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Northern Illinois vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 61-75
25-37 36-38
Position#342
Record5-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#156
Record8-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Toledo
06 Jan 2026
NORT61
TOLE75
23 Jan 2024
NORT73
TOLE89
14 Jan 2023
NORT67
TOLE84
12 Feb 2022
NORT72
TOLE100
09 Feb 2021
NORT v TOLE
upcoming
03 Mar 2020
NORT71
TOLE50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A26/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
64-99
64
99
-35
H03/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A07/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A13/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#673
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
28-38
42-37
34-22
38-41
21-36
32-52
32-47
26-39
29-45
48-41
31-44
59-25
53-39
27-44
47-29
29-43
38-38
26-47
47-30
148.5Avg total
71.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.178.4154.6-2.336%
Season at home (6)89.376.8166.2+12.567%
Season away (8)66.279.6145.9-13.412%
Last 10 (10)71.676.9148.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)81.076.0157.0+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.981.2150.1-12.314%
vs Similar (7)75.072.1147.1+2.929%
vs Weaker (2)114.563.0177.5+51.5100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
L
97-98
97
98
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Gijon
#27
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-45
0-0
49-53
24-24
27-16
16-16
27-21
0-0
42-24
0-0
28-51
20-24
21-16
14-21
20-17
0-0
28-58
0-0
41-34
0-0
49-28
0-0
51-39
18-22
17-16
14-19
27-17
0-0
32-41
0-0
52-38
24-22
15-18
21-25
26-21
0-0
31-41
0-0
47-34
164.9Avg total
83.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.677.8160.4+4.957%
Season at home (7)87.974.7162.6+13.171%
Season away (7)77.480.9158.3-3.443%
Last 10 (10)83.981.0164.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)86.878.0164.8+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.489.2172.6-5.840%
vs Similar (15)79.580.6160.1-1.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.472.6163.0+17.9100%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +2.7+2.7
Northern IllinoisToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H03/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A07/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A13/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#673
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H17/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/01
NCAA
75.7Avg total
35.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.738.172.9-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.936.574.5+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)31.539.771.3-8.227%-
Last 10 (10)35.640.175.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.077.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.840.272.0-8.419%-
vs Similar (7)36.636.473.0+0.157%-
vs Weaker (2)59.522.582.0+37.0100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/12
NCAA
Gijon
#27
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A03/01
NCAA
79.1Avg total
39.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.877.2+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.934.676.5+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)36.741.177.8-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.579.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.674.8-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.644.482.0-6.840%-
vs Similar (15)37.238.575.7-1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.834.176.9+8.778%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Northern Illinois wins
6
Toledo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AKent State73-77
31/12/25HBuffalo67-81
20/12/25HCentral Michigan74-73
17/12/25HEWU Phantoms112-64
13/12/25AElon79-85
07/12/25ABradley55-84
03/12/25HLindenwood64-99
26/11/25AAustin Peay59-77
22/11/25ALoyola Chicago76-59
19/11/25ANorthern Iowa57-70
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ACentral Michigan78-75
03/01/26ACaceres96-95 OT
30/12/25HWestern Michigan84-79
21/12/25HCordoba76-74
20/12/25HLourdes100-67
16/12/25AMichigan State69-92
14/12/25AClavijo75-78
13/12/25ARobert Morris70-75
10/12/25HGijon94-77
06/12/25AOakland97-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%67%12%
Points / game76.189.366.2
Allowed / game78.476.879.6
Point differential-2.3+12.5-13.4
Avg total154.6166.2145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game82.687.977.4
Allowed / game77.874.780.9
Point differential+4.9+13.1-3.4
Avg total160.4162.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)16160100%93.272.2+21.0
2 Buffalo1513287%79.970.5+9.3
3 Akron1511473%94.576.3+18.2
4 Kent State1511473%90.582.0+8.5
5 Bowling Green1611569%89.370.4+18.9
6 Toledo148657%82.677.8+4.9
7 UMass169756%80.674.1+6.5
8 Ohio169756%77.275.6+1.7
9 Eastern Michigan168850%71.871.1+0.7
10 Western Michigan156940%75.979.3-3.5
11 Northern Illinois145936%76.178.4-2.3
12 Ball State1541127%67.269.2-2.0
13 Central Michigan1641225%71.978.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois253661
Toledo373875
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