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Melbourne Tigers vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 96-100 (OT)
24-15 16-28 28-14 18-29 10-14
Position#17
Record2-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game97.2
vs
Position#1
Record10-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game76.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v NW Tasmania
28 Jun 2025
MELB98
NW T83
19 Jun 2022
MELB69
NW T76
11 Jul 2021
MELB96
NW T100
13 May 2017
MELB65
NW T107
25 Jun 2016
MELB79
NW T87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#12
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
85-108
85
108
-23
H02/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
62-100
62
100
-38
A08/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
95-123
95
123
-28
H09/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H16/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
69-105
69
105
-36
H23/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H27/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A04/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
16-29
25-19
18-29
25-30
20-25
14-25
26-28
18-26
16-20
12-27
16-27
19-35
27-33
19-37
30-18
22-30
15-18
15-28
14-14
28-23
14-24
19-28
24-18
14-21
22-25
18-25
15-34
18-16
21-26
22-21
16-29
14-29
8-15
20-15
18-17
21-28
30-21
19-18
27-16
173.6Avg total
76.9Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.897.2178.0-16.317%
Season at home (6)84.2103.0187.2-18.80%
Season away (6)77.591.3168.8-13.833%
Last 10 (10)76.996.7173.6-19.810%
Last 5 (5)77.689.8167.4-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.895.4174.2-16.717%
vs Similar (10)83.189.6172.7-6.540%
vs Weaker (8)94.481.5175.9+12.988%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A02/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H08/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H15/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
94-68
94
68
+26
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
98-63
98
63
+35
A23/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
H29/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H05/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H26/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
70-98
70
98
-28
H03/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A10/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
14-15
19-13
17-20
17-21
20-19
28-17
22-12
29-22
22-27
25-13
24-16
21-17
25-23
33-14
15-14
26-18
17-12
25-20
30-13
28-23
17-20
22-26
27-35
23-26
23-29
21-13
27-13
24-16
24-16
17-10
17-28
20-34
8-23
9-28
33-13
22-20
19-11
20-22
16-18
163.5Avg total
87.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.776.4162.1+9.377%
Season at home (7)85.482.0167.4+3.457%
Season away (6)86.069.8155.8+16.2100%
Last 10 (10)87.276.3163.5+10.980%
Last 5 (5)83.484.8168.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.591.5172.0-11.025%
vs Similar (14)86.186.9173.0-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.669.2154.9+16.488%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
Melbourne TigersNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#12
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H02/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
46-68
46
68
-22
H09/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H16/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H23/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H27/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A04/07
NBL1 South
87.6Avg total
38.2Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.786.3-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.243.286.4+0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)39.746.486.1-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.249.487.6-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.683.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.248.587.7-9.38%-
vs Similar (10)40.244.684.8-4.440%-
vs Weaker (8)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A02/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H15/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A23/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H05/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
28-57
28
57
-29
H03/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/07
NBL1 South
83.0Avg total
42.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.281.4+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.480.1-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)43.139.983.0+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.583.0+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.685.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.545.483.9-6.912%-
vs Similar (14)42.540.182.6+2.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.835.277.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
3
NW Tasmania wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/21ASandringham Sabres97-83
30/06/21ARingwood60-76
27/06/21HBallarat77-92
23/05/21HNunawading69-105
16/05/21HDandenong85-93
15/05/21AGeelong66-90
09/05/21HMt Gambier95-123
08/05/21ABendigo Braves62-100
02/05/21HHobart Chargers85-108
01/05/21ADiamond Valley73-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/21ADandenong77-71
03/07/21HGeelong70-98
26/06/21HBendigo Braves82-70
05/06/21HHobart Chargers94-81
29/05/21HMt Gambier94-104
23/05/21AKilsyth98-63
22/05/21AEltham94-68
15/05/21HDiamond Valley100-78
08/05/21HEltham87-69
02/05/21ASandringham Sabres76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game80.884.277.5
Allowed / game97.2103.091.3
Point differential-16.3-18.8-13.8
Avg total178.0187.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW77%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%57%100%
Points / game85.785.486.0
Allowed / game76.482.069.8
Point differential+9.3+3.4+16.2
Avg total162.1167.4155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston1310377%100.485.1+15.3
2 NW Tasmania1310377%85.776.4+9.3
3 Hobart Chargers1410471%95.887.4+8.4
4 Geelong139469%89.381.8+7.5
5 Mt Gambier139469%99.893.1+6.7
6 Waverley128467%89.382.3+7.0
7 Kilsyth117464%74.675.0-0.4
8 Ballarat127558%80.876.9+3.8
9 Bendigo Braves127558%86.487.3-0.9
10 Knox105550%82.586.2-3.7
11 Nunawading136746%82.578.8+3.6
12 Diamond Valley136746%86.789.5-2.8
13 Ringwood115645%86.488.2-1.8
14 Dandenong113827%84.991.0-6.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1331023%82.791.5-8.8
16 Eltham1221017%79.987.9-8.0
17 Melbourne Tigers1221017%80.897.2-16.3
18 Sandringham Sabres121118%82.2100.3-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Melbourne Tigers241628181096
NW Tasmania1528142914100
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