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Notre Dame vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 52-54
34-26 18-28
Position#291
Record6-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game65.6
Notre Dame
USA
vs
NC State 🏆
USA
Position#94
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Notre Dame v NC State
28 Feb 2026
NOTR96
NC S90
03 Jan 2024
NOTR52
NC S54
26 Jan 2022
NOTR73
NC S65
03 Mar 2021
NOTR69
NC S80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#297
W
66-64 OT
66
64
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
H16/12
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H19/12
NCAA
Marist
#143
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-25
22-30
38-22
37-33
28-31
25-34
26-33
23-29
40-34
46-31
24-52
35-26
35-33
27-29
29-32
16-33
24-25
36-31
41-24
35-30
127.3Avg total
63.7Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)63.665.6129.2-2.046%
Season at home (9)66.764.9131.6+1.856%
Season away (4)56.867.2124.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)63.763.6127.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)61.665.0126.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.872.1136.9-7.317%
vs Similar (10)69.668.8138.4+0.850%
vs Weaker (2)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#319
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A25/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-23
45-30
43-33
41-45
43-38
43-57
27-35
25-37
36-33
32-35
37-25
56-36
46-35
35-32
31-34
39-45
33-36
49-34
43-36
40-30
152.1Avg total
80.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.870.2150.0+9.775%
Season at home (7)83.162.9146.0+20.3100%
Season away (5)75.280.4155.6-5.240%
Last 10 (10)80.271.9152.1+8.370%
Last 5 (5)81.868.6150.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
vs Similar (13)70.875.0145.8-4.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.167.8150.9+15.393%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.4+2.4
Notre DameNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#297
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H23/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H30/12
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.533.465.9-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.730.964.6+2.847%-
Last 30 away (13)31.036.567.5-5.523%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.162.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.263.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.834.665.4-3.822%-
vs Similar (10)34.631.566.1+3.160%-
vs Weaker (2)37.531.569.0+6.050%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#319
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/12
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.671.2+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.433.675.0+7.880%-
Last 30 away (15)33.933.667.5+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.870.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.271.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (13)34.233.567.8+0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.733.374.0+7.373%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Notre Dame wins
3
NC State wins
DateGameScore
25/01/23NC State v Notre Dame85-82
05/02/22NC State v Notre Dame57-69
27/01/22Notre Dame v NC State73-65
04/03/21Notre Dame v NC State69-80
09/01/20NC State v Notre Dame73-68
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HVirginia76-54
23/12/23HMarist60-56
19/12/23HCitadel45-65
16/12/23HGeorgetown68-72 OT
10/12/23AMarquette59-78
06/12/23HWestern Michigan86-65
02/12/23AMiami (FL)49-62
29/11/23ASouth Carolina53-65
23/11/23HMd.-East. Shore75-55
17/11/23AOklahoma State66-64 OT
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HDetroit83-66
21/12/23HSt. Louis Billikens82-70
17/12/23ATennessee70-79
13/12/23HUT Martin81-67
07/12/23HMd.-East. Shore93-61
02/12/23ABoston College84-78 OT
29/11/23AOle Miss52-72
25/11/23ABrigham Young86-95
24/11/23AVanderbilt84-78
18/11/23HCharleston Southern87-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW46%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %46%56%25%
Points / game63.666.756.8
Allowed / game65.664.967.2
Point differential-2.0+1.8-10.5
Avg total129.2131.6124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %15%11%25%
NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%100%40%
Points / game79.883.175.2
Allowed / game70.262.980.4
Point differential+9.7+20.3-5.2
Avg total150.0146.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1311285%82.271.2+11.1
2 Miami (FL)1411379%83.970.8+13.1
3 Virginia1411379%66.655.9+10.6
4 Duke1310377%83.566.6+16.9
5 North Carolina1310377%85.072.0+13.0
6 Wake Forest1310377%81.568.7+12.8
7 NC State129375%79.870.2+9.7
8 SMU Mustangs1410471%75.661.6+14.0
9 Syracuse1410471%77.571.5+6.0
10 Boston College139469%79.371.8+7.5
11 Virginia Tech139469%73.466.1+7.3
12 Pittsburgh149564%78.865.1+13.6
13 Georgia Tech138562%71.671.9-0.3
14 Florida State137654%76.673.5+3.1
15 Stanford126650%79.875.3+4.4
16 Notre Dame136746%63.665.6-2.0
17 Louisville135838%72.975.5-2.6
18 California134931%75.877.4-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame341852
NC State262854
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