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Kentucky vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-75
38-34 25-41
Position#273
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#105
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Kentucky v North Carolina
19 Dec 2026
KENT v NORT
upcoming
02 Dec 2025
KENT64
NORT67
16 Dec 2023
KENT87
NORT83
18 Dec 2021
KENT98
NORT69
19 Dec 2020
KENT63
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#103
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#203
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#28
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H04/03
NCAA
Florida
#103
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#109
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H29/11
NCAA
Kansas
#55
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
34-28
36-27
33-33
40-37
33-29
42-31
31-50
30-40
41-30
45-26
36-19
32-28
32-48
35-29
27-36
27-34
35-45
26-48
37-16
134.8Avg total
68.3Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.465.8132.2+0.620%
Season at home (4)67.562.5130.0+5.025%
Season away (1)62.079.0141.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)68.366.5134.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)66.465.8132.2+0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)67.266.2133.5+1.025%
vs Similar (9)70.769.4140.1+1.267%
vs Weaker (17)74.465.8140.2+8.682%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#257
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A10/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
53-81
53
81
-28
A12/03
NCAA
Charleston
#205
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
78-51
78
51
+27
A01/12
NCAA
Stanford
#178
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A01/12
NCAA
Texas
#52
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A09/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#257
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
58-49
34-42
42-47
32-26
46-30
22-43
31-38
39-32
40-28
37-30
41-21
29-33
38-30
28-40
39-29
31-43
49-50
30-28
43-39
145.6Avg total
74.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.067.2141.2+6.867%
Season at home (3)73.065.3138.3+7.767%
Season away (3)75.069.0144.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)74.471.2145.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)73.068.6141.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.879.1152.9-5.327%
vs Similar (11)73.769.5143.3+4.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)72.265.2137.5+7.075%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +6.6+6.6
KentuckyNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#103
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#203
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Auburn
#28
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Florida
#103
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A07/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#109
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Kansas
#55
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H12/12
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.265.4+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.230.865.9+4.468%-
Last 30 away (11)32.532.064.5+0.564%-
Last 10 (10)34.433.167.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.066.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.829.264.0+5.575%-
vs Similar (9)32.834.867.6-2.056%-
vs Weaker (17)34.829.864.6+4.971%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#257
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A12/03
NCAA
Charleston
#205
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A01/12
NCAA
Stanford
#178
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A01/12
NCAA
Texas
#52
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H02/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A09/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#257
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H12/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
31.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.367.7-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.067.5+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)31.336.667.9-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)31.735.166.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.865.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.936.769.6-3.740%-
vs Similar (11)34.532.266.7+2.473%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)32.031.263.2+0.850%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
North Carolina wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/20HNotre Dame63-64
06/12/20AGeorgia Tech62-79
02/12/20HKansas62-65
29/11/20HRichmond Spiders64-76
25/11/20HMorehead State81-45
07/03/20AFlorida71-70
04/03/20HTennessee73-81
29/02/20HAuburn73-66
26/02/20ATexas A&M69-60
22/02/20HFlorida65-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/20HN. Carolina Central73-67
09/12/20AIowa80-93
02/12/20HTexas67-69
01/12/20AStanford67-63
01/12/20AUNLV78-51
25/11/20HCharleston79-60
12/03/20ASyracuse53-81
10/03/20AVirginia Tech78-56
07/03/20ADuke76-89
04/03/20HWake Forest93-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%25%0%
Points / game66.467.562.0
Allowed / game65.862.579.0
Point differential+0.6+5.0-17.0
Avg total132.2130.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game74.073.075.0
Allowed / game67.265.369.0
Point differential+6.8+7.7+6.0
Avg total141.2138.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas660100%91.357.5+33.8
2 Tennessee440100%75.847.5+28.2
3 Ole Miss440100%74.052.0+22.0
4 Georgia550100%81.865.4+16.4
5 Missouri550100%79.267.8+11.4
6 Texas76186%74.460.9+13.6
7 LSU54180%89.066.0+23.0
8 Oklahoma54180%85.672.4+13.2
9 Texas A&M54180%72.062.4+9.6
10 Florida43175%80.865.5+15.2
11 Auburn75271%77.071.4+5.6
12 Vanderbilt32167%76.063.3+12.7
13 Alabama64267%76.371.3+5.0
14 Mississippi St.74357%71.065.7+5.3
15 South Carolina31233%66.071.0-5.0
16 Kentucky51420%66.465.8+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest220100%91.055.5+35.5
2 SMU Mustangs550100%85.263.0+22.2
3 Florida State440100%78.064.2+13.8
4 Syracuse65183%79.863.2+16.7
5 Clemson65183%66.753.8+12.8
6 Pittsburgh65183%75.064.7+10.3
7 Virginia Tech65183%69.864.2+5.7
8 Louisville54180%71.863.4+8.4
9 NC State43175%85.062.8+22.2
10 Virginia43175%74.057.5+16.5
11 North Carolina64267%74.067.2+6.8
12 Stanford53260%73.665.4+8.2
13 Miami (FL)53260%66.861.8+5.0
14 Duke53260%73.869.6+4.2
15 Georgia Tech63350%80.378.3+2.0
16 California73443%65.967.3-1.4
17 Notre Dame52340%72.475.6-3.2
18 Boston College61517%73.785.5-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky382563
North Carolina344175
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