Norfolk State hosts Old Dominion on 11 November 2026 in an NCAA contest that Pythia projects to be high-scoring, with a 147.2-point total expected and an over probability of 67%. Norfolk State enters with a 2-1 record, averaging 73.0 points and allowing 73.3, and has been flawless at home, 2-0 with 73.0 points per game and 58.0 points allowed. Their last five games show two wins and three losses, including a 73-104 defeat to William & Mary and a 78-71 victory over Randolph. Old Dominion is undefeated, 3-0, scoring 78.0 points and conceding 52.7, and has won all three road contests, 1-0, with 82.0 points per game and 62.0 allowed. Their last five feature four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 91-47 win over Regent University. In the three meetings to date Old Dominion has won all, most recently 60-57 on 11 November 2025. Pythia favours Norfolk State with a 65% win probability, projecting a 76-71 scoreline; the home team line is 4.5 and the model sees a 77% chance the home side will cover. The game is also a 5% chance of overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Norfolk State winLost
64.9%fair 1.54
Best odds3.25
Implied29.7%
Edge+35.2pp
Old Dominion winWon
35.1%fair 2.85
Best odds1.38
Implied70.3%
Edge-35.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Norfolk State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139.5Actual: Under 139.5
Over 139.5
67.5%
@ 2.15+23.3pp
Under 139.5
32.5%
@ 1.90-23.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.12
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Over/Under 144.5 · main lineActual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
55.8%
@ 2.70+6.3pp
Under 144.5
44.2%
@ 1.91-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.77
Betano
1.40
Over/Under 149.5Actual: Under 149.5
Over 149.5
43.8%
@ 2.47-2.8pp
Under 149.5
56.2%
@ 1.73+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Marathon Be
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Marathon Be
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Norfolk State total 63.5Actual: Norfolk State under 63.5
Over 63.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
Under 63.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Norfolk State total 68 · main lineActual: Norfolk State under 68
Over 68
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under 68
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Norfolk State total 72Actual: Norfolk State under 72
Over 72
64.9%
Under 72
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Old Dominion total 68Actual: Old Dominion over 68
Over 68
63.2%
Under 68
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Old Dominion total 72 · main lineActual: Old Dominion under 72
Over 72
47.3%
@ 1.87-2.4pp
Under 72
52.7%
@ 1.85+2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.83
Old Dominion total 76Actual: Old Dominion under 76
Over 76
32.1%
@ 1.85-17.9pp
Under 76
67.9%
@ 1.85+17.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Norfolk State +3.5Actual: Old Dominion -3.5
NORF +3.5
73.9%
@ 2.32+32.4pp
OLD -3.5
26.1%
@ 1.75-32.4pp
Best 5 market prices
NORF
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
SBO
1.96
OLD
SBO
1.75
Marathon Be
1.72
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.53
Spread Norfolk State +6.5 · main lineActual: Old Dominion -6.5
NORF +6.5
82.0%
@ 1.93+30.8pp
OLD -6.5
18.0%
@ 1.97-30.8pp
Best 5 market prices
NORF
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
OLD
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.88
Betano
1.85
Spread Norfolk State +9.5Actual: Old Dominion -9.5
NORF +9.5
88.0%
@ 1.57+29.5pp
OLD -9.5
12.0%
@ 2.22-29.5pp
Best 5 market prices
NORF
Betano
1.57
OLD
Betano
2.22
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Norfolk StateOld Dominion
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Norfolk StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#353
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A17/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A28/02
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H12/03
NCAA
Regent University
#425
W
35-15
35
15
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Randolph
#343
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H05/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#155
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A08/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
35.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 69
Last 30 (30)
35.3
35.9
71.2
-0.7
47%
53%
Last 30 at home (14)
38.9
33.9
72.8
+4.9
64%
50%
Last 30 away (16)
32.1
37.7
69.8
-5.6
31%
56%
Last 10 (10)
35.9
34.4
70.3
+1.5
60%
50%
Last 5 (5)
34.8
36.2
71.0
-1.4
40%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)
31.8
45.6
77.4
-13.8
0%
100%
vs Similar (5)
27.4
37.8
65.2
-10.4
0%
20%
vs Weaker (19)
38.3
33.0
71.3
+5.3
68%
53%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#106
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Regent University
#425
W
55-19
55
19
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#401
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A07/11
NCAA
72.1Avg total
38.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 69
Last 30 (30)
35.3
34.1
69.4
+1.1
53%
53%
Last 30 at home (13)
35.5
31.9
67.4
+3.5
62%
46%
Last 30 away (17)
35.1
35.8
70.9
-0.7
47%
59%
Last 10 (10)
38.9
33.2
72.1
+5.7
70%
60%
Last 5 (5)
38.8
28.4
67.2
+10.4
80%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)
34.5
36.3
70.8
-1.7
36%
64%
vs Similar (13)
36.4
33.4
69.8
+3.0
62%
54%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)
34.2
31.8
66.0
+2.3
67%
33%
This opponent (Norfolk State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Old Dominion win
NORF win
no forecast
@ 2.80
OLD win
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Norfolk State +2.5 · main lineActual: Old Dominion -2.5
NORF +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
OLD -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 69 · main lineActual: Under 69
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Norfolk State 1st half total 34 · main lineActual: Norfolk State under 34
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Old Dominion 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Old Dominion under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.57
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Norfolk State +1.5Actual: Old Dominion -1.5
NORF +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
OLD -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Norfolk State +3.5Actual: Old Dominion -3.5
NORF +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
OLD -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Spread Norfolk State +4.5Actual: Old Dominion -4.5
NORF +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
OLD -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.65
Under
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Norfolk State +5.5Actual: Old Dominion -5.5
NORF +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
OLD -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 64Actual: Under 64
Over
no forecast
@ 1.75
Under
no forecast
@ 1.96
1st half Over/Under 62.5Actual: Under 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Old Dominion (regulation)
NORF
no forecast
@ 3.14
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
OLD
no forecast
@ 1.50
Norfolk StateLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#353
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A02/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Regent University
#425
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Randolph
#343
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H05/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#155
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A08/11
NCAA
81.4Avg total
41.2Scored
40.2Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)
40.4
39.4
79.8
+1.1
60%
67%
Last 30 at home (14)
43.2
37.7
80.9
+5.5
79%
71%
Last 30 away (16)
38.0
40.8
78.8
-2.8
44%
62%
Last 10 (10)
41.2
40.2
81.4
+1.0
70%
70%
Last 5 (5)
40.6
42.2
82.8
-1.6
60%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)
36.2
47.0
83.2
-10.8
20%
100%
vs Similar (5)
38.8
38.2
77.0
+0.6
80%
60%
vs Weaker (19)
41.8
37.8
79.6
+4.1
63%
58%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#106
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Regent University
#425
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H05/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#401
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A07/11
NCAA
80.4Avg total
42.7Scored
37.7Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 75.5
Last 30 (29)
40.6
41.0
81.5
-0.4
41%
66%
Last 30 at home (13)
42.2
39.1
81.3
+3.2
69%
62%
Last 30 away (16)
39.2
42.5
81.7
-3.3
19%
69%
Last 10 (10)
42.7
37.7
80.4
+5.0
60%
70%
Last 5 (5)
42.2
36.8
79.0
+5.4
60%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)
38.0
43.6
81.6
-5.6
10%
60%
vs Similar (13)
40.1
40.3
80.4
-0.2
46%
69%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)
45.8
38.0
83.8
+7.8
83%
67%
This opponent (Norfolk State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Norfolk State win
NORF win
no forecast
@ 2.55
OLD win
no forecast
@ 1.52
2nd half Spread Norfolk State +2.5 · main lineActual: Norfolk State +2.5
NORF +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
OLD -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half Over/Under 75.5 · main lineActual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Norfolk State 2nd half total 34.5 · main lineActual: Norfolk State over 34.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Old Dominion 2nd half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Old Dominion under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half Spread Norfolk State +1.5Actual: Norfolk State +1.5
NORF +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
OLD -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Spread Norfolk State +3.5Actual: Norfolk State +3.5
NORF +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
OLD -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Old Dominion (regulation)
NORF
no forecast
@ 2.60
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
OLD
no forecast
@ 1.57
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Norfolk State +2.5
71.2%
2.52
Betano
2.52
-
-
-
-
+34.7pp
Lost
Norfolk State +5
79.0%
1.95
Pinnacle
2.16
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.92
1xBet
1.79
-
+34.6pp
Lost
Norfolk State +4.5
76.8%
1.96
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.18
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
+34.2pp
Lost
Norfolk State +5.5
79.5%
1.94
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
1xBet
1.91
+33.2pp
Lost
Norfolk State +6
81.5%
1.87
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathon Bet
1.88
SBO
1.88
1xBet
1.76
-
+33.0pp
Lost
Norfolk State +4
76.1%
1.99
Pinnacle
2.20
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
-
+32.8pp
Lost
Norfolk State +3.5
73.9%
2.19
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
SBO
1.96
-
-
+32.4pp
Lost
Norfolk State +6.5
82.0%
1.87
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.83
+30.8pp
Lost
Norfolk State +7
83.9%
1.79
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.76
-
-
+30.3pp
Lost
Norfolk State +9.5
88.0%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+29.5pp
Lost
Norfolk State +9
87.8%
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
-
-
-
-
+28.7pp
Lost
Norfolk State +10.5
89.6%
1.50
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
-
+28.4pp
Lost
Norfolk State +7.5
84.2%
1.74
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.69
-
+28.3pp
Lost
Norfolk State +8
86.0%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
-
-
-
-
+28.1pp
Lost
Norfolk State +11.5
91.0%
1.44
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
-
+26.9pp
Won
Norfolk State +8.5
86.2%
1.64
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.60
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Lost
Norfolk State +12.5
92.3%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+25.5pp
Won
Over 138
71.1%
1.92
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathon Bet
1.91
SBO
1.78
-
-
+25.5pp
Lost
Over 137
73.2%
1.91
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.93
SBO
1.85
-
-
+24.6pp
Lost
Over 137.5
71.8%
1.89
Pinnacle
2.01
Marathon Bet
1.96
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.88
+24.5pp
Lost
Norfolk State +13.5
93.3%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+24.1pp
Won
Over 136
75.3%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
-
-
-
+23.7pp
Lost
Over 136.5
73.8%
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.80
SBO
1.78
+23.5pp
Lost
Over 135
77.2%
1.75
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.75
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Lost
Over 135.5
75.8%
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.75
-
-
+23.0pp
Lost
Over 134
79.1%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathon Bet
1.66
-
-
-
+23.0pp
Lost
Over 134.5
77.6%
1.70
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.71
Betano
1.65
-
-
+22.7pp
Lost
Norfolk State +14.5
94.3%
1.28
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
-
+22.2pp
Won
Over 133.5
79.4%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+20.9pp
Lost
Old Dominion under 77
71.4%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Won
Over 132.5
81.1%
1.52
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
-
+20.4pp
Lost
Over 131.5
82.8%
1.45
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
-
+19.5pp
Lost
Over 130.5
84.3%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+18.7pp
Won
Over 129.5
85.7%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Won
Old Dominion under 80.5
81.0%
1.35
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
-
+13.1pp
Won
Old Dominion under 79.5
78.3%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Won
Old Dominion under 78.5
75.4%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Old Dominion under 77.5
72.3%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Overtime: no
95.0%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+3.8pp
-
Old Dominion over 55.5
94.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Old Dominion over 57.5
91.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Old Dominion over 59.5
87.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Old Dominion over 61.5
83.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Old Dominion over 63.5
77.8%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-4.5pp
Won
Old Dominion over 65.5
71.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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