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NLEX Road Warriors vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 105-124
40-24 14-34 29-33 22-33
Position#9
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game80.5
PhilippinesGovernors Cup· Ninoy Aquino Stadium
Other2024
Meetings · NLEX Road Warriors v Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
29 Apr 2026
NLEX92
RAIN90
18 Jun 2025
NLEX89
RAIN92
28 Aug 2024
NLEX105
RAIN124
03 May 2024
NLEX104
RAIN120
08 Dec 2023
NLEX101
RAIN113
25 Feb 2023
NLEX110
RAIN99
04 Dec 2022
NLEX100
RAIN110
23 Sep 2022
NLEX96
RAIN90
09 Jul 2022
NLEX86
RAIN96
25 Feb 2022
NLEX109
RAIN100
28 Jun 2019
NLEX100
RAIN97
03 Nov 2018
NLEX101
RAIN107
02 May 2018
NLEX97
RAIN98
26 Jan 2018
NLEX86
RAIN97
17 Mar 2017
NLEX105
RAIN113
10 Jun 2015
NLEX102
RAIN106
03 Feb 2015
NLEX91
RAIN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 87
H06/04
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#4
L
101-104
101
104
-3
90avg 87
A13/04
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
L
77-112
77
112
-35
53avg 87
A20/04
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
103-120
103
120
-17
88avg 87
A28/04
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#8
L
104-120
104
120
-16
85avg 87
H03/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
63avg 87
A05/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
81avg 87
H10/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
81-100
81
100
-19
67avg 87
A12/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
W
104-87
104
87
+17
no box
H22/08
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
100-95
100
95
+5
no box
A25/08
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
11-15
30-20
20-27
27-29
30-20
30-27
14-28
17-24
22-27
23-28
15-33
15-25
26-25
30-33
32-37
23-30
20-32
31-35
30-23
23-16
12-16
24-22
17-18
28-23
26-21
21-29
18-24
26-27
23-25
21-24
11-24
23-22
28-15
33-25
20-25
25-16
28-14
23-37
24-28
190.7Avg total
92.6Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)102.091.0193.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)104.087.0191.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)100.095.0195.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.698.1190.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)90.890.2181.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)95.7104.7200.4-8.927%
vs Similar ◀ (10)99.7101.0200.7-1.360%
vs Weaker (5)115.8105.0220.8+10.880%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPainters
Date
Competition
NLEX Road Warriors
#7
W
120-104
120
104
+16
116avg 99
A03/05
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#4
L
99-116
99
116
-17
78avg 99
A10/05
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#4
W
121-113
121
113
+8
113avg 99
H12/05
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#4
W
110-109
110
109
+1
93avg 99
A15/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
98-101
98
101
-3
84avg 99
H17/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
77avg 99
A19/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
100avg 99
H22/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
100-107
100
107
-7
88avg 99
A24/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
W
110-97
110
97
+13
no box
A20/08
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H24/08
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
32-20
35-31
23-30
24-26
28-27
27-32
20-31
25-31
37-33
33-31
26-18
39-22
20-23
30-27
21-37
24-31
20-18
33-33
21-19
21-23
24-30
26-35
18-18
24-25
23-26
38-40
22-26
27-25
28-16
32-34
13-32
30-26
29-24
24-12
27-35
19-16
10-18
22-18
22-12
206.1Avg total
102.7Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.580.5172.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)73.064.0137.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)110.097.0207.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)102.7103.4206.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)95.898.2194.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)101.0106.2207.2-5.222%
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.6106.5216.1+3.156%
vs Weaker (5)113.2103.4216.6+9.8100%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
NLEX Road WarriorsRain or Shine Elasto Painters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H06/04
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#4
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A13/04
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A20/04
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A28/04
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#8
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H03/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H10/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A12/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H22/08
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A25/08
Governors Cup
89.3Avg total
45.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.447.798.1+2.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.947.598.4+3.380%-
Last 30 away (15)49.947.997.8+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.943.489.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.439.087.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)48.248.796.9-0.560%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)50.148.498.5+1.770%-
vs Weaker (5)57.643.4101.0+14.2100%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NLEX Road Warriors
#7
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A03/05
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#4
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A10/05
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#4
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H12/05
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#4
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A15/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H17/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A19/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A24/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A20/08
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H24/08
Governors Cup
99.7Avg total
51.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.451.1103.5+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.351.9103.2-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)53.750.1103.8+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)51.448.399.7+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.045.892.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)49.149.999.0-0.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.251.4104.6+1.850%-
vs Weaker (5)56.052.0108.0+4.080%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NLEX Road Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NLEX Road Warriors: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 14.1 points a game
65%
27%
8%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.7
47.9%
100.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.5
33.8%
100.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.517.3
70.6%
100.0%17.3
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 22%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 14.1 points a game
65%
27%
8%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
100.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
100.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
100.0%17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 22%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NLEX Road Warriors
WWLLWLLLLW
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
WWLLLLWWLW
#9
League position
#3
-6.6
Net rating
-3.9
105.4
Offensive rating
108.0
112.0
Defensive rating
111.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
32.3%
59.3%
Assist %
60.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 108.0Defence112.0 · 111.9Shooting49.2% · 50.5%3-point %33.8% · 32.3%Ball care13.0% · 12.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ NLEX Road Warriors   ■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/08/24APhoenix Fuelmasters100-95
22/08/24HBlackwater Bossing104-87
12/05/24AMeralco Bolts81-100
10/05/24HMeralco Bolts93-97
05/05/24ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel76-72
03/05/24HRain or Shine Elasto Painters104-120
28/04/24ASan Miguel Beermen103-120
20/04/24APhoenix Fuelmasters77-112
13/04/24ATNT Tropang Giga101-104
06/04/24HMagnolia Hotshots87-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/08/24HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel73-64
20/08/24ABlackwater Bossing110-97
24/05/24ASan Miguel Beermen100-107
22/05/24HSan Miguel Beermen107-117
19/05/24ASan Miguel Beermen89-106
17/05/24HSan Miguel Beermen98-101
15/05/24ATNT Tropang Giga110-109
12/05/24HTNT Tropang Giga121-113
10/05/24ATNT Tropang Giga99-116
03/05/24ANLEX Road Warriors120-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NLEX Road Warriors
Governors Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game102.0104.0100.0
Allowed / game91.087.095.0
Point differential+11.0+17.0+5.0
Avg total193.0191.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Governors Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.573.0110.0
Allowed / game80.564.097.0
Point differential+11.0+9.0+13.0
Avg total172.0137.0207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NLEX Road Warriors220100%102.091.0+11.0
2 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters220100%91.580.5+11.0
3 TNT Tropang Giga32167%96.388.0+8.3
4 Converge FiberXers32167%105.398.3+7.0
5 San Miguel Beermen32167%113.7107.7+6.0
6 Meralco Bolts32167%93.092.7+0.3
7 NorthPort21150%103.597.0+6.5
8 Magnolia Hotshots21150%99.596.0+3.5
9 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel21150%86.087.5-1.5
10 Phoenix Fuelmasters2020%101.0105.5-4.5
11 Blackwater Bossing3030%97.3114.0-16.7
12 Terrafirma Dyip3030%93.0115.3-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NLEX Road Warriors40142922105
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters24343333124
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