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North Texas vs Miss. Valley St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#100
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#389
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game85.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · North Texas v Miss. Valley St.
06 Dec 2026
NORT v MISS
upcoming
18 Dec 2024
NORT83
MISS42
02 Dec 2023
NORT79
MISS48
26 Nov 2020
NORT116
MISS62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Texas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A26/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#538
W
122-50
122
50
+72
H03/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#151
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H05/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#66
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H12/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#261
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
41-38
36-38
43-42
21-28
41-30
23-33
39-25
34-30
40-40
36-25
33-44
57-17
65-33
34-32
43-35
41-34
30-42
33-29
33-36
145.6Avg total
77.0Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.064.5148.5+19.575%
Season at home (4)84.064.5148.5+19.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.068.6145.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)84.069.6153.6+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.475.2145.6-4.820%
vs Similar (10)67.167.0134.1+0.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)71.268.4139.5+2.854%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#281
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A24/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A06/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A10/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#118
L
57-84
57
84
-27
A07/11
NCAA
Washington
#64
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A10/11
NCAA
Oregon
#29
L
66-100
66
100
-34
A12/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#33
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
36-37
36-38
26-45
35-39
35-30
23-38
41-29
41-36
36-49
19-34
33-43
22-38
35-46
33-43
31-34
28-50
38-50
31-45
34-36
144.3Avg total
64.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)63.085.5148.5-22.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)63.085.5148.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)64.979.4144.3-14.520%
Last 5 (5)60.883.8144.6-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)62.982.4145.2-19.57%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (North Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -9.1-9.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -5.4-5.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -9.1-9.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -5.4-5.4
North TexasMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A13/03
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#538
W
57-17
57
17
+40
H03/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#151
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H05/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#66
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#261
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
34.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.330.063.3+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.830.466.2+5.472%-
Last 30 away (12)29.529.458.9+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.730.064.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.227.467.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.828.058.8+2.860%-
vs Similar (10)30.431.662.0-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)33.330.363.6+3.069%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#281
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A10/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#118
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Washington
#64
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A10/11
NCAA
Oregon
#29
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A12/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#33
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
30.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.239.869.0-10.613%-
Last 30 at home (10)30.137.367.4-7.210%-
Last 30 away (20)28.841.169.8-12.415%-
Last 10 (10)30.439.569.9-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)26.642.068.6-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)29.239.869.0-10.613%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (North Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
North Texas wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouth Alabama66-65
12/11/26HSanta Clara71-76
05/11/26HMcNeese State77-67
03/11/26HSouthwestern Christian122-50
13/03/26ATulsa84-90 OT
13/03/26HFlorida Atlantic74-70
05/03/26HRice62-58
01/03/26AUAB62-58
26/02/26ACharlotte79-80
22/02/26HFlorida Atlantic73-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOregon State65-81
12/11/26AOregon66-100
10/11/26AWashington64-77
07/11/26AOklahoma57-84
10/03/26AGrambling St.52-77
06/03/26AJackson State77-85
04/03/26AAlcorn State64-67
28/02/26AArkansas-Pine Bluff70-69
24/02/26AGrambling St.62-83
21/02/26HTexas Southern72-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Texas
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game64.564.5-
Point differential+19.5+19.5-
Avg total148.5148.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %0%-0%
Points / game63.0-63.0
Allowed / game85.5-85.5
Point differential-22.5--22.5
Avg total148.5-148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 Memphis43175%87.086.8+0.2
7 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple42250%71.574.2-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%81.267.8+13.5
2 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
3 Prairie View A&M52340%75.482.0-6.6
4 Jackson State52340%68.483.0-14.6
5 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Texas Southern41325%76.593.0-16.5
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.4040%63.085.5-22.5
10 Alcorn State4040%66.890.0-23.2
11 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff4040%52.898.8-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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