PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Norrkoping vs Sloga Uppsala Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Projected 101-77
Projected total 178.1
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game84.1
Norrkoping
Sweden
Vs
97%
■ NOR 97%■ SLOG 3%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Sloga Uppsala
Sweden
Position#11
Record2-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game94.0
SwedenBasketligan· Stadium Arena B
Other2026-27
Meetings · Norrkoping v Sloga Uppsala
17 Nov 2026
NOR v SLOG
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
NOR98
SLOG71
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Norrköping will host Sloga Uppsala in the Basketligan on 17 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Norrköping as the clear favourite, assigning a 97% chance of victory, a reflection of their 7-3 record, 91.7 points scored per game and 83.2 points allowed per game, placing them fourth in the league. Sloga Uppsala, meanwhile, sits at the bottom of the standings with a 2-8 record, 80.7 points per game and 94.0 points allowed per game, and has struggled on the road, winning only one of five away contests. Norrköping's home performance has been mixed, 3-3 at home with 93.2 points per game and 84.8 points allowed, yet they have won three of their last five games, including a 100-82 victory over Uppsala on 10 November. Sloga Uppsala's recent form shows two wins in five games, one of which was a 100-95 win over Umea on 6 November. Historically, Norrköping has dominated the four meetings, winning all, most recently 97-90 on 13 October. The model projects a 101-77 score, a total of 178.1 points, and a 1% chance of overtime; Norrköping is also heavily favoured to cover the home spread, with a 97% probability of covering. The game will hinge on whether Sloga Uppsala can overcome their defensive woes and keep the score within a few points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping win
97.5%fair 1.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sloga Uppsala win
2.5%fair 39.43
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorrkopingSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 85
A29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 85
H09/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 85
A13/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
103-80
103
80
+23
80avg 85
H16/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
71avg 85
A23/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
75avg 85
H26/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
69avg 85
H30/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
H10/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-19
25-12
16-28
17-21
19-31
25-19
24-23
21-24
28-15
20-19
28-32
22-24
14-20
38-12
29-24
22-17
33-18
16-22
17-28
23-22
22-25
21-24
17-15
16-28
27-20
13-18
24-26
20-16
22-18
14-18
28-17
25-21
26-27
28-22
21-12
31-23
22-19
22-23
15-28
174.9Avg total
89.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.584.1175.6+7.564%
Season at home (6)93.284.8178.0+8.350%
Season away (5)89.683.2172.8+6.480%
Last 10 (10)89.985.0174.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)87.484.4171.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.593.0175.5-10.50%
vs Similar (9)84.987.1172.0-2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.981.9178.8+15.179%
This opponent (Sloga Uppsala) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sloga UppsalaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUppsala
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
58avg 71
A25/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 71
H27/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
67avg 71
A02/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
71avg 71
H09/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
88avg 71
H13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
80-111
80
111
-31
66avg 71
A23/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
73-83
73
83
-10
68avg 71
A27/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
H03/11
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
100-95
100
95
+5
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
H09/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
17-23
17-28
21-15
28-18
23-24
17-22
8-25
11-29
18-27
19-30
29-22
23-14
15-20
17-25
26-35
24-21
15-28
19-20
32-28
26-10
20-32
12-36
22-33
19-23
10-25
21-9
23-26
26-18
23-26
16-17
15-18
16-36
33-21
25-23
26-15
26-21
19-23
12-27
26-24
174.7Avg total
80.7Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.794.0174.7-13.320%
Season at home (5)82.090.8172.8-8.820%
Season away (5)79.497.2176.6-17.820%
Last 10 (10)80.794.0174.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)83.292.6175.8-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.794.8174.5-15.118%
vs Similar (2)78.084.0162.0-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
76.3%
Under 166.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
65.7%
Under 171.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
53.7%
Under 176.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Norrkoping total 83.5
Over 83.5
95.9%
Under 83.5
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrkoping total 87.5
Over 87.5
91.0%
Under 87.5
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrkoping total 91.5
Over 91.5
82.6%
Under 91.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 80
Over 80
38.6%
Under 80
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 84
Over 84
24.1%
Under 84
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 88
Over 88
13.4%
Under 88
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Norrkoping -3
NOR -3
96.3%
SLOG +3
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
NOR
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.
Spread Norrkoping 0
NOR 0
97.5%
SLOG 0
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
NOR
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.
Spread Norrkoping +3
NOR +3
98.4%
SLOG -3
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
NOR
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
NorrkopingSloga Uppsala
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H09/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A13/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H16/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A23/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H30/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A13/11
Basketligan
88.6Avg total
45.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.787.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.541.787.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)45.541.687.1+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)45.842.888.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.890.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.550.089.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (9)44.042.986.9+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.840.287.1+6.679%-
This opponent (Sloga Uppsala) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sloga UppsalaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A25/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A02/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H09/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A23/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A27/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H03/11
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/11
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
Basketligan
86.6Avg total
40.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.884.5-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.443.582.9-4.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.946.085.9-6.131%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.286.6-5.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.090.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.945.083.9-6.132%-
vs Similar (2)50.043.093.0+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.2
52.3%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.0
37.0%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
74.1%16.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloga Uppsalatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloga Uppsala: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.9
49.7%
52.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
33.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.917.4
76.0%
74.1%17.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping
LWWLLWWWLW
Sloga Uppsala
LWWLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#11
+2.8
Net rating
-25.6
101.5
Offensive rating
86.5
98.7
Defensive rating
112.1
53.8%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.0%
3-point %
31.5%
53.6%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 86.5Defence98.7 · 112.1Shooting53.8% · 48.7%3-point %37.0% · 31.5%Ball care13.3% · 19.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Norrkoping   ■ Sloga Uppsala
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Norrkoping wins
0
Sloga Uppsala wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26Sloga Uppsala v Norrkoping90-97
06/03/26Norrkoping v Sloga Uppsala98-71
16/12/25Sloga Uppsala v Norrkoping64-100
22/09/25Sloga Uppsala v Norrkoping56-87
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ANassjo90-93
10/11/26HUppsala100-82
06/11/26AHogsbo84-69
30/10/26HBC Lulea80-92
26/10/26HJamtland83-86
23/10/26ABoras88-85
16/10/26HKoping Stars103-80
13/10/26ASloga Uppsala97-90
09/10/26HSodertalje85-94
29/09/26ANassjo89-79
Sloga Uppsalalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HBoras83-95
06/11/26AUmea100-95
03/11/26HHogsbo80-79
27/10/26ANassjo73-83
23/10/26AJamtland80-111
13/10/26HNorrkoping90-97
09/10/26HKoping Stars81-94
02/10/26ABC Lulea77-108
27/09/26HUppsala76-89
25/09/26ASodertalje67-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%50%80%
Points / game91.593.289.6
Allowed / game84.184.883.2
Point differential+7.5+8.3+6.4
Avg total175.6178.0172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sloga Uppsala
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL20%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game80.782.079.4
Allowed / game94.090.897.2
Point differential-13.3-8.8-17.8
Avg total174.7172.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.