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Louisville vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 63-79
27-35 36-44
Position#265
Record10-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game67.3
vs
Position#297
Record8-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Louisville v NC State
09 Feb 2026
LOUI118
NC S77
13 Jan 2024
LOUI83
NC S89
12 Jan 2022
LOUI63
NC S79
16 Dec 2020
LOUI v NC S
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A02/12
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A04/12
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H11/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A18/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
31-28
28-36
36-37
43-29
30-39
29-26
26-36
42-31
44-29
37-46
35-36
26-31
47-38
31-28
36-36
35-32
40-40
40-50
30-29
138.2Avg total
69.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.967.3138.2+3.767%
Season at home (8)72.966.2139.1+6.675%
Season away (7)68.768.4137.1+0.357%
Last 10 (10)69.868.4138.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)71.473.2144.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.869.9139.7-0.150%
vs Similar ◀ (17)67.165.6132.8+1.571%
vs Weaker (3)75.069.0144.0+6.067%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#314
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H04/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H09/12
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
72-82 OT
72
82
-10
H12/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H17/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A05/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
32-31
29-43
39-30
34-29
31-19
31-27
35-39
35-39
39-44
38-37
32-47
41-40
42-51
41-43
40-40
29-33
39-30
28-30
37-40
152.7Avg total
75.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.174.9150.9+1.250%
Season at home (13)76.874.6151.4+2.254%
Season away (3)73.076.0149.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)75.077.7152.7-2.730%
Last 5 (5)73.478.2151.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.473.7145.1-2.242%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.975.0146.9-3.140%
vs Weaker (7)77.366.1143.4+11.186%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -0.5-0.5
LouisvilleNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#217
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A02/12
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A04/12
NCAA
DePaul
#210
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H14/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A09/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.765.3+1.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.431.064.4+2.475%-
Last 30 away (14)33.832.566.3+1.364%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.667.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.471.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.433.867.2-0.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.530.764.2+2.882%-
vs Weaker (3)34.730.365.0+4.367%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#314
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H04/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H09/12
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H12/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/12
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H08/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.368.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.033.666.6-0.639%-
Last 30 away (12)37.732.970.6+4.875%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.070.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.232.464.7-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
vs Weaker (7)38.130.068.1+8.171%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Louisville wins
0
NC State wins
DateGameScore
04/12/21NC State v Louisville68-73
01/02/20NC State v Louisville57-77
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/22AFlorida State70-79
06/01/22HPittsburgh75-72
02/01/22AGeorgia Tech67-64
30/12/21HWake Forest73-69
18/12/21AWestern Kentucky72-82
14/12/21HSE Louisiana86-60
11/12/21HDePaul55-62
04/12/21ANC State73-68
02/12/21AMichigan State64-73
27/11/21AMaryland63-55
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22HClemson65-70
05/01/22AVirginia Tech68-63
01/01/22HFlorida State81-83
30/12/21AMiami (FL)83-91
22/12/21HWright State70-84
17/12/21HRichmond Spiders74-83
12/12/21HPurdue72-82 OT
09/12/21HBethune-Cookman65-48
04/12/21HLouisville68-73
02/12/21HNebraska104-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%75%57%
Points / game70.972.968.7
Allowed / game67.366.268.4
Point differential+3.7+6.6+0.3
Avg total138.2139.1137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLLLLL54%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %50%54%33%
Points / game76.176.873.0
Allowed / game74.974.676.0
Point differential+1.2+2.2-3.0
Avg total150.9151.4149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %12%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1513287%82.864.7+18.1
2 Wake Forest1713476%79.169.1+10.0
3 Miami (FL)1713476%76.373.2+3.1
4 SMU Mustangs1612475%77.168.4+8.7
5 North Carolina1511473%78.770.5+8.2
6 Stanford139469%70.869.7+1.2
7 Notre Dame1510567%70.965.5+5.4
8 Louisville1510567%70.967.3+3.7
9 Florida State149564%73.067.9+5.1
10 Clemson1610662%73.166.2+6.8
11 Virginia159660%63.358.8+4.5
12 Virginia Tech148657%70.558.7+11.8
13 California169756%65.762.5+3.2
14 Syracuse168850%78.475.6+2.9
15 NC State168850%76.174.9+1.2
16 Boston College136746%67.164.5+2.6
17 Pittsburgh1661038%62.365.7-3.4
18 Georgia Tech145936%67.168.7-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville273663
NC State354479
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