PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Notre Dame vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 112-110 (OT)
37-33 31-35 44-42
Position#241
Record13-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#268
Record13-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Notre Dame v California
16 Jan 2027
NOTR v CALI
upcoming
08 Mar 2025
NOTR112
CALI110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A13/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H17/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
73-97
73
97
-24
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-25
21-38
28-29
32-38
33-26
30-39
35-41
45-39
28-35
32-40
25-50
48-47
30-30
46-42
31-41
37-42
30-25
41-49
21-24
35-30
142.5Avg total
68.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.571.7144.2+0.743%
Season at home (17)74.970.6145.5+4.459%
Season away (13)69.273.2142.5-4.023%
Last 10 (10)68.174.4142.5-6.330%
Last 5 (5)68.876.0144.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.376.6144.9-8.320%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.868.9141.7+3.950%
vs Weaker (6)78.770.2148.8+8.567%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H02/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A13/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A23/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
36-37
23-40
43-35
34-30
40-32
29-31
37-45
23-38
34-40
34-39
45-40
22-28
39-38
29-42
48-39
42-31
40-40
26-41
42-44
146.4Avg total
70.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.375.7150.0-1.443%
Season at home (17)79.273.5152.7+5.865%
Season away (13)67.878.6146.5-10.815%
Last 10 (10)70.476.0146.4-5.620%
Last 5 (5)75.278.6153.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.582.5151.0-13.90%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.170.6146.7+5.462%
vs Weaker (3)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +1.4+1.4
Notre DameCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H06/03
NCAA
62.3Avg total
29.7Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.667.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.933.768.6+1.253%-
Last 30 away (13)33.233.566.7-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)29.732.662.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)27.434.061.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.438.068.4-7.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.231.066.2+4.271%-
vs Weaker (6)37.832.570.3+5.367%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H02/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A23/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H27/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A06/03
NCAA
65.0Avg total
29.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.635.869.4-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.134.969.9+0.265%-
Last 30 away (13)31.737.168.8-5.423%-
Last 10 (10)29.135.965.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.266.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.039.370.3-8.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.934.168.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker (3)41.332.373.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
0
California wins
No previous meetings.
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HStanford56-54
01/03/25AWake Forest71-74
27/02/25AClemson68-83
22/02/25HPittsburgh76-72
20/02/25HSMU Mustangs73-97
17/02/25HLouisville60-75
13/02/25ABoston College97-94 OT
08/02/25HVirginia Tech63-65
05/02/25AFlorida State60-67
02/02/25AMiami (FL)57-63
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25ALouisville68-85
02/03/25HBoston College82-71
27/02/25HSMU Mustangs77-81
23/02/25AStanford61-66
15/02/25AGeorgia Tech88-90 OT
13/02/25ADuke57-78
08/02/25HWake Forest66-76
06/02/25HNC State74-62
02/02/25HSyracuse66-75
30/01/25ASMU Mustangs65-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLLLWW59%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %43%59%23%
Points / game72.574.969.2
Allowed / game71.770.673.2
Point differential+0.7+4.4-4.0
Avg total144.2145.5142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeLWLLW65%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %43%65%15%
Points / game74.379.267.8
Allowed / game75.773.578.6
Point differential-1.4+5.8-10.8
Avg total150.0152.7146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3027390%83.561.1+22.4
2 Clemson3025583%77.566.3+11.1
3 Louisville3125681%79.368.5+10.8
4 SMU Mustangs3022873%81.572.0+9.5
5 Wake Forest31211068%70.568.0+2.5
6 North Carolina31201165%82.175.9+6.2
7 Stanford31191261%72.870.4+2.5
8 Pittsburgh30161453%76.071.5+4.5
9 Florida State30161453%74.872.8+2.0
10 Georgia Tech31161552%73.772.6+1.1
11 Virginia30151550%64.866.2-1.5
12 Notre Dame30131743%72.571.7+0.7
13 California30131743%74.375.7-1.4
14 Virginia Tech30131743%69.873.1-3.4
15 Syracuse30121840%75.478.7-3.3
16 Boston College30121840%70.575.2-4.7
17 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Notre Dame373144112
California333542110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.