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Fukushima vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 85-67
31-12 14-18 21-20 19-17
Position#10
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#14
Record1-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game85.7
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Niigata
31 Jan 2024
FUKU88
NIIG83
05 Nov 2023
FUKU85
NIIG67
04 Nov 2023
FUKU94
NIIG81
14 Dec 2014
FUKU59
NIIG54
13 Dec 2014
FUKU70
NIIG74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 74
A07/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
77avg 74
A08/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
79-97
79
97
-18
68avg 74
H14/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 74
H15/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 74
H21/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 74
H22/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
69avg 74
A25/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
59-81
59
81
-22
44avg 74
A28/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
67-85
67
85
-18
66avg 74
A29/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 74
H04/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
19-25
21-27
23-20
19-11
23-22
18-22
22-16
24-31
13-20
26-17
16-29
18-17
24-22
15-18
26-20
26-33
17-22
22-21
27-19
19-14
20-22
21-31
20-18
18-26
25-29
17-22
20-21
13-17
14-18
16-18
16-28
24-22
21-26
11-13
11-24
26-17
26-18
24-22
18-24
167.1Avg total
80.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.686.5167.1-5.930%
Season at home (5)85.687.0172.6-1.440%
Season away (5)75.686.0161.6-10.420%
Last 10 (10)80.686.5167.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)76.086.0162.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.491.4161.9-21.00%
vs Similar (16)83.485.4168.8-2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.078.8169.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 60
H07/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
46-80
46
80
-34
33avg 60
H08/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
75-91
75
91
-16
74avg 60
A14/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
59avg 60
A15/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 60
A21/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
59avg 60
A22/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
70-99
70
99
-29
55avg 60
A25/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
63-92
63
92
-29
46avg 60
H28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 60
H29/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
77avg 60
A04/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
10-20
9-15
21-17
8-18
12-17
12-24
14-21
29-26
12-27
20-17
14-21
16-16
11-18
16-19
27-19
14-19
21-25
25-22
10-24
28-21
12-21
10-22
17-23
18-31
20-18
13-18
19-32
16-34
22-20
16-15
9-23
20-25
21-11
31-21
17-20
17-26
18-26
22-24
24-18
155.3Avg total
69.6Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.685.7155.3-16.110%
Season at home (4)65.881.0146.8-15.225%
Season away (6)72.288.8161.0-16.70%
Last 10 (10)69.685.7155.3-16.110%
Last 5 (5)74.089.8163.8-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)76.384.5160.8-8.226%
vs Similar (3)79.780.3160.0-0.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -4.6-4.6
FukushimaNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A07/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H15/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H21/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A25/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H04/11
B2.League
85.1Avg total
41.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)39.142.281.3-3.035%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.241.884.0+0.455%-
Last 30 away (15)36.942.479.3-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.585.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.141.774.9-8.60%-
vs Similar (14)41.142.983.9-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.040.882.8+1.240%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H07/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H08/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A22/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A25/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H29/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
B2.League
79.2Avg total
35.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.778.4-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.777.5-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.779.3-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)35.044.279.2-9.210%-
Last 5 (5)38.446.685.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.741.779.4-4.033%-
vs Similar (3)38.331.369.7+7.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.6
48.8%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.5
34.4%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.6%
71.0%12.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.2
43.1%
52.4%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.210.6
69.7%
71.0%10.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
WLLLLLWLWL
Niigata
LWLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#14
-8.1
Net rating
-22.3
106.0
Offensive rating
94.0
114.2
Defensive rating
116.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.4%
3-point %
35.4%
66.0%
Assist %
49.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 94.0Defence114.2 · 116.4Shooting49.9% · 47.3%3-point %34.4% · 35.4%Ball care16.1% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 23.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Fukushima   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fukushima wins
3
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Fukushima v Niigata94-81
14/12/14Fukushima v Niigata59-54
13/12/14Fukushima v Niigata70-74
26/10/14Niigata v Fukushima82-75
25/10/14Niigata v Fukushima89-77
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HNiigata94-81
29/10/23AShizuoka67-85
28/10/23AShizuoka59-81
25/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-98
22/10/23HAomori80-85
21/10/23HAomori92-95
15/10/23HKumamoto83-77
14/10/23HKumamoto79-97
08/10/23AYamagata Wyverns82-71
07/10/23AYamagata Wyverns90-95
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AFukushima81-94
29/10/23HYamagata Wyverns89-77
28/10/23HYamagata Wyverns63-92
25/10/23AKoshigaya Alphas70-99
22/10/23AFukuoka67-87
21/10/23AFukuoka70-90
15/10/23AShizuoka70-72
14/10/23AShizuoka75-91
08/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas46-80
07/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game80.685.675.6
Allowed / game86.587.086.0
Point differential-5.9-1.4-10.4
Avg total167.1172.6161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL10%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%25%0%
Points / game69.665.872.2
Allowed / game85.781.088.8
Point differential-16.1-15.2-16.7
Avg total155.3146.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka1110191%79.069.7+9.3
2 Altiri Chiba119282%85.977.3+8.6
3 Kumamoto118373%84.778.8+5.9
4 Koshigaya Alphas107370%85.773.2+12.5
5 Kobe117464%80.276.8+3.4
6 Aomori117464%83.784.2-0.5
7 Shizuoka106460%80.875.1+5.7
8 Shiga116555%83.277.2+6.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns105550%82.182.1+0.0
10 Fukushima103730%80.686.5-5.9
11 Ehime Orange Vikings113827%74.882.3-7.5
12 Nara101910%70.281.7-11.5
13 Niigata101910%69.685.7-16.1
14 Iwate111109%67.578.8-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima3114211985
Niigata1218201767
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