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Duke vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-73
45-36 43-37
Position#12
Record13-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game64.7
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#297
Record9-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Duke v NC State
27 Jan 2025
DUKE74
NC S64
31 Mar 2024
DUKE64
NC S76
14 Mar 2024
DUKE69
NC S74
28 Feb 2023
DUKE71
NC S67
15 Jan 2022
DUKE88
NC S73
12 Mar 2020
DUKE v NC S
upcoming
02 Mar 2020
DUKE88
NC S69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#254
W
107-81
107
81
+26
H23/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A01/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
W
103-62
103
62
+41
H15/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H17/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H18/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-42
55-39
45-42
39-39
43-30
23-41
60-27
43-35
50-37
42-30
44-26
43-30
32-36
44-29
35-23
34-34
32-32
42-44
35-29
41-35
151.4Avg total
83.4Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.864.7147.5+18.187%
Season at home (12)84.762.8147.5+21.892%
Season away (3)75.372.0147.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)83.468.0151.4+15.480%
Last 5 (5)76.463.6140.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (13)74.970.3145.2+4.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.664.7148.2+18.975%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#265
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H04/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H09/12
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
72-82 OT
72
82
-10
H12/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H17/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A05/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
39-30
34-29
31-19
31-27
35-39
35-39
39-44
38-37
32-47
41-40
42-51
41-43
40-40
29-33
39-30
28-30
37-40
35-27
44-36
146.5Avg total
72.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.274.2150.4+2.153%
Season at home (13)76.874.6151.4+2.254%
Season away (4)74.572.8147.2+1.850%
Last 10 (10)72.574.0146.5-1.530%
Last 5 (5)75.274.0149.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.473.7145.1-2.242%
vs Similar (11)72.573.9146.5-1.445%
vs Weaker (6)78.266.0144.2+12.283%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +0.2+0.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +0.2+0.2
DukeNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#254
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A01/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H15/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A13/01
NCAA
75.2Avg total
42.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.431.771.1+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.931.672.5+9.380%-
Last 30 away (10)36.531.968.4+4.680%-
Last 10 (10)42.832.475.2+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.264.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (13)35.832.167.9+3.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.030.872.8+11.288%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#265
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H04/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H09/12
NCAA
Purdue
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H12/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Wright State
#123
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/12
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H08/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A13/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.568.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.134.367.4-1.235%-
Last 30 away (13)37.532.569.9+5.077%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.868.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.669.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.232.464.7-0.250%-
vs Similar (11)35.235.971.1-0.745%-
vs Weaker (6)39.231.570.7+7.767%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Duke wins
1
NC State wins
DateGameScore
13/02/21NC State v Duke53-69
03/03/20Duke v NC State88-69
20/02/20NC State v Duke88-66
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/22AWake Forest76-64
09/01/22HMiami (FL)74-76
05/01/22HGeorgia Tech69-57
23/12/21HVirginia Tech76-65
18/12/21HElon87-56
17/12/21HAppalachian State92-67
15/12/21HSouth Carolina St103-62
01/12/21AOhio State66-71
27/11/21AGonzaga84-81
23/11/21HCitadel107-81
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/22ALouisville79-63
08/01/22HClemson65-70
05/01/22AVirginia Tech68-63
01/01/22HFlorida State81-83
30/12/21AMiami (FL)83-91
22/12/21HWright State70-84
17/12/21HRichmond Spiders74-83
12/12/21HPurdue72-82 OT
09/12/21HBethune-Cookman65-48
04/12/21HLouisville68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %87%92%67%
Points / game82.884.775.3
Allowed / game64.762.872.0
Point differential+18.1+21.8+3.3
Avg total147.5147.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeLLLLL54%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %53%54%50%
Points / game76.276.874.5
Allowed / game74.274.672.8
Point differential+2.1+2.2+1.8
Avg total150.4151.4147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %12%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1513287%82.864.7+18.1
2 Wake Forest1713476%79.169.1+10.0
3 Miami (FL)1713476%76.373.2+3.1
4 SMU Mustangs1612475%77.168.4+8.7
5 North Carolina1511473%78.770.5+8.2
6 Stanford1410471%70.268.8+1.4
7 Notre Dame1510567%70.965.5+5.4
8 Florida State149564%73.067.9+5.1
9 Clemson1610662%73.166.2+6.8
10 Virginia1610662%62.758.4+4.3
11 Louisville1610662%70.468.0+2.4
12 Virginia Tech158753%69.358.4+10.9
13 California179853%65.162.6+2.5
14 NC State179853%76.274.2+2.1
15 Syracuse168850%78.475.6+2.9
16 Boston College146843%67.765.6+2.1
17 Georgia Tech156940%68.169.2-1.1
18 Pittsburgh1661038%62.365.7-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke454388
NC State363773
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