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North Carolina vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 88-79
37-38 51-41
Position#117
Record9-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#142
Record10-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · North Carolina v Wake Forest
10 Jan 2026
NORT87
WAKE84
22 Jan 2024
NORT85
WAKE64
04 Jan 2023
NORT88
WAKE79
20 Jan 2021
NORT80
WAKE73
03 Mar 2020
NORT93
WAKE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#263
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H10/12
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-38
49-43
34-32
31-38
34-37
43-40
29-35
36-42
27-37
45-43
39-26
36-33
48-33
52-34
35-44
44-35
41-34
39-42
40-34
34-42
158.3Avg total
81.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.974.6155.6+6.364%
Season at home (7)82.667.7150.3+14.9100%
Season away (7)79.381.6160.9-2.329%
Last 10 (10)81.077.3158.3+3.750%
Last 5 (5)83.672.4156.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.679.4166.0+7.275%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.570.0141.5+1.558%
vs Weaker (10)82.567.9150.4+14.690%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A20/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
105-74
105
74
+31
H24/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H26/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A03/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H15/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A17/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
40-30
51-27
54-47
53-24
44-46
37-34
41-41
33-26
24-51
41-33
29-39
31-37
36-29
33-43
24-38
39-30
42-40
38-38
39-37
150.1Avg total
76.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.671.1146.7+4.671%
Season at home (10)79.268.5147.7+10.790%
Season away (4)66.877.5144.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)76.473.7150.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)70.472.8143.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.072.0135.0-9.040%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.772.4150.1+5.278%
vs Weaker (15)82.271.9154.1+10.367%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -2.5-2.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -2.5-2.5
North CarolinaWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#263
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/12
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.431.468.8+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.129.168.2+9.973%-
Last 30 away (15)35.733.669.3+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.071.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.274.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.134.572.6+3.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.030.463.4+2.667%-
vs Weaker (10)42.130.072.1+12.180%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A20/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H24/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H26/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A03/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
38.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.831.868.6+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.930.970.8+8.980%-
Last 30 away (10)30.733.664.3-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.770.8+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.272.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.032.062.0-2.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.635.971.4-0.344%-
vs Weaker (15)39.430.069.4+9.487%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Carolina wins
2
Wake Forest wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22APittsburgh74-76
22/12/22HMichigan80-76
17/12/22AOhio State89-84 OT
14/12/22HCitadel100-67
10/12/22HGeorgia Tech75-59
04/12/22AVirginia Tech72-80
01/12/22AIndiana65-77
27/11/22AAlabama101-103 OT
25/11/22AIowa State65-70
24/11/22APortland89-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HVirginia Tech77-75
20/12/22HDuke81-70
17/12/22ARutgers57-81
15/12/22HAppalachian State67-66
10/12/22HLSU70-72
03/12/22AClemson57-77
30/11/22AWisconsin78-75
26/11/22HHampton97-70
24/11/22HSouth Carolina St105-74
20/11/22ALoyola Marymount75-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%100%29%
Points / game80.982.679.3
Allowed / game74.667.781.6
Point differential+6.3+14.9-2.3
Avg total155.6150.3160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %14%0%29%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %71%90%25%
Points / game75.679.266.8
Allowed / game71.168.577.5
Point differential+4.6+10.7-10.8
Avg total146.7147.7144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %14%10%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1411379%75.463.9+11.4
2 Clemson1411379%75.966.3+9.6
3 Virginia1310377%69.859.1+10.7
4 NC State1612475%79.867.8+12.1
5 Duke1511473%72.962.4+10.5
6 Pittsburgh1511473%75.367.7+7.5
7 Wake Forest1410471%75.671.1+4.6
8 Syracuse1510567%75.269.1+6.1
9 Miami (FL)29191066%76.271.2+5.0
10 North Carolina149564%80.974.6+6.3
11 Georgia Tech148657%71.668.7+2.9
12 Notre Dame158753%69.768.5+1.1
13 Boston College158753%64.767.5-2.7
14 SMU Mustangs146843%69.970.1-0.1
15 Stanford145936%68.164.9+3.2
16 Florida State1541127%68.674.1-5.5
17 California1521313%59.566.4-6.9
18 Louisville1521313%62.074.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina375188
Wake Forest384179
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