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Notre Dame vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-58
41-29 41-29
Position#269
Record8-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#362
Record4-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#184
W
102-70
102
70
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H03/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-31
58-39
31-28
47-30
34-31
29-33
37-30
49-49
32-39
29-32
36-24
32-39
25-39
31-27
33-40
43-31
36-45
40-31
33-33
47-32
144.9Avg total
75.7Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.969.0145.9+7.973%
Season at home (7)82.767.6150.3+15.1100%
Season away (4)66.871.5138.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)75.769.2144.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)73.470.0143.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.474.2142.6-5.838%
vs Similar (13)77.070.2147.2+6.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.870.5144.2+3.250%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H19/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
59-97
59
97
-38
H24/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H24/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-41
29-41
44-25
48-25
39-26
37-21
28-36
44-41
34-35
42-49
30-28
43-41
36-44
23-53
29-40
30-38
33-32
31-20
32-36
47-44
141.7Avg total
70.1Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.171.6141.7-1.540%
Season at home (7)71.169.3140.4+1.943%
Season away (3)67.777.0144.7-9.333%
Last 10 (10)70.171.6141.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)66.875.2142.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.573.2140.8-5.733%
vs Similar (4)59.558.0117.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +0.1+0.1
Notre DameEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#184
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H11/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.066.0+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.931.364.2+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.334.968.1-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.068.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.636.268.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.537.868.4-7.315%-
vs Similar (13)35.028.663.6+6.477%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.031.266.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H13/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A22/11
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A06/12
NCAA
67.0Avg total
32.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.334.365.7-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.834.966.6-3.135%-
Last 30 away (13)30.833.664.4-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.367.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.068.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.035.666.5-4.625%-
vs Similar (4)28.531.259.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)41.525.567.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
0
Evansville wins
No previous meetings.
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HIdaho80-65
06/12/25ATCU87-85 OT
03/12/25HMissouri76-71
26/11/25AHouston56-66
25/11/25HRutgers68-63
24/11/25AKansas61-71
20/11/25HBellarmine86-79
16/11/25AOhio State63-64
12/11/25HEastern Illinois78-58
08/11/25HDetroit102-70
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AWestern Kentucky79-80
04/12/25HBall State64-52
24/11/25HCharleston59-78
24/11/25HAkron59-97
22/11/25AOregon State73-69
19/11/25HUT Arlington76-84
13/11/25HMiddle Tenn. St.72-77
09/11/25HOakland City76-47
07/11/25HCalumet College92-50
04/11/25APurdue51-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%100%25%
Points / game76.982.766.8
Allowed / game69.067.671.5
Point differential+7.9+15.1-4.8
Avg total145.9150.3138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%43%33%
Points / game70.171.167.7
Allowed / game71.669.377.0
Point differential-1.5+1.9-9.3
Avg total141.7140.4144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke10100100%86.859.6+27.2
2 California109190%83.069.1+13.9
3 SMU Mustangs109190%89.876.0+13.8
4 Louisville98189%93.867.6+26.2
5 North Carolina98189%81.265.0+16.2
6 Miami (FL)119282%87.366.5+20.7
7 Virginia119282%84.171.0+13.1
8 Virginia Tech119282%83.373.6+9.6
9 Stanford97278%81.972.2+9.7
10 Notre Dame118373%76.969.0+7.9
11 Clemson107370%83.066.7+16.3
12 NC State107370%88.872.7+16.1
13 Wake Forest107370%84.272.7+11.5
14 Syracuse96367%73.064.4+8.6
15 Georgia Tech106460%72.469.2+3.2
16 Florida State105550%85.380.9+4.4
17 Pittsburgh105550%71.869.3+2.5
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont119282%82.569.6+12.8
2 Illinois State108280%81.565.9+15.6
3 Northern Iowa97278%73.457.4+16.0
4 Murray State107370%88.076.4+11.6
5 Valparaiso96367%73.467.8+5.7
6 Drake106460%79.665.4+14.2
7 Southern Illinois106460%80.371.5+8.8
8 Bradley106460%75.368.3+7.0
9 Indiana State106460%75.969.1+6.8
10 Illinois (Chi.)94544%77.273.2+4.0
11 Evansville104640%70.171.6-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame414182
Evansville292958
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