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Boise State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 87-76 (OT)
50-34 23-39 14-3
Position#57
Record23-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game63.7
Boise State 🏆
USA
vs
UNLV
USA
Position#123
Record19-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Boise State v UNLV
13 Feb 2026
BOIS83
UNLV86
07 Jan 2025
BOIS81
UNLV59
16 Jan 2024
BOIS64
UNLV68
09 Mar 2023
BOIS87
UNLV76
19 Feb 2023
BOIS73
UNLV69
11 Feb 2022
BOIS69
UNLV63
13 Feb 2021
BOIS61
UNLV59
11 Feb 2021
BOIS78
UNLV66
08 Jan 2020
BOIS73
UNLV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-29
36-30
34-21
25-31
21-43
31-29
41-23
34-40
36-31
44-47
38-32
35-37
31-37
51-40
31-25
27-33
27-30
39-30
33-47
40-39
139.8Avg total
70.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.163.7135.8+8.474%
Season at home (17)74.760.4135.1+14.494%
Season away (14)68.967.8136.7+1.150%
Last 10 (10)70.869.0139.8+1.870%
Last 5 (5)72.473.2145.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.368.3139.7+3.060%
vs Weaker (15)73.358.8132.1+14.593%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A09/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H02/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
78-70 OT
78
70
+8
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-30
44-41
43-37
36-45
25-24
44-35
23-43
48-39
36-40
30-35
32-38
37-35
25-26
29-27
32-44
34-47
31-21
25-35
24-22
33-35
142.7Avg total
70.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.269.5143.7+4.761%
Season at home (19)74.267.8142.0+6.363%
Season away (12)74.272.1146.3+2.258%
Last 10 (10)70.472.3142.7-1.950%
Last 5 (5)67.270.8138.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.877.4147.2-7.620%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.369.6140.9+1.757%
vs Weaker (11)80.667.0147.6+13.682%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -1.4-1.4
Boise StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A16/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H20/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H23/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A05/03
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.129.964.0+4.372%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.028.965.9+8.181%-
Last 30 away (13)30.631.061.6-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.865.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.266.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.333.265.5-0.950%-
vs Weaker (15)35.926.762.6+9.193%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A09/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A20/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H08/03
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.133.568.7+1.648%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.933.469.3+2.647%-
Last 30 away (12)34.033.867.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)31.032.563.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)28.830.259.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.442.073.4-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.133.267.3+0.846%-
vs Weaker (11)38.130.068.1+8.173%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boise State wins
1
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
20/02/23Boise State v UNLV73-69
12/01/23UNLV v Boise State66-84
27/02/22UNLV v Boise State76-86
12/02/22Boise State v UNLV69-63
14/02/21Boise State v UNLV61-59
12/02/21Boise State v UNLV78-66
05/03/20UNLV v Boise State61-67
27/02/20UNLV v Boise State76-66
09/01/20Boise State v UNLV73-66
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23AUtah State73-86
01/03/23HSan Diego State66-60
26/02/23ASan Jose State68-74 OT
23/02/23HNew Mexico82-77
20/02/23HUNLV73-69
16/02/23AColorado State80-78
12/02/23HWyoming75-63
04/02/23ASan Diego State52-72
01/02/23AAir Force59-52
29/01/23HColorado State80-59
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23HAir Force78-70 OT
04/03/23ANevada69-67 OT
02/03/23HUtah State66-91
25/02/23HAir Force54-53
20/02/23ABoise State69-73
15/02/23HSan Jose State66-75
11/02/23ASan Diego State71-82
09/02/23AWyoming69-59
04/02/23HFresno State79-82
01/02/23AColorado State83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %74%94%50%
Points / game72.174.768.9
Allowed / game63.760.467.8
Point differential+8.4+14.4+1.1
Avg total135.8135.1136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%65%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%14%
UNLV
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeLLWLW63%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %61%63%58%
Points / game74.274.274.2
Allowed / game69.567.872.1
Point differential+4.7+6.3+2.2
Avg total143.7142.0146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%37%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %13%11%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3125681%72.664.3+8.4
2 Utah State3124777%79.170.0+9.1
3 Boise State3123874%72.163.7+8.4
4 New Mexico32221069%81.473.5+7.9
5 Nevada32221069%72.666.9+5.8
6 Grand Canyon32211166%71.065.8+5.2
7 San Jose State32201262%68.166.7+1.4
8 UNLV31191261%74.269.5+4.7
9 Colorado State33151845%72.571.4+1.1
10 Air Force32141844%66.967.1-0.1
11 Fresno State31112035%63.765.6-1.9
12 Wyoming3192229%69.272.1-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Boise State50231487
UNLV3439376
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