PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga A· Estadio Dr.Luis Augusto Derna
On 17 November 2026 the Liga A matchup pits Obera TC against Atenas, with the Pythia model designating Obera TC as the favourite thanks to their 3-4 season record, 80.0 points per game and 83.1 allowed, and the fact that they have a 75% chance of winning the game. Obera TC's season to date shows a 3-4 record, 80.0 points per game, 83.1 allowed, and a 10th place league position, while their home form is 1-1 with 88.0 points scored and 84.0 allowed; their last five games include three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 95-92 victory over Gimnasia away on 9 November, a 98-84 win over Argentino at home on 5 November and a 78-73 win over San Lorenzo away on 18 October. Atenas, meanwhile, sits at 4-2 with 85.0 points per game, 83.0 allowed and a 5th place league position, and their road record is 1-1 with 84.0 points scored and 85.0 allowed; in their last five games they have one win and four losses, including a 71-99 loss to Goes away on 10 November, a 76-79 loss to Gimnasia at home on 3 November and a 73-109 loss to Larranaga away on 2 November. In head-to-head history the two teams have met ten times, Obera TC winning six and Atenas four, with Atenas' most recent win being an 82-78 victory on 19 April 2026. Pythia projects an 83-75 score, a total of 158.6 points, a 75% probability for Obera TC to win, a 25% probability for Atenas, and a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 80.0 | 83.1 | 163.1 | -3.1 | 43% |
| Season at home (2) | 88.0 | 84.0 | 172.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 76.8 | 82.8 | 159.6 | -6.0 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.4 | 84.0 | 162.4 | -5.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.8 | 83.8 | 169.6 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 84.0 | 94.0 | 178.0 | -10.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (19) | 80.2 | 81.1 | 161.3 | -0.9 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 85.0 | 78.8 | 163.8 | +6.2 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 85.9 | 82.3 | 168.1 | +3.6 | 71% |
| Season at home (5) | 86.6 | 81.2 | 167.8 | +5.4 | 80% |
| Season away (2) | 84.0 | 85.0 | 169.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.5 | 88.0 | 166.5 | -9.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 94.0 | 172.8 | -15.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 78.2 | 88.4 | 166.6 | -10.2 | 22% |
| vs Similar (5) | 82.2 | 78.6 | 160.8 | +3.6 | 80% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 81.4 | 81.0 | 162.4 | +0.4 | 57% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 40.7 | 81.6 | +0.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.6 | 39.4 | 80.0 | +1.2 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.1 | 42.1 | 83.1 | -1.0 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.6 | 42.8 | 81.4 | -4.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 41.2 | 86.0 | +3.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 37.0 | 44.5 | 81.5 | -7.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 39.5 | 40.8 | 80.3 | -1.4 | 37% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 44.6 | 39.7 | 84.2 | +4.9 | 78% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 43.4 | 83.1 | -3.8 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 38.7 | 43.6 | 82.2 | -4.9 | 19% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.8 | 43.3 | 84.1 | -2.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.4 | 47.7 | 85.1 | -10.3 | 10% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.8 | 51.4 | 86.2 | -16.6 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 40.3 | 45.1 | 85.3 | -4.8 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 37.2 | 39.6 | 76.8 | -2.4 | 20% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 39.9 | 42.0 | 81.9 | -2.1 | 43% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.4 | 19.6 | 54.4% | 39.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.0 | 7.8 | 32.6% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.3 | 12.6 | 72.7% | 12.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.2 | 20.6 | 54.4% | 41.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 7.7 | 32.6% | 23.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.8 | 10.4 | 72.7% | 10.4 |
Obera TC
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 | Obera TC v Atenas | 78-82 |
| 31/10/25 | Atenas v Obera TC | 65-79 |
| 17/05/25 | Atenas v Obera TC | 81-85 |
| 16/11/24 | Obera TC v Atenas | 98-76 |
| 02/04/23 | Atenas v Obera TC | 96-86 |
| 23/01/23 | Obera TC v Atenas | 68-59 |
| 20/03/22 | Atenas v Obera TC | 109-101 |
| 08/03/22 | Obera TC v Atenas | 80-70 |
| 27/09/21 | Atenas v Obera TC | 70-63 |
| 08/03/21 | Obera TC v Atenas | 71-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | A | Gimnasia | 95-92 OT |
| 06/11/26 | H | Argentino | 98-84 |
| 18/10/26 | A | San Lorenzo | 78-73 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Platense | 80-86 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Racing de Chivilcoy | 78-84 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Lanus | 58-67 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Boca Juniors | 73-96 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Boca Juniors | 78-86 |
| 11/05/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 80-102 |
| 09/05/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 66-70 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Penarol | 83-105 |
| 13/11/26 | H | San Lorenzo | 91-78 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Goes | 71-99 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Gimnasia | 76-79 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Larranaga | 73-109 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Racing de Chivilcoy | 95-94 OT |
| 31/10/26 | H | Aguada | 57-84 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Union Atletica | 82-73 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Lanus | 80-69 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Nacional | 77-90 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 43% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LLLWW | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| Win % | 43% | 50% | 40% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 88.0 | 76.8 |
| Allowed / game | 83.1 | 84.0 | 82.8 |
| Point differential | -3.1 | +4.0 | -6.0 |
| Avg total | 163.1 | 172.0 | 159.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | - | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 71% |
| Home | WWWLW | 80% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Win % | 71% | 80% | 50% |
| Points / game | 85.9 | 86.6 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.3 | 81.2 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | +3.6 | +5.4 | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 168.1 | 167.8 | 169.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 40% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 75% (4) | 67% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 20% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quimsa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 85.2 | 75.8 | +9.5 |
| 2 |  Penarol | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 80.1 | 77.5 | +2.6 |
| 3 |  Instituto de Cordoba | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 77.9 | 76.5 | +1.4 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 78.0 | 75.5 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Atenas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 85.9 | 82.3 | +3.6 |
| 6 |  Boca Juniors | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 89.5 | 83.2 | +6.2 |
| 7 |  Olimpico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 86.8 | 85.4 | +1.4 |
| 8 |  Argentino | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 77.9 | 79.5 | -1.6 |
| 9 |  Platense | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 79.6 | 80.1 | -0.6 |
| 10 | Obera TC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 83.1 | -3.1 |
| 11 |  Ferro | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 84.2 | 83.6 | +0.6 |
| 12 |  Lanus | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 78.5 | 79.3 | -0.7 |
| 13 |  Independiente de Oliva | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 92.0 | 89.0 | +3.0 |
| 14 |  Racing de Chivilcoy | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.4 | 82.8 | -3.3 |
| 15 |  La Union | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 78.2 | 83.2 | -5.0 |
| 16 |  Regatas | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.3 | 75.7 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  San Lorenzo | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 70.7 | 79.1 | -8.4 |
| 18 |  San Martin | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 81.6 | 87.4 | -5.9 |
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