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NLEX Road Warriors vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 92-90
18-23 19-26 38-29 17-12
Position#1
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game98.3
vs
Position#3
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game102.7
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Meetings · NLEX Road Warriors v Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
29 Apr 2026
NLEX92
RAIN90
18 Jun 2025
NLEX89
RAIN92
28 Aug 2024
NLEX105
RAIN124
03 May 2024
NLEX104
RAIN120
08 Dec 2023
NLEX101
RAIN113
25 Feb 2023
NLEX110
RAIN99
04 Dec 2022
NLEX100
RAIN110
23 Sep 2022
NLEX96
RAIN90
09 Jul 2022
NLEX86
RAIN96
25 Feb 2022
NLEX109
RAIN100
28 Jun 2019
NLEX100
RAIN97
03 Nov 2018
NLEX101
RAIN107
02 May 2018
NLEX97
RAIN98
26 Jan 2018
NLEX86
RAIN97
17 Mar 2017
NLEX105
RAIN113
10 Jun 2015
NLEX102
RAIN106
03 Feb 2015
NLEX91
RAIN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A21/06
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
112-105
112
105
+7
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H22/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
118-113
118
113
+5
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
120-102
120
102
+18
H05/04
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
106-97
106
97
+9
H14/04
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
A17/04
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
94-98
94
98
-4
H19/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A25/04
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
28-31
22-26
15-25
15-25
19-16
26-20
24-20
27-26
30-33
25-21
30-25
21-21
24-22
27-23
25-37
18-30
36-29
38-28
26-26
33-17
19-25
27-30
41-30
28-21
24-31
22-26
32-19
14-19
21-26
29-31
25-13
35-25
17-25
16-27
26-21
18-23
18-24
34-9
25-29
201.0Avg total
102.2Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)103.398.3201.7+5.078%
Season at home (5)105.8101.0206.8+4.860%
Season away (4)100.295.0195.2+5.2100%
Last 10 (10)102.298.8201.0+3.470%
Last 5 (5)103.896.6200.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.6101.0189.6-12.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)100.595.5196.0+4.977%
vs Weaker (12)100.594.6195.1+5.967%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
89-97
89
97
-8
H06/07
Philippine Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H14/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A20/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
109-102
109
102
+7
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
151-95
151
95
+56
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
116-112
116
112
+4
A08/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
120-111
120
111
+9
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
124-117
124
117
+7
A15/04
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A25/04
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
23-19
20-22
19-28
24-28
28-30
31-20
33-31
25-34
29-24
26-22
32-29
29-23
22-21
27-32
31-26
42-15
33-29
29-23
47-28
26-27
36-25
33-21
21-39
31-29
30-25
34-21
25-36
26-27
41-18
29-28
28-44
18-16
26-13
20-32
19-26
20-25
18-16
28-21
25-20
213.2Avg total
111.1Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)113.6102.7216.2+10.989%
Season at home (4)117.5100.5218.0+17.075%
Season away (5)110.4104.4214.8+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)111.1102.1213.2+9.080%
Last 5 (5)106.8101.8208.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)115.0112.5227.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)99.1100.2199.3-1.144%
vs Weaker (10)114.6101.7216.3+12.990%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
NLEX Road WarriorsRain or Shine Elasto Painters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A21/06
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H05/04
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H14/04
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A17/04
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H19/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/04
Commissioners Cup
96.2Avg total
47.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.445.993.2+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.845.693.4+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)46.946.193.1+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)47.249.096.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.447.292.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.045.688.6-2.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)48.847.396.2+1.554%-
vs Weaker (12)47.644.492.0+3.267%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H06/07
Philippine Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A20/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
75-44
75
44
+31
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A15/04
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/04
Commissioners Cup
102.6Avg total
55.4Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.348.3100.6+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.649.9101.6+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)52.946.899.8+6.175%-
Last 10 (10)55.447.2102.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)54.444.298.6+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.556.0108.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)49.247.897.1+1.461%-
vs Weaker (10)57.947.5105.4+10.480%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NLEX Road Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NLEX Road Warriors: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.7
47.9%
-41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.5
33.8%
-34.5
🏀 Free throws24.517.3
70.6%
-17.3
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
-44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
-17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NLEX Road Warriors
WLWWWWLWWL
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
WLWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#3
-6.6
Net rating
-3.9
105.4
Offensive rating
108.0
112.0
Defensive rating
111.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
32.3%
59.3%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ NLEX Road Warriors   ■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26ATerrafirma Dyip95-85
19/04/26HSan Miguel Beermen94-98
17/04/26AMeralco Bolts104-101 OT
14/04/26HMacau Black Bears106-97
05/04/26HPhoenix Fuelmasters120-102
27/03/26ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel118-113
22/03/26HTNT Tropang Giga97-103
15/03/26HMagnolia Hotshots112-105
13/03/26ABlackwater Bossing84-81
21/06/25ARain or Shine Elasto Painters92-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26AMagnolia Hotshots91-82
21/04/26HPhoenix Fuelmasters83-87
15/04/26ATerrafirma Dyip124-117
10/04/26HConverge FiberXers120-111
08/04/26ASan Miguel Beermen116-112
31/03/26HBlackwater Bossing151-95
27/03/26AMeralco Bolts109-102
20/03/26ATNT Tropang Giga112-109
14/03/26HMacau Black Bears116-109
06/07/25HTNT Tropang Giga89-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NLEX Road Warriors
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%60%100%
Points / game103.3105.8100.2
Allowed / game98.3101.095.0
Point differential+5.0+4.8+5.2
Avg total201.7206.8195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%75%100%
Points / game113.6117.5110.4
Allowed / game102.7100.5104.4
Point differential+10.9+17.0+6.0
Avg total216.2218.0214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters98189%113.6102.7+10.9
2 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel97278%105.499.1+6.3
3 NLEX Road Warriors97278%103.398.3+5.0
4 TNT Tropang Giga96367%104.999.4+5.4
5 Meralco Bolts85362%105.0101.4+3.6
6 Phoenix Fuelmasters95456%104.7102.4+2.2
7 Magnolia Hotshots105550%103.296.4+6.8
8 San Miguel Beermen105550%103.6106.0-2.4
9 Converge FiberXers104640%101.7101.9-0.2
10 Terrafirma Dyip93633%99.0102.1-3.1
11 Macau Black Bears102820%106.0112.5-6.5
12 Blackwater Bossing102820%101.4110.9-9.5
13 Titan Ultra Giant Risers102820%97.0112.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NLEX Road Warriors1819381792
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters2326291290
← all games of the day
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