
13-14
27-20
27-23
14-31
163.5Avg total
82.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.779.9159.6-0.244%
Season at home (7)79.171.6150.7+7.671%
Season away (9)80.186.3166.4-6.222%
Last 10 (10)82.081.5163.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)81.481.4162.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.981.9155.8-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.980.2157.1-3.344%
vs Weaker (7)87.180.9168.0+6.357%
This opponent (Sutherland Sharks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutherland SharksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#9
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H10/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H17/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A18/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H24/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
96-104 OT
96
104
-8
A31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A01/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H14/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H21/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A28/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
A29/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
18-17
21-13
34-19
20-24
21-23
22-20
15-20
18-22
17-25
24-19
25-25
25-22
13-21
25-3
24-19
18-30
27-27
25-19
23-17
19-18
19-19
17-23
18-20
23-22
22-17
20-19
22-17
29-19
17-17
22-25
17-12
21-23
25-27
22-19
20-21
14-20
18-17
16-16
26-21
168.8Avg total
86.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.880.2166.0+5.656%
Season at home (8)86.573.5160.0+13.088%
Season away (8)85.186.9172.0-1.825%
Last 10 (10)86.382.5168.8+3.840%
Last 5 (5)83.080.8163.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.893.8174.6-13.021%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.578.4160.9+4.150%
vs Weaker (8)88.076.9164.9+11.188%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
Newcastle FalconsSutherland Sharks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A21/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A28/06
NBL1 East
81.7Avg total
39.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.080.5-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.441.278.6-3.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.782.5-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.081.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.280.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.643.480.0-6.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.240.478.7-2.233%-
vs Weaker (7)43.041.084.0+2.057%-
This opponent (Sutherland Sharks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutherland SharksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H10/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H17/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A28/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A29/06
NBL1 East
84.9Avg total
41.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.084.3-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.741.582.2-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)39.746.986.6-7.229%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.584.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.849.188.9-9.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.140.078.1-1.938%-
vs Weaker (8)43.139.182.2+4.075%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Newcastle Falcons wins
4
Sutherland Sharks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25AManly W.81-88
22/06/25APenrith P.98-63
21/06/25ANorths Bears70-102
14/06/25ABA CoE80-86
31/05/25HNorths Bears78-68
25/05/25AInner West Bulls93-69
24/05/25HBankstown Bruins94-87
17/05/25AHornsby S.77-80
11/05/25HCanberra75-69
10/05/25ASutherland Sharks74-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25ASydney Comets82-86 OT
28/06/25ACentral Coast Crusaders88-90
21/06/25HHills Hornets85-73
14/06/25HMaitland M.87-75
01/06/25ABA CoE73-80
31/05/25ACanberra96-104 OT
24/05/25HHornsby S.87-65
18/05/25AManly W.84-91
17/05/25HSydney Comets78-87
10/05/25HNewcastle Falcons103-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%71%22%
Points / game79.779.180.1
Allowed / game79.971.686.3
Point differential-0.2+7.6-6.2
Avg total159.6150.7166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Sutherland Sharks
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%88%25%
Points / game85.886.585.1
Allowed / game80.273.586.9
Point differential+5.6+13.0-1.8
Avg total166.0160.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1814478%84.473.2+11.3
2 Canberra1713476%92.878.0+14.8
3 Sydney Comets1713476%80.475.5+4.9
4 Illawarra Hawks 21612475%91.483.6+7.8
5 Sutherland Sharks169756%85.880.2+5.6
6 Norths Bears169756%77.677.8-0.2
7 Central Coast Crusaders179853%82.884.8-2.1
8 Bankstown Bruins168850%86.986.1+0.8
9 Manly W.168850%84.886.6-1.8
10 Newcastle Falcons167944%79.779.9-0.2
11 Maitland M.1771041%91.289.2+1.9
12 Hornsby S.1661038%83.789.0-5.3
13 Hills Hornets1761135%76.681.8-5.1
14 Inner West Bulls1651131%83.987.5-3.6
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1631319%79.796.1-16.4
16 Penrith P.1731418%75.689.6-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons2213252787
Sutherland Sharks2419181677
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