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NW Tasmania vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 May 2021
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 94-104
28-23 17-20 22-26 27-35
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#5
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game94.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Mt Gambier
05 Jul 2025
NW T74
MT G107
08 Jul 2023
NW T80
MT G81
29 May 2021
NW T94
MT G104
18 Jun 2016
NW T68
MT G98
25 Jul 2015
NW T83
MT G86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#11
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A14/07
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H20/07
NBL 1
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A17/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H24/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A01/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A02/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H08/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H15/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
94-68
94
68
+26
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
98-63
98
63
+35
A23/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
14-21
20-23
27-31
31-23
25-19
29-22
18-31
21-23
19-11
23-28
22-16
14-14
14-18
21-21
18-14
17-17
25-20
24-21
20-20
26-13
14-15
19-13
17-20
17-21
20-19
28-17
22-12
29-22
22-27
25-13
24-16
21-17
25-23
33-14
15-14
26-18
17-12
25-20
30-13
165.8Avg total
89.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.171.1158.2+16.088%
Season at home (3)86.073.7159.7+12.367%
Season away (5)87.869.6157.4+18.2100%
Last 10 (10)89.076.8165.8+12.280%
Last 5 (5)91.067.8158.8+23.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.391.6171.9-11.222%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.286.9176.1+2.357%
vs Weaker (7)88.968.0156.9+20.986%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H25/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H02/09
SEABL
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
122-90
122
90
+32
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A08/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
123-95
123
95
+28
A09/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
118-93
118
93
+25
H15/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
H22/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
79-107
79
107
-28
A28/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
24-17
20-25
21-19
26-23
15-19
28-11
23-32
21-28
15-22
22-21
24-24
37-28
27-17
39-26
19-19
27-21
26-24
22-25
22-23
24-27
23-29
22-19
28-16
35-19
33-27
37-19
18-30
28-13
32-26
29-24
29-30
19-18
21-15
12-25
16-10
17-23
18-29
17-35
27-20
188.8Avg total
97.5Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.594.0194.5+6.562%
Season at home (4)95.892.2188.0+3.550%
Season away (4)105.295.8201.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)97.591.3188.8+6.270%
Last 5 (5)100.694.8195.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.093.0179.0-7.025%
vs Weaker (26)96.381.9178.2+14.488%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
NW TasmaniaMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A14/07
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H20/07
NBL 1
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H24/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A01/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A02/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H15/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A23/05
NBL1 South
80.8Avg total
42.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.582.7+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.978.9+1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)44.142.086.1+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.280.8+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.480.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.645.884.3-7.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.239.383.5+4.964%-
vs Weaker (7)42.936.379.1+6.671%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/09
SEABL
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A08/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
68-46
68
46
+22
A09/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H15/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H22/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A28/05
NBL1 South
92.2Avg total
48.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.941.489.3+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.039.488.4+9.681%-
Last 30 away (14)46.643.790.4+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)48.244.092.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)50.045.295.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.546.887.2-6.225%-
vs Weaker (26)49.040.689.6+8.577%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NW Tasmania wins
5
Mt Gambier wins
DateGameScore
28/04/17Mt Gambier v NW Tasmania111-87
18/06/16NW Tasmania v Mt Gambier68-98
03/06/16Mt Gambier v NW Tasmania106-80
31/07/15Mt Gambier v NW Tasmania83-80
25/07/15NW Tasmania v Mt Gambier83-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/21AKilsyth98-63
22/05/21AEltham94-68
15/05/21HDiamond Valley100-78
08/05/21HEltham87-69
02/05/21ASandringham Sabres76-61
01/05/21AFrankston86-78
24/04/21HBallarat71-74 OT
17/04/21AHobart Chargers85-78
20/07/19HWaverley103-95
14/07/19ADiamond Valley90-104
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/21AHobart Chargers79-107
22/05/21HBallarat86-88 OT
15/05/21HKnox118-93
09/05/21AMelbourne Tigers123-95
08/05/21ADandenong97-91
01/05/21HRingwood97-93
24/04/21ASandringham Sabres122-90
17/04/21HBendigo Braves82-95
02/09/17HDandenong92-85
25/08/17HNunawading79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%67%100%
Points / game87.186.087.8
Allowed / game71.173.769.6
Point differential+16.0+12.3+18.2
Avg total158.2159.7157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game100.595.8105.2
Allowed / game94.092.295.8
Point differential+6.5+3.5+9.5
Avg total194.5188.0201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NW Tasmania87188%87.171.1+16.0
2 Frankston97278%97.281.8+15.4
3 Geelong75271%81.078.4+2.6
4 Ringwood64267%90.384.0+6.3
5 Hobart Chargers96367%92.286.1+6.1
6 Nunawading85362%84.671.5+13.1
7 Mt Gambier85362%100.594.0+6.5
8 Diamond Valley85362%88.181.8+6.4
9 Bendigo Braves85362%88.487.0+1.4
10 Waverley74357%83.380.6+2.7
11 Kilsyth74357%73.976.9-3.0
12 Ballarat73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Knox62433%75.086.5-11.5
14 Eltham82625%78.884.9-6.1
15 Dandenong82625%87.294.4-7.1
16 Sandringham Sabres71614%82.1100.6-18.4
17 Albury-Wodonga Bandits81712%78.991.6-12.8
18 Melbourne Tigers91811%81.8101.7-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NW Tasmania2817222794
Mt Gambier23202635104
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