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Northwestern vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-86
44-40 38-46
Position#251
Record5-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#104
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northwestern v Ohio State
06 Dec 2025
NORT82
OHIO86
27 Jan 2024
NORT83
OHIO58
01 Jan 2023
NORT57
OHIO73
26 Dec 2020
NORT71
OHIO70
26 Jan 2020
NORT59
OHIO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#226
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A12/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H04/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H11/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A21/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
40-35
30-37
33-33
36-25
34-22
45-26
31-26
53-28
57-35
42-44
39-35
36-40
42-43
36-34
43-43
40-39
41-47
32-55
41-30
148.9Avg total
78.3Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.071.5152.5+9.562%
Season at home (5)83.265.0148.2+18.280%
Season away (3)77.382.3159.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)78.370.6148.9+7.760%
Last 5 (5)78.482.0160.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.177.2147.3-7.111%
vs Similar (16)74.670.2144.8+4.456%
vs Weaker (5)82.466.0148.4+16.480%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H12/03
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
118-102
118
102
+16
H03/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
113-60
113
60
+53
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-39
44-50
29-25
31-41
37-37
33-40
66-50
52-52
45-30
49-38
30-25
45-28
31-34
33-29
49-24
42-34
52-26
61-34
24-34
42-33
159.5Avg total
86.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.767.3156.0+21.486%
Season at home (6)92.567.3159.8+25.2100%
Season away (1)66.067.0133.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)86.772.8159.5+13.970%
Last 5 (5)81.860.2142.0+21.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.776.7139.3-14.033%
vs Similar (17)75.874.5150.4+1.341%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.673.1165.7+19.590%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +5.3+5.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +5.3+5.3
NorthwesternOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#226
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A12/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H11/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A04/12
NCAA
73.9Avg total
38.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.367.7-0.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.831.767.5+4.181%-
Last 30 away (14)30.837.268.0-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.773.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.479.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.138.970.0-7.833%-
vs Similar (16)33.532.866.2+0.862%-
vs Weaker (5)37.630.868.4+6.880%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/03
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H03/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H16/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A29/11
NCAA
73.2Avg total
40.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.271.1+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.034.873.8+4.263%-
Last 30 away (11)33.433.166.5+0.355%-
Last 10 (10)40.832.473.2+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.228.665.8+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.342.369.7-15.00%-
vs Similar (17)34.632.967.5+1.665%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.833.977.7+9.970%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Northwestern wins
4
Ohio State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AWisconsin73-85
28/11/25HOklahoma State81-86
23/11/25HSouth Carolina79-77
21/11/25AVirginia78-83
15/11/25ADePaul81-79
11/11/25HCleveland State110-63
07/11/25HBoston University76-52
04/11/25HMercyhurst Lakers70-47
13/03/25AWisconsin63-70
12/03/25AMinnesota72-64
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25APittsburgh66-67
25/11/25HMount St. Mary's113-60
21/11/25HWestern Michigan91-58
16/11/25HNotre Dame64-63
11/11/25HAppalachian State75-53
07/11/25HIPFW94-68
03/11/25HIU Indy118-102
12/03/25HIowa70-77
08/03/25AIndiana60-66
05/03/25HNebraska116-114 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game81.083.277.3
Allowed / game71.565.082.3
Point differential+9.5+18.2-5.0
Avg total152.5148.2159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %86%100%0%
Points / game88.792.566.0
Allowed / game67.367.367.0
Point differential+21.4+25.2-1.0
Avg total156.0159.8133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan770100%93.767.6+26.1
2 Nebraska880100%84.870.1+14.6
3 USC880100%90.677.5+13.1
4 Purdue98189%85.269.1+16.1
5 Michigan State98189%76.661.0+15.6
6 Penn State98189%83.170.0+13.1
7 Indiana87188%86.463.8+22.6
8 Iowa87188%79.562.4+17.1
9 Ohio State76186%88.767.3+21.4
10 Illinois86275%90.470.2+20.1
11 Wisconsin86275%86.973.5+13.4
12 UCLA86275%77.665.2+12.4
13 Maryland96367%78.678.0+0.6
14 Northwestern85362%81.071.5+9.5
15 Washington85362%82.273.6+8.6
16 Minnesota95456%73.467.9+5.6
17 Rutgers95456%71.069.1+1.9
18 Oregon84450%74.175.6-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern443882
Ohio State404686
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