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North Carolina vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 71-63
42-26 29-37
Position#117
Record17-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game72.1
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Virginia
USA
Position#36
Record21-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game60.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · North Carolina v Virginia
19 Jan 2027
NORT v VIRG
upcoming
22 Feb 2025
NORT81
VIRG66
25 Feb 2023
NORT71
VIRG63
10 Mar 2022
NORT63
VIRG43
08 Jan 2022
NORT74
VIRG58
15 Feb 2020
NORT62
VIRG64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H18/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H11/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-26
41-38
34-33
46-36
38-34
34-34
33-34
31-31
32-33
25-30
25-47
60-45
42-33
49-38
34-35
38-45
31-32
38-45
19-27
44-32
143.3Avg total
72.5Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.372.1149.5+5.261%
Season at home (14)80.469.0149.4+11.486%
Season away (14)74.275.3149.5-1.136%
Last 10 (10)72.570.8143.3+1.750%
Last 5 (5)76.075.8151.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.680.4167.0+6.260%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.573.3146.8+0.241%
vs Weaker (8)79.065.1144.1+13.9100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
38-37
42-32
34-35
35-27
41-30
36-35
31-27
30-32
38-42
34-20
29-30
25-27
33-31
29-26
32-32
29-25
28-30
21-28
27-35
127.9Avg total
66.3Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)68.360.2128.5+8.081%
Season at home (15)68.656.5125.1+12.193%
Season away (11)67.865.4133.2+2.564%
Last 10 (10)66.361.6127.9+4.780%
Last 5 (5)59.657.6117.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.060.7113.7-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.962.9131.9+6.071%
vs Weaker (12)68.057.2125.2+10.892%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
North CarolinaVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H18/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A23/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
31.9Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.867.8+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.631.468.9+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)32.834.166.8-1.344%-
Last 10 (10)31.933.465.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.865.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.235.074.2+4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.033.666.6-0.647%-
vs Weaker (8)36.629.866.4+6.988%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A04/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A23/02
NCAA
60.4Avg total
32.1Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.527.457.9+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.925.055.9+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)29.930.560.5-0.654%-
Last 10 (10)32.128.360.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)27.625.252.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)22.027.749.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.628.959.5+1.843%-
vs Weaker (12)32.726.359.0+6.383%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Carolina wins
4
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
11/01/23Virginia v North Carolina65-58
11/03/22North Carolina v Virginia63-43
08/01/22North Carolina v Virginia74-58
13/02/21Virginia v North Carolina60-48
16/02/20North Carolina v Virginia62-64
08/12/19Virginia v North Carolina56-47
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23ANotre Dame63-59
19/02/23ANC State69-77
14/02/23HMiami (FL)72-80
11/02/23HClemson91-71
08/02/23AWake Forest85-92
04/02/23ADuke57-63
02/02/23HPittsburgh64-65
25/01/23ASyracuse72-68
21/01/23HNC State80-69
18/01/23HBoston College72-64
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23ABoston College48-63
18/02/23HNotre Dame57-55
16/02/23ALouisville61-58
11/02/23HDuke69-62 OT
08/02/23HNC State63-50
04/02/23AVirginia Tech68-74
31/01/23ASyracuse67-62
28/01/23HBoston College76-57
21/01/23AWake Forest76-67
19/01/23HVirginia Tech78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeWWLWL86%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%86%36%
Points / game77.380.474.2
Allowed / game72.169.075.3
Point differential+5.2+11.4-1.1
Avg total149.5149.4149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%57%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %81%93%64%
Points / game68.368.667.8
Allowed / game60.256.565.4
Point differential+8.0+12.1+2.5
Avg total128.5125.1133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2621581%68.360.2+8.0
2 NC State3022873%78.770.3+8.5
3 Clemson2921872%75.768.3+7.4
4 Pittsburgh2921872%75.868.4+7.4
5 Duke2820871%71.963.9+8.0
6 North Carolina28171161%77.372.1+5.2
7 Wake Forest28171161%77.974.5+3.4
8 Miami (FL)58342459%76.873.1+3.7
9 Virginia Tech28161257%74.569.5+5.0
10 Syracuse29161355%74.172.3+1.8
11 Boston College29141548%66.269.9-3.7
12 Georgia Tech29121741%68.670.5-1.9
13 Stanford28111739%69.067.8+1.2
14 Notre Dame28101836%69.871.6-1.9
15 SMU Mustangs28101836%70.574.8-4.2
16 Florida State2992031%70.176.5-6.4
17 Louisville2942514%64.575.8-11.3
18 California2932610%58.569.7-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina422971
Virginia263763
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