Ovarense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 May 2023

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 44-115

16-28 7-36 14-31 7-20

Position#8

Record16-21

FormLWWLL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game80.8

Ovarense

Benfica 🏆

Position#1

Record30-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.1

Allowed / game75.1

LPBLPB - Semi-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · Ovarense v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

86-95

-9

H01/04

LPB

Oliveirense

63-71

-8

A08/04

LPB

Lusitania

#10

72-67

H15/04

LPB

Benfica

66-115

115

-49

H22/04

LPB

Sporting CP

77-91

-14

A06/05

LPB

Oliveirense

70-75

-5

A10/05

LPB

Oliveirense

82-74

H13/05

LPB

Oliveirense

58-57

A16/05

LPB

Benfica

59-88

-29

A20/05

LPB

Benfica

79-91 OT

-12

A22/05

LPB

20-23

20-24

20-27

26-21

16-21

16-19

16-13

15-18

14-18

16-9

24-21

18-19

10-28

15-32

18-29

23-26

19-19

17-28

28-23

13-21

17-27

22-18

16-15

15-15

20-19

23-17

19-15

20-23

21-12

13-15

8-11

16-19

16-17

17-28

13-21

13-22

27-17

11-22

16-14

22-23

153.6Avg total

71.2Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	75.6	80.8	156.4	-5.3	43%
Season at home (17)	81.1	81.5	162.6	-0.5	59%
Season away (20)	70.9	80.2	151.2	-9.3	30%
Last 10 (10)	71.2	82.4	153.6	-11.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	77.0	146.6	-7.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	70.4	82.4	152.8	-12.0	19%
vs Similar (5)	79.4	76.8	156.2	+2.6	60%
vs Weaker (2)	92.0	73.0	165.0	+19.0	50%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

89-92

-3

A08/04

LPB

Oliveirense

98-81

+17

H15/04

LPB

Ovarense

115-66

115

+49

A22/04

LPB

Sporting CP

96-80

+16

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

75-74

A30/04

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

107-74

107

+33

H06/05

LPB

CD Povoa

97-46

+51

H10/05

LPB

CD Povoa

93-72

+21

A13/05

LPB

Ovarense

88-59

+29

H20/05

LPB

Ovarense

91-79 OT

+12

H22/05

LPB

38-22

20-22

19-27

12-21

26-17

28-15

24-21

20-28

28-10

32-15

29-18

26-23

27-19

18-23

24-16

27-22

18-27

25-8

21-21

11-18

31-18

26-18

24-19

26-19

24-16

20-12

28-8

25-10

32-18

17-17

24-16

20-21

17-16

28-17

21-13

22-13

17-27

22-11

14-16

23-22

167.2Avg total

94.9Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	93.1	75.1	168.2	+17.9	83%
Season at home (19)	93.6	73.8	167.5	+19.8	89%
Season away (17)	92.4	76.6	169.0	+15.8	76%
Last 10 (10)	94.9	72.3	167.2	+22.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	66.0	161.2	+29.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	91.0	78.0	169.0	+13.0	100%
vs Similar (4)	70.5	81.2	151.8	-10.8	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	93.3	74.3	167.7	+19.0	78%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OvarenseBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.3	21.1	38.4	-3.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	18.5	42.6	+5.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.4	18.0	44.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	19.0	44.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.0	43.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	25.4	18.1	43.5	+7.3	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.7	38.3	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	17.5	35.2	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.5	23.1	40.6	-5.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.8	21.6	38.3	-4.8	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	16.0	35.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	18.3	40.7	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	18.3	42.5	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	15.8	39.4	+7.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.0	37.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.9	18.7	41.7	+4.2	65%	-

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

40-47

-7

H01/04

LPB

Oliveirense

32-40

-8

A08/04

LPB

Lusitania

#10

30-27

H15/04

LPB

Benfica

25-60

-35

H22/04

LPB

Sporting CP

36-47

-11

A06/05

LPB

Oliveirense

39-45

-6

A10/05

LPB

Oliveirense

43-36

H13/05

LPB

Oliveirense

34-27

A16/05

LPB

Benfica

33-45

-12

A20/05

LPB

Benfica

38-39

-1

A22/05

LPB

76.3Avg total

35.0Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	40.8	77.3	-4.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.0	38.6	73.6	-3.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	42.5	80.1	-4.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	41.3	76.3	-6.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.4	75.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.6	42.5	77.1	-8.0	19%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.2	37.0	76.2	+2.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	32.5	70.0	+5.0	50%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

58-44

+14

A08/04

LPB

Oliveirense

54-32

+22

H15/04

LPB

Ovarense

60-25

+35

A22/04

LPB

Sporting CP

45-42

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

43-35

A30/04

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

#10

57-36

+21

H06/05

LPB

CD Povoa

44-28

+16

H10/05

LPB

CD Povoa

49-35

+14

A13/05

LPB

Ovarense

45-33

+12

H20/05

LPB

Ovarense

39-38

H22/05

LPB

84.2Avg total

49.4Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	36.8	83.2	+9.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.0	37.3	83.3	+8.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.8	36.4	83.2	+10.4	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.4	34.8	84.2	+14.6	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	34.0	80.8	+12.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	48.3	36.8	85.2	+11.5	87%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	21.5	41.2	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	15.2	29.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.7	19.5	36.2	-2.8	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	14.0	42.0	+14.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	17.5	40.3	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	14.4	36.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.8	22.8	37.5	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.6	17.7	40.3	+4.8	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.0	19.7	38.6	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	26.5	53.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.5	41.2	+4.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.5	40.1	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.0	40.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	25.0	54.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.8	17.5	32.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	38.9	77.2	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.3	42.2	84.5	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.2	36.4	71.6	-1.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	39.6	75.5	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	35.6	67.2	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.7	39.2	74.9	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.2	39.8	80.0	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	54.5	40.5	95.0	+14.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	38.1	80.7	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	37.5	80.7	+5.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	38.7	80.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	37.2	81.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	31.4	76.8	+14.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.0	44.0	93.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	29.5	40.2	69.8	-10.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.3	37.3	81.7	+7.0	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 78.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	18.8	52.8%	52.4%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.8	35.5%	32.3%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	16.3	11.6	71.2%	70.4%	11.6

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ovarense wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
22/05/23	Benfica v Ovarense	91-79 OT
20/05/23	Benfica v Ovarense	88-59
22/04/23	Ovarense v Benfica	66-115
22/03/23	Benfica v Ovarense	91-75
10/02/23	Ovarense v Benfica	76-86
14/01/23	Benfica v Ovarense	76-77
07/01/23	Ovarense v Benfica	75-96
21/10/22	Benfica v Ovarense	97-72
06/05/22	Benfica v Ovarense	96-65
12/02/22	Benfica v Ovarense	86-64

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/05/23	A	Benfica	79-91 OT
20/05/23	A	Benfica	59-88
16/05/23	A	Oliveirense	58-57
13/05/23	H	Oliveirense	82-74
10/05/23	A	Oliveirense	70-75
06/05/23	A	Sporting CP	77-91
22/04/23	H	Benfica	66-115
15/04/23	H	Lusitania	72-67
08/04/23	A	Oliveirense	63-71
01/04/23	H	FC Porto	86-95

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/05/23	H	Ovarense	91-79 OT
20/05/23	H	Ovarense	88-59
13/05/23	A	CD Povoa	93-72
10/05/23	H	CD Povoa	97-46
06/05/23	H	Lusitania	107-74
30/04/23	A	Imortal	75-74
29/04/23	A	Sporting CP	96-80
22/04/23	A	Ovarense	115-66
15/04/23	H	Oliveirense	98-81
08/04/23	A	FC Porto	89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	43%
Home	LLWLW	59%
Away	LLWLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	17	20
Win %	43%	59%	30%
Points / game	75.6	81.1	70.9
Allowed / game	80.8	81.5	80.2
Point differential	-5.3	-0.5	-9.3
Avg total	156.4	162.6	151.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	18%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	73% (11)	83% (6)	60% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	5%

Benfica

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	LWLWW	76%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	19	17
Win %	83%	89%	76%
Points / game	93.1	93.6	92.4
Allowed / game	75.1	73.8	76.6
Point differential	+17.9	+19.8	+15.8
Avg total	168.2	167.5	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	84%	65%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	0% (2)	20% (5)
Overtime %	6%	5%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	36	30	6	83%	93.1	75.1	+17.9
2	Sporting CP	36	29	7	81%	91.1	78.3	+12.8
3	FC Porto	36	27	9	75%	89.7	80.0	+9.7
4	Oliveirense	35	19	16	54%	76.1	77.2	-1.1
5	CD Povoa	34	16	18	47%	73.9	75.3	-1.4
6	Vitoria	34	16	18	47%	89.1	91.2	-2.1
7	Esgueira	32	14	18	44%	77.8	82.7	-4.9
8	Ovarense	37	16	21	43%	75.6	80.8	-5.3
9	Imortal	32	13	19	41%	78.7	79.9	-1.2
10	Lusitania	34	12	22	35%	77.2	85.3	-8.1
11	CAB Madeira	32	11	21	34%	79.7	83.8	-4.1
12	Sangalhos	32	2	30	6%	70.5	86.1	-15.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ovarense	16	7	14	7	44
Benfica	28	36	31	20	115

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Ovarense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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