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Florida State vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-60
29-28 38-32
Position#177
Record13-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#241
Record10-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Florida State v Notre Dame
26 Jan 2027
FLOR v NOTR
upcoming
04 Feb 2025
FLOR67
NOTR60
21 Dec 2022
FLOR73
NOTR72
02 Mar 2022
FLOR74
NOTR70
25 Jan 2020
FLOR85
NOTR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A09/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H18/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H30/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
42-54
36-34
54-40
39-25
41-40
29-36
28-41
28-23
54-47
37-24
54-54
33-37
35-40
25-33
46-45
15-35
51-41
41-36
35-41
151.9Avg total
75.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.271.4148.6+5.859%
Season at home (12)79.670.0149.6+9.675%
Season away (10)74.373.1147.4+1.240%
Last 10 (10)75.776.2151.9-0.540%
Last 5 (5)74.477.2151.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.381.7152.0-11.414%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.073.5152.5+5.573%
vs Weaker (8)80.468.1148.5+12.262%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#335
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A25/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
49-30
42-32
24-43
51-43
32-39
41-35
33-26
32-40
36-44
42-42
36-33
42-27
42-33
27-44
39-27
35-32
37-37
34-31
36-25
21-38
143.2Avg total
73.1Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.870.0143.9+3.848%
Season at home (12)78.869.8148.6+9.167%
Season away (9)67.170.4137.6-3.322%
Last 10 (10)73.170.1143.2+3.040%
Last 5 (5)69.865.4135.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.573.1139.5-6.627%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.469.5144.9+5.960%
vs Weaker (4)78.065.5143.5+12.575%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
Florida StateNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H18/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
15-35
15
35
-20
H30/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.867.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.231.567.7+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)33.934.268.1-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.731.963.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.063.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.638.471.0-5.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.530.766.2+4.767%-
vs Weaker (8)36.431.968.2+4.575%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#335
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H22/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A02/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.4Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.970.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.634.271.8+3.362%-
Last 30 away (14)33.135.668.7-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.770.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.069.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.438.671.0-6.39%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.732.969.5+3.880%-
vs Weaker (4)39.832.071.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Florida State wins
1
Notre Dame wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ABoston College76-77
30/01/25HVirginia Tech66-76
26/01/25AStanford71-78
23/01/25ACalifornia68-77
18/01/25HGeorgia Tech91-78
16/01/25HPittsburgh82-70
11/01/25AClemson57-77
09/01/25AMiami (FL)80-65
04/01/25HSyracuse90-74
21/12/24HLouisville76-90
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25AMiami (FL)57-63
29/01/25HGeorgia Tech71-68
25/01/25AVirginia74-59
18/01/25ASyracuse69-77
14/01/25HBoston College78-60
11/01/25ADuke78-86
09/01/25ANC State65-66
04/01/25HNorth Carolina73-74
31/12/24AGeorgia Tech75-86
22/12/24HLe Moyne91-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL59%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %59%75%40%
Points / game77.279.674.3
Allowed / game71.470.073.1
Point differential+5.8+9.6+1.2
Avg total148.6149.6147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %48%67%22%
Points / game73.878.867.1
Allowed / game70.069.870.4
Point differential+3.8+9.1-3.3
Avg total143.9148.6137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2119290%80.360.0+20.3
2 Clemson2218482%77.066.1+10.8
3 SMU Mustangs2217577%82.971.3+11.5
4 Louisville2216673%78.669.6+9.0
5 Wake Forest2216673%69.766.2+3.5
6 Stanford2215768%75.970.5+5.5
7 Pittsburgh2214864%78.571.0+7.5
8 Florida State2213959%77.271.4+5.8
9 North Carolina23131057%81.276.7+4.5
10 California22111150%75.375.5-0.3
11 Virginia23111248%63.764.9-1.1
12 Notre Dame21101148%73.870.0+3.8
13 Boston College21101148%71.075.3-4.3
14 Georgia Tech22101245%74.573.2+1.3
15 Virginia Tech22101245%70.072.6-2.6
16 Syracuse22101245%74.277.0-2.8
17 NC State2191243%69.767.3+2.4
18 Miami (FL)2251723%74.979.6-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State293867
Notre Dame283260
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