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Notre Dame vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 60-75
28-35 32-40
Position#241
Record11-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#26
Record19-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Notre Dame v Louisville
16 Feb 2025
NOTR60
LOUI75
28 Jan 2023
NOTR76
LOUI62
09 Feb 2022
NOTR63
LOUI57
11 Jan 2020
NOTR64
LOUI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A25/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-26
32-40
36-44
42-42
36-33
42-27
42-33
27-44
39-27
35-32
37-37
34-31
36-25
21-38
28-29
32-38
33-26
30-39
35-41
45-39
141.7Avg total
71.2Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.870.7144.5+3.046%
Season at home (13)77.669.4147.0+8.262%
Season away (11)69.272.3141.5-3.127%
Last 10 (10)71.270.5141.7+0.740%
Last 5 (5)69.671.4141.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.573.1139.5-6.627%
vs Similar (13)75.170.5145.6+4.554%
vs Weaker (6)78.770.2148.8+8.567%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
98-73
98
73
+25
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-35
32-29
35-34
47-44
43-27
42-34
39-28
42-39
50-27
48-46
45-21
27-38
38-27
32-50
41-31
43-27
46-38
42-40
41-27
50-39
150.6Avg total
82.5Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.769.3149.0+10.476%
Season at home (14)76.469.3145.6+7.171%
Season away (11)83.969.4153.3+14.582%
Last 10 (10)82.568.1150.6+14.490%
Last 5 (5)81.067.6148.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.380.5148.8-12.20%
vs Similar (8)77.075.2152.2+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.965.9147.9+16.088%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +1.9+1.9
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +1.9+1.9
Notre DameLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/02
NCAA
67.6Avg total
35.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.770.3+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.734.171.8+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)33.435.368.6-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)35.532.167.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.665.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.438.671.0-6.39%-
vs Similar (13)37.532.369.8+5.277%-
vs Weaker (6)37.832.570.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A13/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
42.0Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.170.2+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.933.870.7+3.159%-
Last 30 away (13)37.432.269.5+5.277%-
Last 10 (10)42.029.571.5+12.5100%-
Last 5 (5)42.228.871.0+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.740.573.2-7.833%-
vs Similar (8)37.035.072.0+2.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.829.468.2+9.481%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Notre Dame wins
2
Louisville wins
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25ABoston College97-94 OT
08/02/25HVirginia Tech63-65
05/02/25AFlorida State60-67
02/02/25AMiami (FL)57-63
29/01/25HGeorgia Tech71-68
25/01/25AVirginia74-59
18/01/25ASyracuse69-77
14/01/25HBoston College78-60
11/01/25ADuke78-86
09/01/25ANC State65-66
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25ANC State91-66
08/02/25HMiami (FL)88-78
06/02/25ABoston College84-58
01/02/25AGeorgia Tech70-77
29/01/25HWake Forest72-59
22/01/25ASMU Mustangs98-73
18/01/25HVirginia81-67
15/01/25ASyracuse85-61
11/01/25APittsburgh82-78
08/01/25HClemson74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLWLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%62%27%
Points / game73.877.669.2
Allowed / game70.769.472.3
Point differential+3.0+8.2-3.1
Avg total144.5147.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%9%
Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %76%71%82%
Points / game79.776.483.9
Allowed / game69.369.369.4
Point differential+10.4+7.1+14.5
Avg total149.0145.6153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%57%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2522388%81.060.8+20.2
2 Clemson2621581%77.466.4+11.0
3 SMU Mustangs2519676%82.171.4+10.8
4 Louisville2519676%79.769.3+10.4
5 Wake Forest2619773%70.666.7+3.9
6 Stanford26161062%74.671.8+2.7
7 Pittsburgh25151060%77.271.1+6.2
8 Florida State25151060%75.370.9+4.4
9 North Carolina26151158%80.376.8+3.5
10 Virginia25131252%64.664.9-0.4
11 Georgia Tech26131350%74.673.5+1.1
12 California26121446%74.775.7-1.0
13 Notre Dame24111346%73.870.7+3.0
14 Virginia Tech25111444%70.072.6-2.6
15 Syracuse26111542%74.978.6-3.7
16 NC State25101540%69.468.6+0.8
17 Boston College25101540%71.777.1-5.4
18 Miami (FL)2561924%75.279.9-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame283260
Louisville354075
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