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Notre Dame vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 58-67
29-33 29-34
Position#291
Record7-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game65.1
vs
Position#196
Record9-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Notre Dame v Florida State
07 Feb 2026
NOTR79
FLOR82
13 Jan 2024
NOTR58
FLOR67
17 Jan 2023
NOTR71
FLOR84
06 Mar 2021
NOTR83
FLOR73
04 Mar 2020
NOTR71
FLOR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#246
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
H16/12
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H19/12
NCAA
Marist
#143
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H30/12
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
75-68 OT
75
68
+7
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
23-29
40-34
46-31
24-52
35-26
35-33
27-29
29-32
16-33
24-25
36-31
41-24
35-30
34-26
18-28
27-29
32-38
31-29
35-37
127.0Avg total
62.9Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)63.365.1128.4-1.844%
Season at home (11)64.664.1128.7+0.545%
Season away (5)60.467.4127.8-7.040%
Last 10 (10)62.964.1127.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)64.459.8124.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.870.4134.3-6.616%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.467.3136.8+2.156%
vs Weaker (2)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H30/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A02/12
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A09/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H17/12
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H23/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-21
41-47
35-29
35-49
24-38
48-50
18-25
39-43
46-33
45-42
25-24
42-37
31-46
44-32
32-19
50-52
27-30
50-44
42-41
45-41
148.7Avg total
74.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.374.1151.5+3.260%
Season at home (11)78.871.1149.9+7.773%
Season away (4)73.282.5155.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)74.474.3148.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)77.673.2150.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.377.8148.0-7.532%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.871.0152.8+10.867%
vs Weaker (2)81.574.5156.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +0.2+0.2
Notre DameFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#246
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H30/12
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A10/01
NCAA
62.8Avg total
31.1Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.665.0-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.630.764.2+2.944%-
Last 30 away (12)30.535.666.1-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)31.131.762.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.426.658.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.933.564.5-2.626%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.131.065.1+3.156%-
vs Weaker (2)37.531.569.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H30/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A02/12
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A09/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
18-25
18
25
-7
H17/12
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/01
NCAA
61.1Avg total
30.5Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.367.6-2.950%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.132.764.8-0.653%-
Last 30 away (11)32.739.772.5-7.045%-
Last 10 (10)30.530.661.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.063.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)30.437.167.5-6.741%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.331.068.3+6.367%-
vs Weaker (2)38.527.566.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Notre Dame wins
5
Florida State wins
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24AGeorgia Tech75-68 OT
06/01/24HDuke59-67
04/01/24HNC State52-54
30/12/23HVirginia76-54
23/12/23HMarist60-56
19/12/23HCitadel45-65
16/12/23HGeorgetown68-72 OT
10/12/23AMarquette59-78
06/12/23HWestern Michigan86-65
02/12/23AMiami (FL)49-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HWake Forest87-82
06/01/24HVirginia Tech77-74
04/01/24HGeorgia Tech82-71
30/12/23HLipscomb75-78
23/12/23HWinthrop67-61
20/12/23HNorth Florida91-75
17/12/23HSMU Mustangs57-68
09/12/23ASouth Florida72-88
02/12/23ANorth Carolina70-78
30/11/23HGeorgia66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLWWLL45%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %44%45%40%
Points / game63.364.660.4
Allowed / game65.164.167.4
Point differential-1.8+0.5-7.0
Avg total128.4128.7127.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %19%9%40%
Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %60%73%25%
Points / game77.378.873.2
Allowed / game74.171.182.5
Point differential+3.2+7.7-9.2
Avg total151.5149.9155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %7%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1613381%83.869.5+14.2
2 Duke1512380%81.965.2+16.7
3 Wake Forest1612475%80.969.3+11.6
4 NC State1612475%76.969.0+7.9
5 Clemson1511473%79.771.8+7.9
6 Miami (FL)1611569%83.072.3+10.7
7 Virginia1611569%64.957.8+7.1
8 Syracuse1611569%76.372.7+3.6
9 SMU Mustangs1510567%74.561.7+12.9
10 Virginia Tech1510567%74.367.2+7.1
11 Boston College1510567%79.072.7+6.3
12 Pittsburgh1610662%77.466.1+11.4
13 Florida State159660%77.374.1+3.2
14 Stanford158753%78.975.6+3.3
15 Georgia Tech158753%72.473.7-1.3
16 Notre Dame167944%63.365.1-1.8
17 California1661038%75.576.4-0.9
18 Louisville1661038%73.876.6-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame292958
Florida State333467
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