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Northern Illinois vs Toledo Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 09 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Postponed
Position#346
Record2-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game59.4
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#40
Record16-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Toledo
06 Jan 2026
NORT61
TOLE75
23 Jan 2024
NORT73
TOLE89
14 Jan 2023
NORT67
TOLE84
12 Feb 2022
NORT72
TOLE100
09 Feb 2021
NORT v TOLE
upcoming
03 Mar 2020
NORT71
TOLE50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#215
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A06/12
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
70-79 OT
70
79
-9
H09/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
53-106
53
106
-53
A13/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#435
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
42-68
42
68
-26
H02/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A05/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A09/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H12/01
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-45
30-44
34-28
29-35
27-51
26-55
32-23
32-31
26-40
29-38
18-23
24-45
31-42
42-34
24-40
34-30
28-31
39-34
19-34
39-44
136.2Avg total
59.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)59.475.1134.5-15.717%
Season at home (6)59.567.3126.8-7.833%
Season away (6)59.382.8142.2-23.50%
Last 10 (10)59.976.3136.2-16.420%
Last 5 (5)59.671.4131.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)57.975.5133.4-17.67%
vs Similar (11)67.562.7130.2+4.782%
vs Weaker (5)69.267.4136.6+1.860%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#89
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A05/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H08/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
96-63
96
63
+33
H13/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A30/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H03/02
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-44
46-38
48-32
47-46
45-34
51-29
44-42
39-41
42-33
47-39
41-33
35-41
45-33
45-48
40-28
44-38
49-35
42-41
36-34
31-47
163.4Avg total
86.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.471.4151.8+9.076%
Season at home (9)81.165.9147.0+15.2100%
Season away (12)79.975.5155.4+4.458%
Last 10 (10)86.676.8163.4+9.880%
Last 5 (5)81.675.6157.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)78.378.5156.8-0.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.765.9143.6+11.883%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: +1.9+1.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: +1.9+1.9
Northern IllinoisToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#215
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A06/12
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H09/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A13/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#435
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
18-23
18
23
-5
H02/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A05/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A09/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/01
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A16/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
26.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.132.261.3-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.728.356.9+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)29.536.165.6-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)26.835.762.5-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)24.034.058.0-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)25.635.460.9-9.814%-
vs Similar (11)32.529.562.0+2.955%-
vs Weaker (5)31.629.060.6+2.680%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#89
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H13/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A30/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/02
NCAA
77.6Avg total
42.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.733.370.0+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.432.769.1+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)37.033.870.8+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)42.834.877.6+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.674.8+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)36.238.274.3-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.130.067.1+7.183%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northern Illinois wins
1
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
22/12/20Toledo v Northern Illinois78-55
04/03/20Northern Illinois v Toledo71-50
05/02/20Toledo v Northern Illinois61-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21ABall State58-78
12/01/21HAkron67-65
09/01/21AMiami (Ohio)58-70
05/01/21AOhio73-76
02/01/21HBowling Green42-68
22/12/20AToledo55-78
19/12/20HChicago State64-54
13/12/20AIowa53-106
09/12/20HBall State70-79 OT
06/12/20APittsburgh59-89
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21ABall State67-81
03/02/21HAkron91-76
30/01/21ABowling Green84-66
27/01/21AMiami (Ohio)90-81
23/01/21HKent State76-74
20/01/21HCentral Michigan89-72
16/01/21AAkron94-95 OT
13/01/21HEastern Michigan96-63
08/01/21HOhio95-78
05/01/21AKent State84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game59.459.559.3
Allowed / game75.167.382.8
Point differential-15.7-7.8-23.5
Avg total134.5126.8142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %76%100%58%
Points / game80.481.179.9
Allowed / game71.465.975.5
Point differential+9.0+15.2+4.4
Avg total151.8147.0155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo2116576%80.471.4+9.0
2 Akron1511473%78.468.5+9.9
3 Kent State1510567%80.472.2+8.2
4 Ohio1711665%80.173.4+6.8
5 UMass117464%77.971.5+6.5
6 Buffalo148657%81.973.9+8.0
7 Bowling Green1810856%79.076.3+2.7
8 Miami (Ohio)158753%71.771.7-0.1
9 Ball State167944%70.872.9-2.1
10 Central Michigan1761135%77.676.8+0.9
11 Eastern Michigan124833%71.775.8-4.2
12 Western Michigan1541127%63.770.5-6.7
13 Northern Illinois1221017%59.475.1-15.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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