PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

North Carolina vs Wofford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 89-69
Projected total 158.7
Final 109-70
51-34 58-36
Position#70
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game72.0
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ NORT 95%■ WOFF 5%
Pythia win probability
Wofford
USA
Position#298
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game90.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · North Carolina v Wofford
06 Nov 2026
NORT109
WOFF70
15 Dec 2019
NORT64
WOFF68
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 6 November 2026 the NCAA contest pits North Carolina against Wofford, with the model rating North Carolina as the clear favourite because it is 1-0, averages 80.0 points per game, allows 72.0, and sits at league position 186, while Wofford is 0-1, averages 59.0, allows 90.0 and sits at 356. North Carolina has won its only game, 80-72 at home, and has a home record of 1-0, whereas Wofford's sole outing was a 59-90 loss away, giving it a road record of 0-1; the last five games for North Carolina show two wins and three losses, and for Wofford one win and four losses. Their single meeting in 2019 ended with Wofford 68-64, the only time North Carolina has fallen short. Pythia gives North Carolina a 95% chance of winning versus 5% for Wofford, projects a 89-69 score and a total of 158.7 points, with a home line of -23.5 and a 37% chance of covering it, while the over on the 155.5 line has a 58% probability; overtime is unlikely at 1%. The game will likely see North Carolina dominate early, but Wofford's 68-64 win in 2019 suggests it can challenge the lead.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
95.4%fair 1.05
Best odds1.03
Implied94.4%
Edge+1.0pp
Wofford winLost
4.6%fair 21.76
Best odds20.00
Implied5.6%
Edge-1.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A21/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
H19/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#241
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-32
33-33
26-42
32-40
33-28
44-36
39-38
38-36
44-44
45-38
27-30
40-33
34-39
27-37
31-39
48-41
39-28
36-47
39-30
41-42
148.5Avg total
74.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.574.0148.5+0.560%
Last 5 (5)73.074.6147.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.072.0138.0-6.050%
vs Similar (14)72.674.6147.2-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.470.9156.3+14.493%
This opponent (Wofford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WoffordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A12/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A14/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#44
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-27
37-40
41-36
36-30
34-47
46-50
30-47
59-52
44-32
38-44
36-43
31-33
33-37
39-32
39-39
44-44
32-36
40-39
31-34
28-56
157.7Avg total
76.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.090.0149.0-31.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)59.090.0149.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)76.980.8157.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)72.080.6152.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.586.3165.8-6.833%
vs Similar (15)77.576.2153.7+1.360%
vs Weaker (8)85.871.0156.8+14.888%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
67.2%
@ 1.50+4.7pp
Under 151.5
32.8%
@ 2.55-4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 156.5 · main lineActual: Over 156.5
Over 156.5
55.3%
@ 1.94+6.3pp
Under 156.5
44.7%
@ 1.90-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.94
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Over 161.5
Over 161.5
43.0%
@ 2.55+6.0pp
Under 161.5
57.0%
@ 1.47-6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

North Carolina total 85Actual: North Carolina over 85
Over 85
67.4%
Under 85
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
North Carolina total 89 · main lineActual: North Carolina over 89
Over 89
51.1%
@ 1.85+0.7pp
Under 89
48.9%
@ 1.88-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
North Carolina total 93Actual: North Carolina over 93
Over 93
34.7%
Under 93
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wofford total 63Actual: Wofford over 63
Over 63
74.7%
Under 63
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wofford total 67 · main lineActual: Wofford over 67
Over 67
59.8%
@ 1.85+9.5pp
Under 67
40.2%
@ 1.87-9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Wofford total 71Actual: Wofford under 71
Over 71
43.2%
Under 71
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread North Carolina -25.5Actual: North Carolina -25.5
NORT -25.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
WOFF +25.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.18
WOFF
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.55
Spread North Carolina -22.5 · main lineActual: North Carolina -22.5
NORT -22.5
40.4%
@ 1.93-8.6pp
WOFF +22.5
59.6%
@ 1.88+8.6pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.93
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
WOFF
Bet365
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.66
Spread North Carolina -19.5Actual: North Carolina -19.5
NORT -19.5
51.0%
@ 1.73-7.9pp
WOFF +19.5
49.0%
@ 2.30+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.53
WOFF
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.00

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
North CarolinaWofford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H19/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#241
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)38.235.773.9+2.560%50%
Last 30 at home (18)39.633.773.2+5.978%50%
Last 30 away (12)36.238.875.0-2.533%50%
Last 10 (10)35.835.070.8+0.850%30%
Last 5 (5)34.033.267.2+0.840%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.540.071.5-8.50%0%
vs Similar (14)34.436.670.9-2.236%36%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.134.277.3+8.993%71%
This opponent (Wofford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WoffordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A12/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#44
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/11
NCAA
74.2Avg total
36.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)37.436.173.5+1.343%47%
Last 30 at home (15)37.135.172.2+1.940%53%
Last 30 away (15)37.737.174.7+0.647%40%
Last 10 (10)36.437.874.2-1.430%60%
Last 5 (5)34.237.872.0-3.60%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.744.281.8-6.50%67%
vs Similar (15)36.136.472.5-0.347%47%
vs Weaker (8)40.229.870.0+10.575%38%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: North Carolina win
NORT win
no forecast
@ 1.09
WOFF win
no forecast
@ 8.50
1st half Spread North Carolina -13.5 · main lineActual: North Carolina -13.5
NORT -13.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
WOFF +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 73.5 · main lineActual: Over 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
North Carolina 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: North Carolina over 43
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Wofford 1st half total 31 · main lineActual: Wofford over 31
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Over/Under 75Actual: Over 75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread North Carolina -14.5Actual: North Carolina -14.5
NORT -14.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
WOFF +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread North Carolina -12.5Actual: North Carolina -12.5
NORT -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
WOFF +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.32
Under
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread North Carolina -15.5Actual: North Carolina -15.5
NORT -15.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
WOFF +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread North Carolina -11.5Actual: North Carolina -11.5
NORT -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
WOFF +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Spread North Carolina -16.5Actual: North Carolina -16.5
NORT -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
WOFF +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread North Carolina -10.5Actual: North Carolina -10.5
NORT -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
WOFF +10.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: North Carolina (regulation)
NORT
no forecast
@ 1.09
Draw
no forecast
@ 26.00
WOFF
no forecast
@ 8.25

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NORT win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
WOFF win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NORT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: WOFF leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Wofford over 63.572.2%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+10.5ppWon
Wofford over 62.575.5%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+10.0ppWon
Wofford over 61.578.5%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+9.5ppWon
North Carolina (regulation)94.6%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+6.8ppWon
Wofford over 59.583.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.1ppWon
Wofford over 51.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.8ppWon
Wofford over 53.594.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.7ppWon
Wofford over 57.588.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.5ppWon
North Carolina over 79.583.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+4.4ppWon
North Carolina over 75.591.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.3ppWon
Wofford over 55.591.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.3ppWon
North Carolina over 77.588.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.9ppWon
Over 15070.9%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+3.9ppWon
Wofford over 52.595.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.9ppWon
Over 149.571.5%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.35		---+3.7ppWon
Wofford over 60.581.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.6ppWon
Wofford over 54.593.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.5ppWon
North Carolina under 99.585.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+3.5ppLost
Wofford over 50.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.3ppWon
Over 131.595.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.2ppWon
Wofford over 58.586.2%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+3.2ppWon
North Carolina under 94.570.2%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+3.1ppLost
Over 14973.0%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+3.1ppWon
North Carolina over 76.590.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.7ppWon
Wofford over 56.590.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.6ppWon
Over 148.573.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+2.6ppWon
North Carolina over 80.581.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.5ppWon
North Carolina over 78.586.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+2.4ppWon
Over 136.591.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.2ppWon
Over 146.577.5%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+2.2ppWon
Over 141.585.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+1.3ppWon
North Carolina win95.4%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01		--+1.0ppWon
Under 181.592.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----0.2ppWon
Under 176.586.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----2.9ppLost
North Carolina -7.586.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----3.5ppWon
Under 171.578.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----5.7ppLost
North Carolina -12.574.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----7.3ppWon
Wofford under 76.576.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----8.8ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
1
Wofford wins
DateGameScore
15/12/19North Carolina v Wofford64-68
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HWestern Carolina80-72
19/03/26HVCU Rams78-82 OT
13/03/26HClemson79-80
07/03/26ADuke61-76
04/03/26HClemson67-63
01/03/26HVirginia Tech89-82
24/02/26HLouisville77-74
21/02/26ASyracuse77-64
18/02/26ANC State58-82
14/02/26HPittsburgh79-65
Woffordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ATennessee59-90
07/03/26HNC Greensboro72-75
28/02/26HCitadel90-93 OT
26/02/26AEast Tennessee St72-69
22/02/26HFurman67-76
18/02/26HVMI82-76
14/02/26ANC Greensboro89-99
12/02/26ASamford80-97
07/02/26HWestern Carolina77-66
04/02/26AVMI81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over 156.50%0%-
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Wofford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game59.0-59.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-31.0--31.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over 156.50%-0%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.551.0+47.5
2 Syracuse220100%88.053.5+34.5
3 Virginia Tech220100%92.060.5+31.5
4 Pittsburgh220100%87.559.0+28.5
5 Virginia220100%93.066.0+27.0
6 California220100%99.578.0+21.5
7 Boston College220100%73.552.5+21.0
8 Georgia Tech110100%75.055.0+20.0
9 NC State110100%83.064.0+19.0
10 SMU Mustangs220100%90.071.0+19.0
11 Notre Dame220100%78.564.0+14.5
12 Louisville110100%84.070.0+14.0
13 Clemson110100%85.072.0+13.0
14 Stanford110100%74.065.0+9.0
15 North Carolina110100%80.072.0+8.0
16 Wake Forest21150%67.068.0-1.0
17 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
18 Florida State1010%69.0112.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Greensboro110100%96.043.0+53.0
2 Furman220100%100.061.0+39.0
3 Samford110100%87.058.0+29.0
4 Mercer21150%78.574.5+4.0
5 VMI21150%92.589.0+3.5
6 Western Carolina1010%72.080.0-8.0
7 Chattanooga Mocs2020%81.590.5-9.0
8 East Tennessee St1010%65.075.0-10.0
9 Citadel1010%52.077.0-25.0
10 Wofford1010%59.090.0-31.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina5158109
Wofford343670
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.