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Norrkoping vs Sloga Uppsala Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Projected 101-77
Projected total 178.1
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game84.1
Norrkoping
Sweden
Vs
97%
■ NOR 97%■ SLOG 3%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Sloga Uppsala
Sweden
Position#11
Record2-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game94.0
SwedenBasketligan· Stadium Arena B
Other2026-27
Meetings · Norrkoping v Sloga Uppsala
17 Nov 2026
NOR v SLOG
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
NOR98
SLOG71
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Norrköping will host Sloga Uppsala in the Basketligan on 17 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Norrköping as the clear favourite, assigning a 97% chance of victory, a reflection of their 7-3 record, 91.7 points scored per game and 83.2 points allowed per game, placing them fourth in the league. Sloga Uppsala, meanwhile, sits at the bottom of the standings with a 2-8 record, 80.7 points per game and 94.0 points allowed per game, and has struggled on the road, winning only one of five away contests. Norrköping's home performance has been mixed, 3-3 at home with 93.2 points per game and 84.8 points allowed, yet they have won three of their last five games, including a 100-82 victory over Uppsala on 10 November. Sloga Uppsala's recent form shows two wins in five games, one of which was a 100-95 win over Umea on 6 November. Historically, Norrköping has dominated the four meetings, winning all, most recently 97-90 on 13 October. The model projects a 101-77 score, a total of 178.1 points, and a 1% chance of overtime; Norrköping is also heavily favoured to cover the home spread, with a 97% probability of covering. The game will hinge on whether Sloga Uppsala can overcome their defensive woes and keep the score within a few points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping win
97.5%fair 1.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sloga Uppsala win
2.5%fair 39.43
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorrkopingSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 85
A29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 85
H09/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 85
A13/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
103-80
103
80
+23
80avg 85
H16/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
71avg 85
A23/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
75avg 85
H26/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
69avg 85
H30/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
H10/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-19
25-12
16-28
17-21
19-31
25-19
24-23
21-24
28-15
20-19
28-32
22-24
14-20
38-12
29-24
22-17
33-18
16-22
17-28
23-22
22-25
21-24
17-15
16-28
27-20
13-18
24-26
20-16
22-18
14-18
28-17
25-21
26-27
28-22
21-12
31-23
22-19
22-23
15-28
174.9Avg total
89.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.584.1175.6+7.564%
Season at home (6)93.284.8178.0+8.350%
Season away (5)89.683.2172.8+6.480%
Last 10 (10)89.985.0174.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)87.484.4171.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.593.0175.5-10.50%
vs Similar (9)84.987.1172.0-2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.981.9178.8+15.179%
This opponent (Sloga Uppsala) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sloga UppsalaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUppsala
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
58avg 71
A25/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 71
H27/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
67avg 71
A02/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
71avg 71
H09/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
88avg 71
H13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
80-111
80
111
-31
66avg 71
A23/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
73-83
73
83
-10
68avg 71
A27/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
H03/11
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
100-95
100
95
+5
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
H09/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
17-23
17-28
21-15
28-18
23-24
17-22
8-25
11-29
18-27
19-30
29-22
23-14
15-20
17-25
26-35
24-21
15-28
19-20
32-28
26-10
20-32
12-36
22-33
19-23
10-25
21-9
23-26
26-18
23-26
16-17
15-18
16-36
33-21
25-23
26-15
26-21
19-23
12-27
26-24
174.7Avg total
80.7Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.794.0174.7-13.320%
Season at home (5)82.090.8172.8-8.820%
Season away (5)79.497.2176.6-17.820%
Last 10 (10)80.794.0174.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)83.292.6175.8-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.794.8174.5-15.118%
vs Similar (2)78.084.0162.0-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
76.3%
Under 166.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
65.7%
Under 171.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
53.7%
Under 176.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Norrkoping total 83.5
Over 83.5
95.9%
Under 83.5
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrkoping total 87.5
Over 87.5
91.0%
Under 87.5
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrkoping total 91.5
Over 91.5
82.6%
Under 91.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 80
Over 80
38.6%
Under 80
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 84
Over 84
24.1%
Under 84
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 88
Over 88
13.4%
Under 88
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Norrkoping -3
NOR -3
96.3%
SLOG +3
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
NOR
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.
Spread Norrkoping 0
NOR 0
97.5%
SLOG 0
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
NOR
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.
Spread Norrkoping +3
NOR +3
98.4%
SLOG -3
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
NOR
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
NorrkopingSloga Uppsala
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H09/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A13/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H16/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A23/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H30/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A13/11
Basketligan
88.6Avg total
45.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.787.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.541.787.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)45.541.687.1+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)45.842.888.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.890.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.550.089.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (9)44.042.986.9+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.840.287.1+6.679%-
This opponent (Sloga Uppsala) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sloga UppsalaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A25/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A02/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H09/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A23/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A27/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H03/11
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/11
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
Basketligan
86.6Avg total
40.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.884.5-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.443.582.9-4.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.946.085.9-6.131%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.286.6-5.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.090.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.945.083.9-6.132%-
vs Similar (2)50.043.093.0+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.2
52.3%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.0
37.0%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
74.1%16.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloga Uppsalatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloga Uppsala: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.9
49.7%
52.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
33.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.917.4
76.0%
74.1%17.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping
LWWLLWWWLW
Sloga Uppsala
LWWLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#11
+2.8
Net rating
-25.6
101.5
Offensive rating
86.5
98.7
Defensive rating
112.1
53.8%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.0%
3-point %
31.5%
53.6%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 86.5Defence98.7 · 112.1Shooting53.8% · 48.7%3-point %37.0% · 31.5%Ball care13.3% · 19.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Norrkoping   ■ Sloga Uppsala
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Norrkoping wins
0
Sloga Uppsala wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26Sloga Uppsala v Norrkoping90-97
06/03/26Norrkoping v Sloga Uppsala98-71
16/12/25Sloga Uppsala v Norrkoping64-100
22/09/25Sloga Uppsala v Norrkoping56-87
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ANassjo90-93
10/11/26HUppsala100-82
06/11/26AHogsbo84-69
30/10/26HBC Lulea80-92
26/10/26HJamtland83-86
23/10/26ABoras88-85
16/10/26HKoping Stars103-80
13/10/26ASloga Uppsala97-90
09/10/26HSodertalje85-94
29/09/26ANassjo89-79
Sloga Uppsalalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HBoras83-95
06/11/26AUmea100-95
03/11/26HHogsbo80-79
27/10/26ANassjo73-83
23/10/26AJamtland80-111
13/10/26HNorrkoping90-97
09/10/26HKoping Stars81-94
02/10/26ABC Lulea77-108
27/09/26HUppsala76-89
25/09/26ASodertalje67-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%50%80%
Points / game91.593.289.6
Allowed / game84.184.883.2
Point differential+7.5+8.3+6.4
Avg total175.6178.0172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sloga Uppsala
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL20%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game80.782.079.4
Allowed / game94.090.897.2
Point differential-13.3-8.8-17.8
Avg total174.7172.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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