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NLEX Road Warriors vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 110-99
33-13 29-22 18-31 30-33
Position#5
Record5-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game112.1
PhilippinesGovernors Cup· Smart Araneta Coliseum (Manila)
Other2023
Meetings · NLEX Road Warriors v Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
29 Apr 2026
NLEX92
RAIN90
18 Jun 2025
NLEX89
RAIN92
28 Aug 2024
NLEX105
RAIN124
03 May 2024
NLEX104
RAIN120
08 Dec 2023
NLEX101
RAIN113
25 Feb 2023
NLEX110
RAIN99
04 Dec 2022
NLEX100
RAIN110
23 Sep 2022
NLEX96
RAIN90
09 Jul 2022
NLEX86
RAIN96
25 Feb 2022
NLEX109
RAIN100
28 Jun 2019
NLEX100
RAIN97
03 Nov 2018
NLEX101
RAIN107
02 May 2018
NLEX97
RAIN98
26 Jan 2018
NLEX86
RAIN97
17 Mar 2017
NLEX105
RAIN113
10 Jun 2015
NLEX102
RAIN106
03 Feb 2015
NLEX91
RAIN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
no box
A30/11
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
100-110
100
110
-10
no box
H04/12
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
124-102
124
102
+22
118avg 98
A25/01
Governors Cup
NorthPort
#9
W
121-112
121
112
+9
114avg 98
H28/01
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
W
110-108
110
108
+2
94avg 98
A01/02
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
98-94
98
94
+4
88avg 98
H04/02
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
L
111-114
111
114
-3
98avg 98
H08/02
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
103-119
103
119
-16
89avg 98
H16/02
Governors Cup
Converge FiberXers
#7
W
116-112
116
112
+4
102avg 98
A18/02
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
98-114
98
114
-16
84avg 98
A23/02
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
16-27
25-14
28-10
27-31
16-20
32-29
25-30
26-22
32-34
26-25
40-21
26-31
37-29
34-31
24-21
28-31
21-25
29-35
32-17
32-23
20-26
24-24
22-21
25-28
30-31
37-25
19-30
29-25
21-24
29-39
24-31
23-28
25-24
32-28
36-32
16-27
30-29
25-31
27-27
213.9Avg total
107.3Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)110.1109.4219.5+0.862%
Season at home (4)108.2109.8218.0-1.550%
Season away (4)112.0109.0221.0+3.075%
Last 10 (10)107.3106.6213.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)105.2110.6215.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)104.6113.1217.7-8.530%
vs Similar (14)96.999.1196.1-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)112.3102.2214.5+10.267%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPainters
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
90-106
90
106
-16
no box
H02/12
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
no box
A04/12
Commissioners Cup
Bay Area Dragons
#2
L
96-126
96
126
-30
no box
A09/12
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
87-105
87
105
-18
72avg 93
A22/01
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
100-105
100
105
-5
95avg 93
H27/01
Governors Cup
Converge FiberXers
#7
L
98-112
98
112
-14
86avg 93
H02/02
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
L
108-116
108
116
-8
90avg 93
A05/02
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
122-117
122
117
+5
114avg 93
H12/02
Governors Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#11
W
120-118
120
118
+2
114avg 93
H16/02
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
97-112
97
112
-15
82avg 93
H22/02
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
24-20
25-27
13-35
31-27
20-16
29-32
30-25
16-27
28-33
24-32
28-34
24-22
30-32
14-27
19-24
20-17
29-19
35-44
16-25
21-29
27-23
21-32
29-28
21-28
24-22
36-30
27-36
34-31
32-36
21-28
35-22
33-28
26-29
31-30
30-31
19-33
25-20
33-38
20-21
214.5Avg total
102.8Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)104.6112.1216.7-7.629%
Season at home (5)107.4112.8220.2-5.440%
Season away (2)97.5110.5208.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)102.8111.7214.5-8.930%
Last 5 (5)109.0115.0224.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)92.9104.9197.9-12.07%
vs Similar (11)98.196.0194.1+2.155%
vs Weaker (4)110.297.5207.8+12.8100%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
NLEX Road WarriorsRain or Shine Elasto Painters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#11
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A30/11
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H04/12
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A25/01
Governors Cup
NorthPort
#9
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H28/01
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A01/02
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H04/02
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H08/02
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H16/02
Governors Cup
Converge FiberXers
#7
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A18/02
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A23/02
Governors Cup
104.8Avg total
50.3Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.651.6100.2-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.649.599.2+0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)47.354.3101.6-7.031%-
Last 10 (10)50.354.5104.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)50.253.0103.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)50.356.6106.9-6.330%-
vs Similar (14)45.049.194.1-4.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)54.349.2103.5+5.267%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/12
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A04/12
Commissioners Cup
Bay Area Dragons
#2
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A09/12
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A22/01
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H27/01
Governors Cup
Converge FiberXers
#7
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H02/02
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A05/02
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H12/02
Governors Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#11
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H16/02
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H22/02
Governors Cup
102.8Avg total
51.2Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.847.696.4+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.648.198.7+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)47.547.294.6+0.341%-
Last 10 (10)51.251.6102.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)52.455.8108.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)46.749.095.7-2.327%-
vs Similar (11)48.545.393.8+3.373%-
vs Weaker (4)57.548.5106.0+9.075%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NLEX Road Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NLEX Road Warriors: 109.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.5 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.225.8
55.7%
52.3%51.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.911.9
34.1%
35.1%35.6
🏀 Free throws28.922.0
76.2%
72.0%22.0
They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.5 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.422.1
49.8%
52.3%44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.912.0
30.9%
35.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws33.624.0
71.5%
72.0%24.0
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NLEX Road Warriors
LWLLWWWWLW
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
LWWLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#10
+0.4
Net rating
-6.5
112.1
Offensive rating
105.9
111.7
Defensive rating
112.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
48.2%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.1%
3-point %
30.9%
53.8%
Assist %
67.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 105.9Defence111.7 · 112.4Shooting53.7% · 48.2%3-point %34.1% · 30.9%Ball care14.1% · 14.8%Off. rebounds22.9% · 27.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ NLEX Road Warriors   ■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AMeralco Bolts98-114
18/02/23AConverge FiberXers116-112
16/02/23HMagnolia Hotshots103-119
08/02/23HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel111-114
04/02/23HPhoenix Fuelmasters98-94
01/02/23ATNT Tropang Giga110-108
28/01/23HNorthPort121-112
25/01/23ABlackwater Bossing124-102
04/12/22HRain or Shine Elasto Painters100-110
30/11/22AMeralco Bolts92-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/23HMagnolia Hotshots97-112
16/02/23HTerrafirma Dyip120-118
12/02/23HBlackwater Bossing122-117
05/02/23ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel108-116
02/02/23HConverge FiberXers98-112
27/01/23HTNT Tropang Giga100-105
22/01/23AMeralco Bolts87-105
09/12/22ABay Area Dragons96-126
04/12/22ANLEX Road Warriors110-100
02/12/22HMagnolia Hotshots90-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NLEX Road Warriors
Governors Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game110.1108.2112.0
Allowed / game109.4109.8109.0
Point differential+0.8-1.5+3.0
Avg total219.5218.0221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Governors Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %29%40%0%
Points / game104.6107.497.5
Allowed / game112.1112.8110.5
Point differential-7.6-5.4-13.0
Avg total216.7220.2208.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TNT Tropang Giga98189%115.8107.6+8.2
2 San Miguel Beermen97278%109.8100.9+8.9
3 Converge FiberXers86275%114.2106.4+7.9
4 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel64267%108.5105.3+3.2
5 NLEX Road Warriors85362%110.1109.4+0.8
6 Magnolia Hotshots74357%107.098.1+8.9
7 Meralco Bolts74357%104.198.1+6.0
8 Phoenix Fuelmasters72529%105.6106.9-1.3
9 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters72529%104.6112.1-7.6
10 NorthPort82625%107.5115.2-7.8
11 Terrafirma Dyip82625%107.4117.1-9.8
12 Blackwater Bossing101910%102.1116.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NLEX Road Warriors33291830110
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters1322313399
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