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Minnesota vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 64-72
29-32 35-40
Position#226
Record15-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#191
Record16-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota v Northwestern
07 Mar 2026
MINN67
NORT66
12 Mar 2025
MINN64
NORT72
25 Feb 2025
MINN63
NORT75
03 Feb 2024
MINN75
NORT66
19 Feb 2022
MINN77
NORT60
25 Feb 2021
MINN59
NORT67
11 Mar 2020
MINN74
NORT57
05 Jan 2020
MINN77
NORT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#287
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A05/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
74-95
74
95
-21
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A15/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H26/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-40
38-31
21-25
48-36
35-46
39-49
29-38
40-28
23-34
41-27
26-28
34-41
31-36
32-39
35-26
32-39
27-33
40-41
29-38
32-23
138.0Avg total
66.8Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)68.269.6137.8-1.548%
Season at home (20)70.369.8140.1+0.650%
Season away (11)64.369.5133.7-5.245%
Last 10 (10)66.871.2138.0-4.440%
Last 5 (5)64.871.6136.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.872.0138.7-5.243%
vs Similar (9)70.265.7135.9+4.656%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H01/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A12/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
70-49
70
49
+21
A20/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H01/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
38-50
33-31
44-44
30-39
41-37
25-39
50-42
36-21
28-47
31-24
39-25
36-31
39-32
30-26
38-31
35-34
34-39
29-32
32-42
139.0Avg total
69.9Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.769.3142.0+3.552%
Season at home (18)74.066.4140.4+7.672%
Season away (13)71.073.2144.2-2.223%
Last 10 (10)69.969.1139.0+0.840%
Last 5 (5)68.663.2131.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.674.7144.3-5.129%
vs Similar (18)72.970.4143.4+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.062.2135.2+10.880%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -0.6-0.6
MinnesotaNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#287
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
21-25
21
25
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#215
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A09/03
NCAA
63.0Avg total
28.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.432.461.9-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.232.462.6-2.226%-
Last 30 away (11)28.132.560.6-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)28.634.463.0-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)29.632.261.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)28.532.861.3-4.229%-
vs Similar (9)31.631.763.2-0.133%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H01/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A09/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H01/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/03
NCAA
61.8Avg total
31.6Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.163.1-1.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.430.763.1+1.771%-
Last 30 away (13)29.233.963.1-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)31.630.261.8+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)32.229.461.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.435.064.4-5.643%-
vs Similar (18)30.731.962.7-1.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)34.228.662.8+5.680%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minnesota wins
5
Northwestern wins
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ARutgers67-75 OT
06/03/25HWisconsin67-74
01/03/25ANebraska67-65
26/02/25HNorthwestern63-75
22/02/25HPenn State60-69
19/02/25AUCLA64-61
15/02/25AUSC69-66
08/02/25HIllinois74-95
05/02/25APenn State69-61
01/02/25HWashington68-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AMaryland61-74
04/03/25HUCLA69-73
01/03/25HIowa68-57
26/02/25AMinnesota75-63
20/02/25AOhio State70-49
16/02/25HNebraska64-68
12/02/25AOregon75-81
09/02/25AWashington71-76
05/02/25HUSC77-75
01/02/25HWisconsin69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayWWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game68.270.364.3
Allowed / game69.669.869.5
Point differential-1.5+0.6-5.2
Avg total137.8140.1133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)50% (8)100% (4)
Overtime %13%15%9%
Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeLWLWL72%
AwayLLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %52%72%23%
Points / game72.774.071.0
Allowed / game69.366.473.2
Point differential+3.5+7.6-2.2
Avg total142.0140.4144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)67% (6)14% (7)
Overtime %13%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3126584%78.467.0+11.4
2 Maryland3124777%81.566.6+14.9
3 Wisconsin3123874%80.870.9+9.8
4 Oregon3123874%76.771.2+5.5
5 UCLA3122971%74.965.1+9.8
6 Michigan3122971%78.571.6+6.9
7 Purdue31211068%78.370.6+7.6
8 Illinois31201165%83.773.5+10.2
9 Indiana31191261%75.272.0+3.1
10 Ohio State31171455%79.173.4+5.7
11 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern31161552%72.769.3+3.5
14 Iowa31161552%82.379.2+3.1
15 USC31151648%76.475.0+1.4
16 Rutgers31151648%76.676.9-0.3
17 Minnesota31151648%68.269.6-1.5
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Minnesota293564
Northwestern324072
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