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Fukushima vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 94-81
26-17 26-18 24-22 18-24
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#14
Record1-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game84.8
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Niigata
31 Jan 2024
FUKU88
NIIG83
05 Nov 2023
FUKU85
NIIG67
04 Nov 2023
FUKU94
NIIG81
14 Dec 2014
FUKU59
NIIG54
13 Dec 2014
FUKU70
NIIG74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Iwate
#3
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
A03/05
BJ League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 71
A07/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
77avg 71
A08/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
79-97
79
97
-18
68avg 71
H14/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 71
H15/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 71
H21/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 71
H22/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
69avg 71
A25/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
59-81
59
81
-22
44avg 71
A28/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
67-85
67
85
-18
66avg 71
A29/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
27-23
19-25
21-27
23-20
19-11
23-22
18-22
22-16
24-31
13-20
26-17
16-29
18-17
24-22
15-18
26-20
26-33
17-22
22-21
27-19
19-14
20-22
21-31
20-18
18-26
25-29
17-22
20-21
13-17
14-18
16-18
16-28
24-22
21-26
11-13
11-24
166.2Avg total
78.3Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.187.1166.2-8.022%
Season at home (4)83.588.5172.0-5.025%
Season away (5)75.686.0161.6-10.420%
Last 10 (10)78.387.9166.2-9.620%
Last 5 (5)75.688.8164.4-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.491.4161.9-21.00%
vs Similar (17)84.686.4171.0-1.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)90.278.2168.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#10
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
H07/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 58
H07/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
46-80
46
80
-34
33avg 58
H08/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
75-91
75
91
-16
74avg 58
A14/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
59avg 58
A15/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 58
A21/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
59avg 58
A22/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
70-99
70
99
-29
55avg 58
A25/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
63-92
63
92
-29
46avg 58
H28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 58
H29/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-18
21-21
16-33
25-23
10-20
9-15
21-17
8-18
12-17
12-24
14-21
29-26
12-27
20-17
14-21
16-16
11-18
16-19
27-19
14-19
21-25
25-22
10-24
28-21
12-21
10-22
17-23
18-31
20-18
13-18
19-32
16-34
22-20
16-15
9-23
20-25
21-11
31-21
17-20
154.4Avg total
68.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.384.8153.1-16.411%
Season at home (4)65.881.0146.8-15.225%
Season away (5)70.487.8158.2-17.40%
Last 10 (10)68.785.7154.4-17.010%
Last 5 (5)71.889.0160.8-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)76.584.3160.8-7.726%
vs Similar (3)79.780.3160.0-0.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -6.9-6.9
FukushimaNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A07/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H15/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H21/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A25/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/10
B2.League
84.9Avg total
40.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)39.342.782.0-3.335%-
Last 30 at home (10)41.242.583.7-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.242.881.0-4.625%-
Last 10 (9)40.444.484.9-4.033%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.885.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.141.774.9-8.60%-
vs Similar (15)42.243.385.5-1.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.542.281.8-2.825%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H07/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H08/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A22/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A25/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H28/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H29/10
B2.League
78.0Avg total
35.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.578.5-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.341.078.3-3.731%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.978.8-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)35.043.078.0-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.083.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.041.579.5-3.433%-
vs Similar (3)38.331.369.7+7.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.7
48.6%
52.4%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.4%
33.6%23.3
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
74.1%
71.0%13.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.015.3
43.8%
52.4%30.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.7
33.6%
33.6%26.0
🏀 Free throws15.210.8
70.8%
71.0%10.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
LLLLLWLWLL
Niigata
WLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#14
-11.1
Net rating
-22.3
102.7
Offensive rating
91.7
113.8
Defensive rating
114.0
48.6%
Effective FG%
46.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.4%
3-point %
33.6%
63.3%
Assist %
45.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 91.7Defence113.8 · 114.0Shooting48.6% · 46.6%3-point %32.4% · 33.6%Ball care17.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 21.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Fukushima   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fukushima wins
3
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
14/12/14Fukushima v Niigata59-54
13/12/14Fukushima v Niigata70-74
26/10/14Niigata v Fukushima82-75
25/10/14Niigata v Fukushima89-77
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AShizuoka67-85
28/10/23AShizuoka59-81
25/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-98
22/10/23HAomori80-85
21/10/23HAomori92-95
15/10/23HKumamoto83-77
14/10/23HKumamoto79-97
08/10/23AYamagata Wyverns82-71
07/10/23AYamagata Wyverns90-95
03/05/15AIwate71-95
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HYamagata Wyverns89-77
28/10/23HYamagata Wyverns63-92
25/10/23AKoshigaya Alphas70-99
22/10/23AFukuoka67-87
21/10/23AFukuoka70-90
15/10/23AShizuoka70-72
14/10/23AShizuoka75-91
08/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas46-80
07/10/23HKoshigaya Alphas65-75
07/05/23HShinshu72-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game79.183.575.6
Allowed / game87.188.586.0
Point differential-8.0-5.0-10.4
Avg total166.2172.0161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game68.365.870.4
Allowed / game84.881.087.8
Point differential-16.4-15.2-17.4
Avg total153.1146.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka98189%78.871.2+7.6
2 Altiri Chiba108280%85.878.9+6.9
3 Kobe97278%83.077.8+5.2
4 Kumamoto107370%83.577.8+5.7
5 Aomori107370%86.083.9+2.1
6 Koshigaya Alphas96367%85.473.1+12.3
7 Shizuoka96367%81.673.7+7.9
8 Yamagata Wyverns95456%83.482.8+0.7
9 Shiga94544%85.679.3+6.2
10 Ehime Orange Vikings103730%73.480.8-7.4
11 Fukushima92722%79.187.1-8.0
12 Iwate91811%68.478.6-10.1
13 Niigata91811%68.384.8-16.4
14 Nara9090%69.683.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima2626241894
Niigata1718222481
← all games of the day
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