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Boise State vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 04:59
Final 62-72
36-28 26-44
Position#57
Record24-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game64.1
Boise State
USA
vs
Utah State 🏆
USA
Position#41
Record25-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Boise State v Utah State
27 Jan 2027
BOIS v UTAH
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BOIS68
UTAH93
05 Jan 2026
BOIS v UTAH
upcoming
26 Feb 2025
BOIS82
UTAH65
27 Jan 2024
BOIS84
UTAH90
10 Mar 2023
BOIS62
UTAH72
07 Jan 2023
BOIS82
UTAH59
19 Feb 2022
BOIS68
UTAH57
19 Feb 2021
BOIS81
UTAH77
17 Feb 2021
BOIS79
UTAH70
18 Jan 2020
BOIS88
UTAH83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#251
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A05/03
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
87-76 OT
87
76
+11
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-21
25-31
21-43
31-29
41-23
34-40
36-31
44-47
38-32
35-37
31-37
51-40
31-25
27-33
27-30
39-30
33-47
40-39
50-34
23-39
142.2Avg total
71.5Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.664.1136.7+8.575%
Season at home (18)75.461.2136.6+14.294%
Season away (14)68.967.8136.7+1.150%
Last 10 (10)71.570.7142.2+0.870%
Last 5 (5)75.274.6149.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.368.8141.1+3.562%
vs Weaker (14)73.458.6132.1+14.893%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A02/03
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
46-27
38-46
33-32
55-47
28-44
33-19
32-31
32-38
40-32
40-33
32-47
43-19
33-33
32-22
44-32
47-34
47-33
39-40
44-33
47-43
147.0Avg total
78.5Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.470.2149.6+9.278%
Season at home (19)81.569.2150.7+12.484%
Season away (13)76.471.7148.1+4.769%
Last 10 (10)78.568.5147.0+10.080%
Last 5 (5)81.667.2148.8+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.175.4150.5-0.250%
vs Weaker (21)80.368.5148.8+11.986%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +6.5+6.5
Boise StateUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#251
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A05/03
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H10/03
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.930.365.1+4.672%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.329.768.0+8.681%-
Last 30 away (13)30.631.061.6-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.366.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.669.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.533.366.7+0.253%-
vs Weaker (14)36.427.163.4+9.393%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H19/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/03
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H05/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/03
NCAA
72.3Avg total
37.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.233.872.0+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.734.073.7+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)36.233.669.8+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.472.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.675.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (21)38.131.869.9+6.471%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boise State wins
2
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
05/03/23Utah State v Boise State86-73
07/01/23Boise State v Utah State82-59
19/02/22Boise State v Utah State68-57
21/01/22Utah State v Boise State59-62
20/02/21Boise State v Utah State81-77
18/02/21Boise State v Utah State79-70
09/02/20Utah State v Boise State70-61
19/01/20Boise State v Utah State88-83 OT
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HUNLV87-76 OT
05/03/23AUtah State73-86
01/03/23HSan Diego State66-60
26/02/23ASan Jose State68-74 OT
23/02/23HNew Mexico82-77
20/02/23HUNLV73-69
16/02/23AColorado State80-78
12/02/23HWyoming75-63
04/02/23ASan Diego State52-72
01/02/23AAir Force59-52
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HNew Mexico91-76
05/03/23HBoise State86-73
02/03/23AUNLV91-66
22/02/23AWyoming65-55
19/02/23HNevada75-66
15/02/23HAir Force80-65
12/02/23ASan Jose State64-69
09/02/23HSan Diego State61-63
05/02/23AColorado State88-79
02/02/23HNew Mexico84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %75%94%50%
Points / game72.675.468.9
Allowed / game64.161.267.8
Point differential+8.5+14.2+1.1
Avg total136.7136.6136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %9%6%14%
Utah State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %78%84%69%
Points / game79.481.576.4
Allowed / game70.269.271.7
Point differential+9.2+12.4+4.7
Avg total149.6150.7148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%63%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3226681%72.463.8+8.6
2 Utah State3225778%79.470.2+9.2
3 Boise State3224875%72.664.1+8.5
4 Nevada32221069%72.666.9+5.8
5 New Mexico33221167%81.274.0+7.2
6 Grand Canyon33221167%71.266.1+5.1
7 San Jose State33201361%67.566.6+0.9
8 UNLV32191359%74.270.0+4.2
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State362662
Utah State284472
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