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Notre Dame vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-65
30-30 43-35
Position#72
Record12-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game66.6
vs
Position#297
Record10-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Notre Dame v NC State
28 Feb 2026
NOTR96
NC S90
03 Jan 2024
NOTR52
NC S54
26 Jan 2022
NOTR73
NC S65
03 Mar 2021
NOTR69
NC S80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H21/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A29/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
72-68 OT
72
68
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-30
29-34
44-23
41-29
42-37
41-36
30-30
38-37
39-35
39-38
29-35
33-27
39-22
33-34
40-32
33-47
31-30
40-38
38-45
44-25
141.0Avg total
74.0Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.666.6138.2+5.067%
Season at home (9)71.762.9134.6+8.878%
Season away (9)71.670.3141.9+1.256%
Last 10 (10)74.067.0141.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)74.068.2142.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.980.3154.1-6.443%
vs Similar (12)70.268.2138.4+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.566.9143.4+9.582%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H17/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A05/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A13/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
39-44
38-37
32-47
41-40
42-51
41-43
40-40
29-33
39-30
28-30
37-40
35-27
44-36
36-45
37-43
21-35
38-27
43-32
34-31
147.9Avg total
72.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.273.7148.9+1.550%
Season at home (15)75.673.0148.6+2.653%
Season away (5)74.275.8150.0-1.640%
Last 10 (10)72.975.0147.9-2.130%
Last 5 (5)70.669.2139.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.173.8145.9-1.743%
vs Similar (10)72.573.7146.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (5)77.666.2143.8+11.480%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -0.7-0.7
Notre DameNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H21/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A29/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
35.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.270.0+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.531.166.6+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.136.973.0-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.931.967.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.868.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.638.378.9+2.343%-
vs Similar (12)34.231.165.3+3.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)34.535.069.5-0.536%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/12
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H08/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A13/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H22/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.268.7+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.434.668.0-1.139%-
Last 30 away (12)36.033.869.8+2.267%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.170.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.866.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.133.866.9-0.750%-
vs Similar (10)34.035.769.7-1.740%-
vs Weaker (5)38.233.071.2+5.260%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
2
NC State wins
DateGameScore
04/03/21Notre Dame v NC State69-80
09/01/20NC State v Notre Dame73-68
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22ALouisville82-70
17/01/22AHoward71-68
15/01/22AVirginia Tech73-79
13/01/22HClemson72-56
08/01/22AGeorgia Tech72-68 OT
06/01/22HNorth Carolina78-73
29/12/21APittsburgh68-67
22/12/21HTexas A&M-CC83-73
21/12/21HWestern Michigan85-52
18/12/21HIndiana56-64
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HVirginia77-63
20/01/22HVirginia Tech59-62
15/01/22ADuke73-88
13/01/22ALouisville79-63
08/01/22HClemson65-70
05/01/22AVirginia Tech68-63
01/01/22HFlorida State81-83
30/12/21AMiami (FL)83-91
22/12/21HWright State70-84
17/12/21HRichmond Spiders74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game71.671.771.6
Allowed / game66.662.970.3
Point differential+5.0+8.8+1.2
Avg total138.2134.6141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLLLW53%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20155
Win %50%53%40%
Points / game75.275.674.2
Allowed / game73.773.075.8
Point differential+1.6+2.6-1.6
Avg total148.9148.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %10%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1916384%82.065.8+16.2
2 Wake Forest2117481%79.667.9+11.7
3 SMU Mustangs1915479%76.467.2+9.3
4 Miami (FL)2015575%76.071.9+4.1
5 Florida State1813572%73.668.5+5.1
6 North Carolina2014670%76.971.0+5.8
7 Notre Dame1812667%71.666.6+5.0
8 Stanford1711665%69.670.1-0.5
9 Virginia2012860%62.559.4+3.2
10 Clemson2011955%73.067.0+6.0
11 Louisville2011955%68.567.7+0.8
12 Virginia Tech20101050%69.361.6+7.7
13 NC State20101050%75.273.7+1.6
14 California1991047%64.964.5+0.5
15 Syracuse2091145%76.575.3+1.1
16 Boston College1981142%65.566.4-0.9
17 Pittsburgh2081240%61.864.9-3.1
18 Georgia Tech1871139%69.669.9-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame304373
NC State303565
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