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Utah State vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 86-73
47-33 39-40
Position#41
Record23-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game69.9
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
Boise State
USA
Position#57
Record23-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Utah State v Boise State
06 Jan 2027
UTAH v BOIS
upcoming
18 Feb 2026
UTAH75
BOIS56
16 Jan 2026
UTAH v BOIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
UTAH81
BOIS79
10 Feb 2024
UTAH80
BOIS61
04 Mar 2023
UTAH86
BOIS73
20 Jan 2022
UTAH59
BOIS62
08 Feb 2020
UTAH70
BOIS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A26/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-42
48-43
34-28
36-25
46-27
38-46
33-32
55-47
28-44
33-19
32-31
32-38
40-32
40-33
32-47
43-19
33-33
32-22
44-32
47-34
142.7Avg total
75.3Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.869.9148.7+8.977%
Season at home (17)80.768.5149.2+12.282%
Season away (13)76.471.7148.1+4.769%
Last 10 (10)75.367.4142.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)75.064.2139.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.971.8144.6+1.150%
vs Weaker (21)80.368.5148.8+11.986%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-25
40-28
44-29
36-30
34-21
25-31
21-43
31-29
41-23
34-40
36-31
44-47
38-32
35-37
31-37
51-40
31-25
27-33
27-30
39-30
135.5Avg total
69.8Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.163.0135.0+9.177%
Season at home (17)74.760.4135.1+14.494%
Season away (13)68.666.4135.0+2.254%
Last 10 (10)69.865.7135.5+4.180%
Last 5 (5)73.871.6145.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.267.1138.3+4.164%
vs Weaker (16)72.859.4132.2+13.488%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +1.7+1.7
Utah StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H19/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/03
NCAA
69.7Avg total
34.9Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.033.671.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.433.673.1+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)36.233.669.8+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)34.934.869.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.071.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.437.874.1-1.450%-
vs Weaker (21)38.131.869.9+6.471%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H01/03
NCAA
62.2Avg total
32.6Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.129.563.6+4.672%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.629.466.0+7.376%-
Last 30 away (12)30.429.760.1+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)32.629.662.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.063.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.232.264.4+0.154%-
vs Weaker (16)35.627.362.9+8.288%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utah State wins
6
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Boise State v Utah State82-59
19/02/22Boise State v Utah State68-57
21/01/22Utah State v Boise State59-62
20/02/21Boise State v Utah State81-77
18/02/21Boise State v Utah State79-70
09/02/20Utah State v Boise State70-61
19/01/20Boise State v Utah State88-83 OT
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23AUNLV91-66
22/02/23AWyoming65-55
19/02/23HNevada75-66
15/02/23HAir Force80-65
12/02/23ASan Jose State64-69
09/02/23HSan Diego State61-63
05/02/23AColorado State88-79
02/02/23HNew Mexico84-73
29/01/23AFresno State70-53
26/01/23ASan Diego State75-85
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/23HSan Diego State66-60
26/02/23ASan Jose State68-74 OT
23/02/23HNew Mexico82-77
20/02/23HUNLV73-69
16/02/23AColorado State80-78
12/02/23HWyoming75-63
04/02/23ASan Diego State52-72
01/02/23AAir Force59-52
29/01/23HColorado State80-59
25/01/23HFresno State63-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %77%82%69%
Points / game78.880.776.4
Allowed / game69.968.571.7
Point differential+8.9+12.2+4.7
Avg total148.7149.2148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%59%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Boise State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW77%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %77%94%54%
Points / game72.174.768.6
Allowed / game63.060.466.4
Point differential+9.1+14.4+2.2
Avg total135.0135.1135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%65%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2923679%73.164.9+8.2
2 Boise State3023777%72.163.0+9.1
3 Utah State3023777%78.869.9+8.9
4 Nevada3122971%72.566.4+6.1
5 New Mexico31211068%81.273.4+7.8
6 Grand Canyon30191163%70.265.0+5.2
7 San Jose State31191261%67.766.4+1.3
8 UNLV30181260%74.169.5+4.6
9 Colorado State31141745%73.071.8+1.2
10 Air Force31141745%66.866.7+0.1
11 Fresno State30111937%63.665.5-1.9
12 Wyoming2992031%69.671.7-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State473986
Boise State334073
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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