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Northern Illinois vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 67-84
23-41 44-43
Position#271
Record5-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#18
Record10-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Toledo
06 Jan 2026
NORT61
TOLE75
23 Jan 2024
NORT73
TOLE89
14 Jan 2023
NORT67
TOLE84
12 Feb 2022
NORT72
TOLE100
09 Feb 2021
NORT v TOLE
upcoming
03 Mar 2020
NORT71
TOLE50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A01/12
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
47-84
47
84
-37
A03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A13/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A17/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H20/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A22/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A04/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
45-51
42-36
48-34
24-35
23-49
30-36
37-52
26-49
37-41
37-44
41-39
35-29
32-28
26-28
25-48
28-45
34-35
40-30
33-24
143.9Avg total
67.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.975.1142.9-7.231%
Season at home (5)76.276.2152.4+0.040%
Season away (11)64.174.5138.6-10.527%
Last 10 (10)67.476.5143.9-9.130%
Last 5 (5)66.270.0136.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.574.2136.6-11.724%
vs Similar (8)66.973.0139.9-6.125%
vs Weaker (4)84.067.8151.8+16.275%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A17/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A20/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#397
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
50-34
32-35
41-45
40-31
43-44
32-29
37-39
44-45
41-55
42-28
42-44
48-35
55-53
37-40
46-50
42-23
60-51
35-32
28-43
162.4Avg total
83.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.679.5164.1+5.162%
Season at home (9)90.279.8170.0+10.478%
Season away (7)77.379.1156.4-1.943%
Last 10 (10)83.578.9162.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.079.8166.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)81.283.0164.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.773.1155.8+9.571%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: -1.5-1.5
Northern IllinoisToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A26/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A13/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A17/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A07/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/01
NCAA
68.3Avg total
31.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.535.166.6-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.635.768.3-3.138%-
Last 30 away (17)30.634.665.2-4.124%-
Last 10 (10)31.936.468.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.268.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.934.763.6-5.818%-
vs Similar (8)30.636.867.4-6.125%-
vs Weaker (4)42.233.075.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#397
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H06/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
39.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.634.373.9+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.833.571.3+4.361%-
Last 30 away (12)42.235.577.7+6.775%-
Last 10 (10)39.233.172.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.831.672.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.037.877.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.833.773.5+6.171%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northern Illinois wins
3
Toledo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23HCentral Michigan73-54
07/01/23ABuffalo62-80
04/01/23AAkron51-76
22/12/22AIndiana State67-57
20/12/22HAlbany78-83
17/12/22AVCU Rams63-90
13/12/22AGonzaga67-88
03/12/22AIdaho47-84
01/12/22AEastern Illinois90-70
26/11/22ANorthern Iowa76-83
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AKent State63-75
06/01/23HWestern Michigan102-74
04/01/23HBall State83-90
29/12/22HLourdes103-88
20/12/22AVermont84-72
17/12/22AMarshall85-100
10/12/22HCanisius69-68
07/12/22ANorthern Iowa83-75
03/12/22AGeorge Mason73-80
01/12/22HRichmond Spiders90-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW31%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16511
Win %31%40%27%
Points / game67.976.264.1
Allowed / game75.176.274.5
Point differential-7.2+0.0-10.5
Avg total142.9152.4138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%78%43%
Points / game84.690.277.3
Allowed / game79.579.879.1
Point differential+5.1+10.4-1.9
Avg total164.1170.0156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1714382%74.562.2+12.3
2 Akron1712571%72.861.9+10.9
3 Ball State1712571%76.567.0+9.5
4 Toledo1610662%84.679.5+5.1
5 UMass1610662%71.569.4+2.1
6 Ohio179853%76.471.5+4.9
7 Buffalo168850%78.876.9+1.9
8 Bowling Green178947%78.176.1+2.0
9 Central Michigan1661038%67.268.8-1.6
10 Western Michigan1761135%72.272.9-0.7
11 Northern Illinois1651131%67.975.1-7.2
12 Eastern Michigan1741324%72.781.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois234467
Toledo414384
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