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Niagara vs Mount St. Mary's Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#383
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#295
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Niagara v Mount St. Mary's
04 Dec 2026
NIAG v MOUN
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
NIAG58
MOUN68
14 Feb 2025
NIAG83
MOUN84
03 Mar 2024
NIAG72
MOUN91
31 Dec 2022
NIAG67
MOUN55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niagara win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H01/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
46-91
46
91
-45
A03/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#83
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-36
31-20
27-35
42-41
34-30
36-38
31-31
32-45
28-27
34-40
31-32
37-36
28-30
38-43
30-43
16-48
34-42
33-31
31-44
45-44
139.6Avg total
65.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)63.084.0147.0-21.00%
Season at home (1)67.073.0140.0-6.00%
Season away (2)61.089.5150.5-28.50%
Last 10 (10)65.274.4139.6-9.220%
Last 5 (5)66.680.2146.8-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)62.575.0137.5-12.512%
vs Similar ◀ (4)65.866.2132.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (1)62.067.0129.0-5.00%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#8
L
52-97
52
97
-45
A03/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
44-42
28-21
37-34
31-31
45-32
20-24
48-23
32-31
37-46
39-25
30-22
21-35
37-28
16-51
36-46
29-22
39-35
30-42
32-40
133.4Avg total
67.0Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)60.778.7139.3-18.033%
Season at home (1)68.057.0125.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)57.089.5146.5-32.50%
Last 10 (10)67.066.4133.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)61.869.2131.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.274.3137.5-11.127%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.274.4146.6-2.150%
vs Weaker (7)71.356.3127.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Niagara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +3.7+3.7
NiagaraMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A03/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#83
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
29.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.634.465.0-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.232.664.8-0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)29.435.865.2-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)29.835.064.8-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.269.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)29.635.665.2-6.021%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.233.067.2+1.275%-
vs Weaker (1)28.027.055.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#8
L
16-51
16
51
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NCAA
60.1Avg total
28.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.534.265.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.233.266.5+0.038%-
Last 30 away (17)30.235.065.2-4.841%-
Last 10 (10)28.531.660.1-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)27.035.062.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.935.765.6-5.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.436.171.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)30.629.059.6+1.629%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Niagara wins
6
Mount St. Mary's wins
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABowling Green76-88
07/11/26HMorgan State67-73
03/11/26AWest Virginia46-91
01/03/26HMerrimack Warriors66-73
27/02/26HQuinnipiac78-76 OT
22/02/26ARider62-67
21/02/26AMount St. Mary's63-76
15/02/26HIona70-68
13/02/26HManhattan69-76
07/02/26AQuinnipiac55-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVirginia Tech62-82
07/11/26HLoyola Maryland68-57
03/11/26AXavier52-97
08/03/26ASiena58-63
01/03/26AFairfield69-47
28/02/26ASacred Heart69-77
22/02/26HCanisius68-47
21/02/26HNiagara76-63
14/02/26ARider65-55
08/02/26AIona83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niagara
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.067.061.0
Allowed / game84.073.089.5
Point differential-21.0-6.0-28.5
Avg total147.0140.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game60.768.057.0
Allowed / game78.757.089.5
Point differential-18.0+11.0-32.5
Avg total139.3125.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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