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North Carolina vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-73
31-33 49-40
Position#105
Record8-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#312
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · North Carolina v Wake Forest
10 Jan 2026
NORT87
WAKE84
22 Jan 2024
NORT85
WAKE64
04 Jan 2023
NORT88
WAKE79
20 Jan 2021
NORT80
WAKE73
03 Mar 2020
NORT93
WAKE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#52
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A09/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#257
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H12/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A19/12
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
39-29
31-43
49-50
30-28
43-39
34-38
41-25
42-49
34-30
35-29
32-43
29-30
37-35
32-30
35-35
40-40
41-35
37-41
38-41
145.7Avg total
72.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.269.5142.7+3.662%
Season at home (5)73.267.2140.4+6.080%
Season away (8)73.171.0144.1+2.150%
Last 10 (10)72.773.0145.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)71.271.8143.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.578.4151.9-4.827%
vs Similar (12)74.671.4146.0+3.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)71.064.9135.9+6.186%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#119
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H10/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#349
W
111-51
111
51
+60
H25/11
NCAA
Longwood
#221
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Catawba
#360
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A09/01
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-44
33-40
41-40
31-41
59-30
52-21
34-34
37-26
32-30
38-32
21-35
33-35
39-34
22-36
33-37
35-42
34-46
31-31
23-29
37-35
139.4Avg total
69.6Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.066.6136.6+3.438%
Season at home (5)75.462.8138.2+12.660%
Season away (3)61.073.0134.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)69.669.8139.4-0.230%
Last 5 (5)61.672.0133.6-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.677.5149.1-5.924%
vs Similar (10)70.572.6143.1-2.140%
vs Weaker (2)95.556.5152.0+39.0100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.0+1.0
North CarolinaWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#52
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H02/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A09/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#257
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H12/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/12
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
33.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.635.268.7-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.833.068.8+2.855%-
Last 30 away (19)32.336.468.7-4.237%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.870.6-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.068.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.936.369.2-3.436%-
vs Similar (12)35.236.171.2-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)31.931.963.7+0.043%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#119
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#349
W
59-30
59
30
+29
H25/11
NCAA
Longwood
#221
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H28/11
NCAA
Catawba
#360
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
34.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.769.2-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.133.369.4+2.856%-
Last 30 away (12)32.236.768.9-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.970.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)30.036.266.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.237.271.4-3.135%-
vs Similar (10)32.931.864.7+1.150%-
vs Weaker (2)47.529.577.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
1
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
04/03/20North Carolina v Wake Forest93-83
12/02/20Wake Forest v North Carolina74-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21AFlorida State75-82
13/01/21HSyracuse81-75
06/01/21AMiami (FL)67-65
02/01/21HNotre Dame66-65
31/12/20AGeorgia Tech67-72
23/12/20ANC State76-79
19/12/20AKentucky75-63
12/12/20HN. Carolina Central73-67
09/12/20AIowa80-93
02/12/20HTexas67-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HVirginia Tech60-64
14/01/21HLouisville65-77
09/01/21ADuke68-79
07/01/21AVirginia61-70
03/01/21AGeorgia Tech54-70
31/12/20HCatawba70-62
28/11/20HLongwood71-60
25/11/20HDelaware State111-51
10/03/20HPittsburgh72-81
07/03/20ANC State64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%80%50%
Points / game73.273.273.1
Allowed / game69.567.271.0
Point differential+3.6+6.0+2.1
Avg total142.7140.4144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game70.075.461.0
Allowed / game66.662.873.0
Point differential+3.4+12.6-12.0
Avg total136.6138.2134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1311285%74.364.7+9.6
2 Virginia119282%73.559.4+14.2
3 Clemson119282%66.660.1+6.5
4 Florida State108280%79.069.2+9.8
5 Pittsburgh108280%74.266.1+8.1
6 SMU Mustangs97278%79.267.1+12.1
7 Louisville129375%70.765.5+5.2
8 Syracuse128467%79.570.1+9.4
9 Georgia Tech96367%80.173.3+6.8
10 Stanford138562%72.468.2+4.2
11 North Carolina138562%73.269.5+3.6
12 NC State106460%76.969.6+7.3
13 Duke95456%74.672.3+2.2
14 California157847%68.569.9-1.4
15 Miami (FL)136746%67.468.0-0.6
16 Wake Forest83538%70.066.6+3.4
17 Notre Dame124833%71.274.6-3.4
18 Boston College1331023%72.778.2-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina314980
Wake Forest334073
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