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North Carolina vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-64
33-34 52-30
Position#19
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#119
Record13-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Carolina v Wake Forest
10 Jan 2026
NORT87
WAKE84
22 Jan 2024
NORT85
WAKE64
04 Jan 2023
NORT88
WAKE79
20 Jan 2021
NORT80
WAKE73
03 Mar 2020
NORT93
WAKE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A06/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A21/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H30/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A06/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
37-43
38-40
45-47
36-28
45-41
51-28
54-32
31-28
39-29
34-34
31-21
30-28
37-26
52-30
51-37
46-29
40-41
34-31
42-35
148.4Avg total
81.2Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.469.3152.8+14.183%
Season at home (11)89.570.3159.7+19.291%
Season away (7)74.067.9141.9+6.171%
Last 10 (10)81.267.2148.4+14.080%
Last 5 (5)79.462.4141.8+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.273.1146.2+0.133%
vs Weaker (17)82.265.4147.6+16.994%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#349
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H19/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
45-27
42-32
46-27
40-37
51-31
44-24
42-39
36-40
48-38
44-37
29-36
41-42
41-45
27-21
39-26
45-35
31-48
48-33
42-32
152.3Avg total
83.2Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.169.8150.9+11.372%
Season at home (14)81.566.4147.9+15.186%
Season away (4)79.882.0161.8-2.225%
Last 10 (10)83.269.1152.3+14.180%
Last 5 (5)80.072.8152.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.781.3156.0-6.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.075.1152.1+1.955%
vs Weaker (16)80.768.4149.1+12.275%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +6.5+6.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +6.5+6.5
North CarolinaWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
39.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.869.8+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.833.173.9+7.765%-
Last 30 away (13)32.032.564.5-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.132.071.1+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.469.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.333.869.1+1.633%-
vs Weaker (17)38.131.569.6+6.571%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#349
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/01
NCAA
73.8Avg total
40.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.673.0+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.133.571.6+4.674%-
Last 30 away (11)36.439.275.5-2.818%-
Last 10 (10)40.533.373.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.674.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.041.380.3-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.534.371.8+3.345%-
vs Weaker (16)37.135.472.5+1.862%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
North Carolina wins
3
Wake Forest wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ABoston College76-66
18/01/24HLouisville86-70
13/01/24HSyracuse103-67
11/01/24ANC State67-54
06/01/24AClemson65-55
03/01/24APittsburgh70-57
30/12/23HCharleston Southern105-60
21/12/23AOklahoma81-69
16/12/23AKentucky83-87
06/12/23AUconn76-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HLouisville90-65
17/01/24ANC State76-83
13/01/24HVirginia66-47
10/01/24AFlorida State82-87
06/01/24HMiami (FL)86-82 OT
03/01/24ABoston College84-78
30/12/23HVirginia Tech86-63
21/12/23HPresbyterian91-68
19/12/23HDelaware State88-59
10/12/23HNJIT83-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %83%91%71%
Points / game83.489.574.0
Allowed / game69.370.367.9
Point differential+14.1+19.2+6.1
Avg total152.8159.7141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%73%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW72%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %72%86%25%
Points / game81.181.579.8
Allowed / game69.866.482.0
Point differential+11.3+15.1-2.2
Avg total150.9147.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%79%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1815383%83.469.3+14.1
2 Duke1713476%81.666.9+14.8
3 SMU Mustangs1813572%76.362.4+13.9
4 Wake Forest1813572%81.169.8+11.3
5 Clemson1813572%80.773.1+7.7
6 Virginia1813572%65.558.2+7.3
7 NC State1813572%77.370.2+7.1
8 Syracuse1813572%75.771.7+4.0
9 Miami (FL)1912763%81.472.8+8.6
10 Pittsburgh1811761%76.566.8+9.7
11 Virginia Tech1811761%73.768.1+5.6
12 Boston College1811761%77.373.0+4.3
13 Florida State1811761%76.673.5+3.1
14 Stanford1810856%79.376.4+2.8
15 Georgia Tech189950%73.675.2-1.7
16 Notre Dame1871139%62.865.1-2.3
17 California1971237%75.676.6-0.9
18 Louisville1861233%73.177.8-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina335285
Wake Forest343064
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