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Mladost vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-67
17-15 20-18 18-22 18-12
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game70.8
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Gorica
Croatia
Position#5
Record6-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mladost v Gorica
20 Dec 2025
MLAD73
GORI67
01 Mar 2025
MLAD88
GORI83
19 Nov 2023
MLAD63
GORI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
93-56
93
56
+37
88avg 73
A11/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
79-59
79
59
+20
74avg 73
H19/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
67-72 OT
67
72
-5
57avg 73
A25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 73
H31/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
72-67
72
67
+5
68avg 73
A09/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
80-57
80
57
+23
73avg 73
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 73
A22/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
82avg 73
A29/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
89avg 73
H06/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
71avg 73
A13/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
19-10
22-15
22-8
21-19
24-12
23-8
11-20
15-17
10-12
13-16
24-17
26-11
24-18
25-17
14-35
13-16
14-15
24-13
21-23
23-15
15-13
20-23
22-6
21-24
23-19
15-19
17-18
22-19
20-28
16-15
22-11
26-24
23-14
27-27
12-23
15-23
25-18
17-16
17-11
151.6Avg total
80.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.870.8151.6+10.080%
Season at home (4)86.573.0159.5+13.5100%
Season away (6)77.069.3146.3+7.767%
Last 10 (10)80.870.8151.6+10.080%
Last 5 (5)81.674.6156.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.486.4165.8-7.042%
vs Similar (5)80.468.8149.2+11.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.869.3150.2+11.577%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
99-59
99
59
+40
97avg 80
H31/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A04/11
Slovenian Cup
Crikvenica
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
73avg 80
A08/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
88-61
88
61
+27
91avg 80
H15/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 80
A22/11
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A25/11
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#9
L
69-85
69
85
-16
55avg 80
H30/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 80
A06/12
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Omis
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
78avg 80
H13/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
23-9
27-12
20-22
19-13
25-23
21-11
13-14
20-18
15-25
29-16
20-18
14-13
33-13
16-27
25-8
24-18
21-14
15-20
28-22
13-22
23-20
17-19
21-16
21-21
23-17
16-26
9-21
16-17
18-21
22-21
26-19
14-12
11-23
20-12
15-25
26-18
22-19
16-27
10-22
152.6Avg total
79.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.776.2158.9+6.560%
Season at home (6)81.074.0155.0+7.050%
Season away (4)85.279.5164.8+5.875%
Last 10 (10)79.673.0152.6+6.660%
Last 5 (5)71.879.6151.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.790.8174.5-7.136%
vs Similar (11)80.576.8157.4+3.755%
vs Weaker (7)83.471.3154.7+12.171%
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
MladostGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A11/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H31/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A09/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H06/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/12
Prva Liga
75.9Avg total
40.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.839.280.0+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)39.340.880.1-1.529%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.075.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.482.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.346.287.5-4.825%-
vs Similar (5)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.935.474.3+3.546%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H31/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/11
Slovenian Cup
Crikvenica
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H15/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A22/11
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/11
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/12
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Omis
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
Prva Liga
76.2Avg total
41.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.681.7+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.037.480.4+5.656%-
Last 30 away (12)43.240.383.6+2.975%-
Last 10 (10)41.035.276.2+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.075.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.342.183.4-0.855%-
vs Similar (11)41.237.578.7+3.664%-
vs Weaker (7)45.636.482.0+9.171%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.9
56.2%
53.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.9
30.5%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.013.0
65.0%
71.6%13.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.5
51.4%
53.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
71.6%14.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
WWWLWWWLWW
Gorica
LLWLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#5
+12.7
Net rating
+8.3
105.8
Offensive rating
100.2
93.0
Defensive rating
91.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.5%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
20.6%
Turnover %
21.4%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.5%
3-point %
32.8%
64.8%
Assist %
68.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 100.2Defence93.0 · 91.9Shooting52.0% · 50.5%3-point %30.5% · 32.8%Ball care20.6% · 21.4%Off. rebounds35.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Mladost   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mladost wins
2
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Mladost v Gorica88-83
16/11/24Gorica v Mladost75-92
24/02/24Gorica v Mladost84-69
19/11/23Mladost v Gorica63-82
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ANovi Zagreb74-68
06/12/25HSkrljevo98-95 OT
29/11/25AKastela80-73
22/11/25AOmis76-80
16/11/25HJazine80-57
09/11/25AMarsonia72-67
31/10/25HDakovo89-81
25/10/25AKK Zagreb67-72 OT
19/10/25HCrikvenica79-59
11/10/25AOsijek93-56
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HOmis74-86
09/12/25HAjdovscina60-72
06/12/25AJazine82-78
30/11/25HMarsonia69-85
25/11/25AAjdovscina74-77
22/11/25ADakovo88-74
15/11/25HKK Zagreb88-61
08/11/25ACrikvenica84-77
04/11/25APlama P.78-61
31/10/25HOsijek99-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game80.886.577.0
Allowed / game70.873.069.3
Point differential+10.0+13.5+7.7
Avg total151.6159.5146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %20%25%17%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%50%75%
Points / game82.781.085.2
Allowed / game76.274.079.5
Point differential+6.5+7.0+5.8
Avg total158.9155.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo119282%93.374.0+19.3
2 Mladost108280%80.870.8+10.0
3 Kastela118373%83.268.8+14.4
4 KK Zagreb118373%76.275.2+1.0
5 Gorica106460%82.776.2+6.5
6 Dakovo116555%82.477.7+4.6
7 Omis116555%80.275.8+4.4
8 Jazine116555%75.378.3-3.0
9 Crikvenica115645%75.776.5-0.7
10 Marsonia114736%75.775.6+0.1
11 Novi Zagreb114736%71.873.6-1.8
12 Sonik Puntamika113827%69.075.2-6.2
13 Amfora113827%77.588.4-10.9
14 Osijek110110%65.2101.3-36.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost1720181873
Gorica1518221267
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