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Northwestern vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:35
Final 75-67
38-32 37-35
Position#87
Record21-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game62.5
Northwestern 🏆
USA
vs
Boise State
USA
Position#57
Record24-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#158
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A24/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A26/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A06/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
65-67 OT
65
67
-2
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-23
28-29
28-27
41-36
30-37
34-21
39-20
25-42
37-26
43-34
37-19
25-47
39-41
20-34
28-24
33-37
25-21
40-32
26-25
30-31
127.1Avg total
64.7Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)67.762.5130.1+5.266%
Season at home (21)66.759.4126.1+7.367%
Season away (11)69.568.4137.8+1.164%
Last 10 (10)64.762.4127.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)63.265.8129.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.055.0120.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (21)64.566.4130.9-1.948%
vs Weaker (7)76.156.4132.6+19.7100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A05/03
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
87-76 OT
87
76
+11
H10/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
21-43
31-29
41-23
34-40
36-31
44-47
38-32
35-37
31-37
51-40
31-25
27-33
27-30
39-30
33-47
40-39
50-34
23-39
36-28
26-44
144.5Avg total
71.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)72.264.3136.6+7.973%
Season at home (19)74.761.8136.5+12.989%
Season away (14)68.967.8136.7+1.150%
Last 10 (10)71.872.7144.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)71.273.6144.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.669.9143.5+3.662%
vs Weaker (14)73.458.6132.1+14.893%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
NorthwesternBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#158
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H12/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H16/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A24/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H02/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H10/03
NCAA
57.8Avg total
31.5Scored
26.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.128.760.8+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.327.357.6+2.953%-
Last 30 away (11)35.331.266.5+4.173%-
Last 10 (10)31.526.357.8+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)31.026.057.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.033.062.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)30.928.459.3+2.567%-
vs Weaker (7)36.628.665.1+8.057%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A05/03
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H10/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/03
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.730.366.0+5.476%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.229.667.8+8.682%-
Last 30 away (12)32.231.263.5+1.067%-
Last 10 (10)34.433.067.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.868.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.133.368.4+1.960%-
vs Weaker (14)36.427.163.4+9.393%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northwestern wins
0
Boise State wins
No previous meetings.
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HPenn State65-67 OT
06/03/23ARutgers65-53
02/03/23HPenn State65-68 OT
26/02/23AMaryland59-75
24/02/23AIllinois62-66
19/02/23HIowa80-60
16/02/23HIndiana64-62
12/02/23HPurdue64-58
10/02/23AOhio State69-63
05/02/23AWisconsin54-52
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HUtah State62-72
10/03/23HUNLV87-76 OT
05/03/23AUtah State73-86
01/03/23HSan Diego State66-60
26/02/23ASan Jose State68-74 OT
23/02/23HNew Mexico82-77
20/02/23HUNLV73-69
16/02/23AColorado State80-78
12/02/23HWyoming75-63
04/02/23ASan Diego State52-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL66%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %66%67%64%
Points / game67.766.769.5
Allowed / game62.559.468.4
Point differential+5.2+7.3+1.1
Avg total130.1126.1137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)43% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL73%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %73%89%50%
Points / game72.274.768.9
Allowed / game64.361.867.8
Point differential+7.9+12.9+1.1
Avg total136.6136.5136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%63%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %9%5%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3429585%73.960.3+13.6
2 Purdue3429585%73.162.7+10.4
3 USC32221069%72.867.2+5.5
4 Indiana33221167%75.068.5+6.6
5 Northwestern32211166%67.762.5+5.2
6 Maryland34221265%70.363.2+7.1
7 Penn State35221363%72.368.4+3.9
8 Michigan State31191261%70.267.4+2.8
9 Illinois33201361%74.367.2+7.2
10 Rutgers33191458%67.960.3+7.5
11 Iowa33191458%80.174.7+5.4
12 Oregon33191458%70.767.1+3.6
13 Wisconsin31171455%64.963.8+1.1
14 Michigan32171553%73.169.4+3.7
15 Washington32161650%69.270.3-1.2
16 Nebraska32161650%68.069.9-1.9
17 Ohio State35161946%72.569.0+3.5
18 Minnesota3192229%62.971.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3428682%71.863.4+8.4
2 Utah State3526974%78.269.9+8.3
3 Boise State3324973%72.264.3+7.9
4 Grand Canyon34231168%71.666.1+5.5
5 New Mexico33221167%81.274.0+7.2
6 Nevada33221167%72.667.8+4.8
7 San Jose State33201361%67.566.6+0.9
8 UNLV32191359%74.270.0+4.2
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern383775
Boise State323567
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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