NW Tasmania vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jul 2021

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 70-98

20-34 8-23 9-28 33-13

Position#1

Record9-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.9

Allowed / game74.9

NW Tasmania

Geelong 🏆

Position#7

Record8-3

FormLWWWL

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game81.5

NBL1 South

Other2021

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

71-74 OT

-3

H24/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

86-78

A01/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

#18

76-61

+15

A02/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

#16

87-69

+18

H08/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#12

100-78

100

+22

H15/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

#16

94-68

+26

A22/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

98-63

+35

A23/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

94-104

104

-10

H29/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

94-81

+13

H05/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

82-70

+12

H26/06

NBL1 South

14-14

14-18

21-21

18-14

17-17

25-20

24-21

20-20

26-13

14-15

19-13

17-20

17-21

20-19

28-17

22-12

29-22

22-27

25-13

24-16

21-17

25-23

33-14

15-14

26-18

17-12

25-20

30-13

28-23

17-20

22-26

27-35

23-26

23-29

21-13

27-13

24-16

17-10

17-28

162.8Avg total

88.2Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	87.9	74.9	162.8	+13.0	82%
Season at home (6)	88.0	79.3	167.3	+8.7	67%
Season away (5)	87.8	69.6	157.4	+18.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	74.6	162.8	+13.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	92.4	77.2	169.6	+15.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.3	91.6	171.9	-11.2	22%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	88.4	86.6	175.1	+1.8	57%
vs Weaker (7)	86.9	69.0	155.9	+17.9	86%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ringwood

#13

85-81

A24/04

NBL1 South

Waverley

81-79

H01/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#10

66-65

H08/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

95-99 OT

-4

A09/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#17

90-66

+24

H15/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

72-91

-19

H22/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

#18

101-76

101

+25

H26/06

NBL1 South

Eltham

#16

93-85

A26/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#12

116-78

116

+38

A27/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

96-109

109

-13

A02/07

NBL1 South

26-32

17-20

29-12

13-17

14-18

23-20

24-21

20-20

14-15

15-13

24-20

13-17

14-17

26-18

18-22

27-28

30-22

18-15

28-15

14-14

19-25

16-25

25-27

12-14

25-14

23-31

30-20

23-11

23-24

20-22

25-21

25-18

31-18

36-18

28-22

21-20

–

172.4Avg total

89.5Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	88.5	81.5	170.0	+6.9	73%
Season at home (5)	82.0	75.4	157.4	+6.6	80%
Season away (6)	93.8	86.7	180.5	+7.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	89.5	82.9	172.4	+6.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	95.6	87.8	183.4	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.8	84.0	153.8	-14.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	82.3	83.1	165.4	-0.8	57%
vs Weaker (12)	90.8	76.0	166.8	+14.8	100%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.5	41.9	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	19.6	42.8	+3.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.0	44.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.5	19.0	42.5	+4.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.4	17.3	39.7	+5.1	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.8	20.6	42.3	+1.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	20.6	46.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	19.5	40.6	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	69%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	58%	-

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

28-32

-4

H24/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

42-37

A01/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

#18

40-28

+12

A02/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

#16

37-40

-3

H08/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#12

51-49

H15/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

#16

46-40

A22/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

43-30

+13

A23/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

45-43

H29/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

46-55

-9

H05/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

48-32

+16

H26/06

NBL1 South

81.2Avg total

42.6Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.4	82.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	39.9	80.2	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	40.9	84.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	38.6	81.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	40.0	85.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.6	45.8	84.3	-7.2	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.6	39.1	82.7	+4.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.9	35.9	77.7	+6.0	71%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ringwood

#13

43-52

-9

A24/04

NBL1 South

Waverley

37-38

-1

H01/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#10

29-28

H08/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

40-35

A09/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#17

48-37

+11

H15/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

35-50

-15

H22/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

#18

48-45

H26/06

NBL1 South

Eltham

#16

43-46

-3

A26/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#12

67-36

+31

A27/06

NBL1 South

84.1Avg total

43.3Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.9	40.2	83.1	+2.7	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	39.9	83.5	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.3	40.8	84.1	+2.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	42.8	91.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	43.5	80.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.0	40.2	83.2	+2.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.8	39.2	84.1	+5.6	75%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	16.8	40.3	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	16.6	40.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	21.9	40.4	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.0	15.4	39.4	+8.6	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.9	41.4	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	25.7	20.0	45.7	+5.7	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	21.0	48.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (12)	25.9	16.8	42.8	+9.1	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.6	41.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	23.2	45.4	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.8	23.5	45.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.0	38.8	-1.3	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	17.7	36.3	+1.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.4	34.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	23%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	42.7	85.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	40.6	82.5	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	45.1	88.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	35.3	80.5	+9.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	37.2	84.0	+9.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.1	45.0	85.1	-4.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.5	46.5	90.0	-3.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.4	32.1	76.6	+12.3	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.3	38.7	79.0	+1.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.3	37.7	82.0	+6.7	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	36.4	82.6	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	40.5	73.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.5	39.8	77.3	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	45.9	36.8	82.7	+9.2	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
21/06/19	Geelong v NW Tasmania	79-74
01/06/19	NW Tasmania v Geelong	85-94
01/07/17	NW Tasmania v Geelong	85-92
26/05/17	Geelong v NW Tasmania	87-92
06/08/16	Geelong v NW Tasmania	93-74
23/07/16	NW Tasmania v Geelong	72-104
05/07/15	Geelong v NW Tasmania	86-76
18/04/15	NW Tasmania v Geelong	81-75

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/06/21	H	Bendigo Braves	82-70
05/06/21	H	Hobart Chargers	94-81
29/05/21	H	Mt Gambier	94-104
23/05/21	A	Kilsyth	98-63
22/05/21	A	Eltham	94-68
15/05/21	H	Diamond Valley	100-78
08/05/21	H	Eltham	87-69
02/05/21	A	Sandringham Sabres	76-61
01/05/21	A	Frankston	86-78
24/04/21	H	Ballarat	71-74 OT

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/21	A	Hobart Chargers	96-109
27/06/21	A	Diamond Valley	116-78
26/06/21	A	Eltham	93-85
26/06/21	H	Sandringham Sabres	101-76
22/05/21	H	Frankston	72-91
15/05/21	H	Melbourne Tigers	90-66
09/05/21	A	Waverley	95-99 OT
08/05/21	H	Nunawading	66-65
01/05/21	H	Waverley	81-79
24/04/21	A	Ringwood	85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

NBL1 South 2021

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	82%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	82%	67%	100%
Points / game	87.9	88.0	87.8
Allowed / game	74.9	79.3	69.6
Point differential	+13.0	+8.7	+18.2
Avg total	162.8	167.3	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	67%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

Geelong

NBL1 South 2021

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	73%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	WLWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	80%	67%
Points / game	88.5	82.0	93.8
Allowed / game	81.5	75.4	86.7
Point differential	+6.9	+6.6	+7.2
Avg total	170.0	157.4	180.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	40%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	NW Tasmania	11	9	2	82%	87.9	74.9	+13.0
2	Frankston	10	8	2	80%	98.6	82.9	+15.7
3	Geelong	11	8	3	73%	88.5	81.5	+6.9
4	Mt Gambier	9	6	3	67%	100.9	94.0	+6.9
5	Hobart Chargers	12	8	4	67%	94.8	88.3	+6.5
6	Waverley	9	6	3	67%	86.6	81.9	+4.7
7	Kilsyth	9	6	3	67%	72.9	73.6	-0.7
8	Nunawading	9	5	4	56%	84.0	73.3	+10.7
9	Ringwood	9	5	4	56%	85.8	82.8	+3.0
10	Bendigo Braves	11	6	5	55%	87.2	89.0	-1.8
11	Diamond Valley	10	5	5	50%	87.6	88.1	-0.5
12	Ballarat	9	4	5	44%	78.2	78.9	-0.7
13	Knox	7	3	4	43%	79.0	85.6	-6.6
14	Dandenong	8	2	6	25%	87.2	94.4	-7.1
15	Eltham	10	2	8	20%	80.9	88.0	-7.1
16	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	10	2	8	20%	80.3	90.3	-10.0
17	Sandringham Sabres	9	1	8	11%	81.6	99.3	-17.8
18	Melbourne Tigers	11	1	10	9%	79.4	98.5	-19.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	20	8	9	33	70
Geelong	34	23	28	13	98

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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