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Norrkoping vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-83
19-17 26-18 15-24 13-24
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Benfica 🏆
Position#28
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game60.5
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Gloria Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Norrkoping v Benfica
29 Sep 2023
NOR73
BEN83
01 Mar 2011
NOR80
BEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorrkopingLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#2
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
A24/04
Basketligan
Boras
#1
W
83-55
83
55
+28
no box
A27/04
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
A29/04
Basketligan
Boras
#1
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H01/05
Basketligan
Boras
#1
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H03/05
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
A06/05
Basketligan
Boras
#1
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
H08/05
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
70avg 73
H21/09
Basketligan
BC Kalev/Cramo
#44
W
82-78
82
78
+4
74avg 73
A25/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#17
W
78-68
78
68
+10
74avg 73
A27/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
25-13
13-12
22-21
18-20
18-4
22-15
25-16
19-22
21-25
30-26
20-22
22-19
29-18
34-17
12-16
27-12
18-28
12-20
29-17
9-27
17-18
17-16
28-22
22-20
20-9
15-17
28-19
22-12
20-14
16-21
22-19
13-19
18-26
21-16
30-17
15-19
20-16
19-16
24-17
154.8Avg total
82.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.772.1154.8+10.680%
Last 5 (5)79.272.0151.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.773.6152.3+5.160%
vs Weaker (13)91.573.9165.5+17.692%
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
H20/05
LPB
Ovarense
#8
W
91-79 OT
91
79
+12
no box
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#8
W
115-44
115
44
+71
no box
A25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
H04/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H06/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
101-57
101
57
+44
no box
A09/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
A11/06
LPB
Imortal
#2
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 80
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
122-62
122
62
+60
124avg 80
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
87-59
87
59
+28
89avg 80
H27/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
28-17
21-13
22-13
17-27
22-11
14-16
23-22
28-16
36-7
31-14
20-7
28-19
19-29
24-18
14-18
25-21
23-18
12-27
27-27
17-17
31-17
26-11
27-12
23-28
25-17
21-25
32-15
21-15
31-21
16-19
25-20
25-15
32-17
36-18
29-12
24-15
23-16
15-18
25-10
166.7Avg total
97.0Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.560.5165.0+44.0100%
Season at home (2)104.560.5165.0+44.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)97.069.7166.7+27.390%
Last 5 (5)100.867.6168.4+33.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (25)92.971.9164.8+21.080%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +10.0+10.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +8.8+8.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +10.0+10.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +8.8+8.8
NorrkopingBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A24/04
Basketligan
Boras
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A27/04
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A29/04
Basketligan
Boras
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H01/05
Basketligan
Boras
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H03/05
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A06/05
Basketligan
Boras
#1
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H08/05
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H21/09
Basketligan
BC Kalev/Cramo
#44
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#17
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/09
Champions League
74.7Avg total
38.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.079.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.937.583.4+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)36.938.575.4-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.974.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.071.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.035.070.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.336.374.5+2.060%-
vs Weaker (13)46.339.786.0+6.662%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/05
LPB
Ovarense
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#8
W
64-23
64
23
+41
A25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A09/06
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A11/06
LPB
Imortal
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/09
Champions League
85.4Avg total
49.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.235.884.0+12.490%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.936.185.1+12.894%-
Last 30 away (14)47.335.482.7+11.986%-
Last 10 (10)49.535.985.4+13.690%-
Last 5 (5)50.435.686.0+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (25)48.436.184.5+12.288%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.2
48.3%
51.4%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.8
30.4%
34.9%26.2
🏀 Free throws15.011.0
73.3%
74.5%11.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.1
55.5%
51.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.9
36.4%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
74.5%12.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping
WWWWLWWLWW
Benfica
WWWWWLWWWW
#6
League position
#28
-3.2
Net rating
+13.2
92.8
Offensive rating
112.1
96.0
Defensive rating
98.9
47.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.4%
3-point %
36.4%
58.7%
Assist %
65.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 112.1Defence96.0 · 98.9Shooting47.1% · 55.1%3-point %30.4% · 36.4%Ball care15.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds22.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Norrkoping   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Norrkoping wins
1
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
01/03/11Norrkoping v Benfica80-74
01/02/11Benfica v Norrkoping83-75
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23ABakken Bears78-68
25/09/23ABC Kalev/Cramo82-78
21/09/23HKoping Stars80-66
08/05/23HBoras85-65
06/05/23ABoras71-83
03/05/23HBoras86-77
01/05/23HBoras97-70
29/04/23ABoras90-95
27/04/23ABoras83-55
24/04/23AJamtland75-64
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23HAEK Larnaca87-59
25/09/23HTSU122-62
16/09/23HImortal93-75
11/06/23ASporting CP101-85
09/06/23ASporting CP101-57
06/06/23HSporting CP87-93
04/06/23HSporting CP85-84
25/05/23AOvarense115-44
22/05/23HOvarense91-79 OT
20/05/23HOvarense88-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping
Champions League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Benfica
Champions League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game104.5104.5-
Allowed / game60.560.5-
Point differential+44.0+44.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%104.560.5+44.0
2 Obradoiro CAB220100%82.061.0+21.0
3 Brindisi220100%77.568.5+9.0
4 Norrkoping220100%80.073.0+7.0
5 Cholet220100%86.080.0+6.0
6 Strasbourg220100%81.076.0+5.0
7 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
8 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
9 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
10 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
11 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
12 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
13 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
14 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
15 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
16 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
17 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
18 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
19 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
20 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
21 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
22 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
23 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
24 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
25 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 25 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norrkoping1926151373
Benfica1718242483
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