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Northern Illinois vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-89
38-38 35-51
Position#307
Record6-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#107
Record11-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Toledo
06 Jan 2026
NORT61
TOLE75
23 Jan 2024
NORT73
TOLE89
14 Jan 2023
NORT67
TOLE84
12 Feb 2022
NORT72
TOLE100
09 Feb 2021
NORT v TOLE
upcoming
03 Mar 2020
NORT71
TOLE50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H06/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A09/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#588
W
92-48
92
48
+44
H19/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H22/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A30/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H13/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-40
28-50
41-29
30-45
58-17
34-31
26-43
37-33
48-54
26-49
16-35
35-38
35-32
31-46
48-33
31-46
32-43
40-40
35-40
41-43
152.5Avg total
72.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.379.6156.9-2.335%
Season at home (8)77.473.2150.6+4.138%
Season away (9)77.285.2162.4-8.033%
Last 10 (10)72.280.3152.5-8.110%
Last 5 (5)71.082.4153.4-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.781.7153.5-10.021%
vs Similar (6)79.374.0153.3+5.350%
vs Weaker (3)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-40
48-40
48-39
40-48
24-42
36-44
33-45
48-46
38-32
48-45
29-40
39-24
43-29
46-46
40-33
37-39
33-33
44-33
23-30
39-35
153.5Avg total
77.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.176.5154.6+1.661%
Season at home (11)79.177.0156.1+2.164%
Season away (7)76.675.7152.3+0.957%
Last 10 (10)77.276.3153.5+0.970%
Last 5 (5)74.668.4143.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.282.8155.0-10.50%
vs Similar (13)80.275.5155.8+4.785%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.873.4159.2+12.483%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -8.8-8.82nd half: +2.5+2.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -8.8-8.82nd half: +2.5+2.5
Northern IllinoisToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A09/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#588
W
58-17
58
17
+41
H19/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H22/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A30/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
16-35
16
35
-19
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H17/01
NCAA
74.4Avg total
37.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.773.7+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.535.171.5+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)39.536.375.9+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.674.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.669.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.339.875.1-4.532%-
vs Similar (6)38.332.070.3+6.383%-
vs Weaker (3)42.328.370.7+14.0100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A20/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.773.5+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.936.475.3+2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)36.334.871.2+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.371.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.066.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.040.872.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (13)36.434.871.2+1.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.834.775.5+6.267%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northern Illinois wins
4
Toledo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HKent State76-83
13/01/24HBowling Green72-83
10/01/24AWestern Michigan90-95 OT
06/01/24AOhio66-78
03/01/24HAkron51-73
30/12/23AIowa74-103
22/12/23HNorthern Iowa63-76
19/12/23HCalumet College92-48
09/12/23AMonmouth71-74
06/12/23HIndiana State67-90
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ACentral Michigan62-65
17/01/24HBuffalo77-66
14/01/24HBall State77-72
10/01/24AKent State89-75
06/01/24HMiami (Ohio)68-64
03/01/24AOhio86-77
23/12/23AWest Virginia81-91
21/12/23HVermont60-86
14/12/23HMarshall88-87
09/12/23HNorthern Iowa84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game77.377.477.2
Allowed / game79.673.285.2
Point differential-2.3+4.1-8.0
Avg total156.9150.6162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game78.179.176.6
Allowed / game76.577.075.7
Point differential+1.6+2.1+0.9
Avg total154.6156.1152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron1915479%76.665.5+11.1
2 Bowling Green1914574%76.870.8+5.9
3 UMass1912763%81.272.0+9.2
4 Toledo1811761%78.176.5+1.6
5 Ball State1910953%75.070.0+5.0
6 Kent State1910953%78.574.6+3.8
7 Central Michigan1910953%67.172.1-5.1
8 Miami (Ohio)189950%74.771.4+3.2
9 Ohio1991047%77.971.3+6.6
10 Western Michigan1981142%74.575.6-1.1
11 Eastern Michigan1981142%66.974.9-8.0
12 Northern Illinois1761135%77.379.6-2.3
13 Buffalo1821611%67.279.6-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois383573
Toledo385189
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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