Obera TC will host Independiente de Oliva in the Liga A on 18 November 2026, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as the two clubs sit in the middle of the standings. Obera TC's season record of 3-4 shows they have struggled to find consistency, averaging 80.0 points while allowing 83.1, and their home form is a 1-1 split with 88.0 points per game and 84.0 conceded. Their last five games include a 95-92 away win over Gimnasia, a 98-84 home victory against Argentino, and a 78-73 win over San Lorenzo, indicating a recent ability to edge close contests. Independiente de Oliva, 1-2 this season with 92.0 points per game and 89.0 allowed, has a 2-3 record over the last five, highlighted by an 108-93 home win over Lanus but also a 76-77 loss to Gimnasia. Their head-to-head history is dominated by Obera TC, who have won all eight meetings, most recently 104-96 on 20 March 2026. Pythia rates Obera TC as the favourite with a 52% chance of victory versus 48% for Independiente, projecting a tight 82-81 scoreline and a total of 163.2 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The model sees Obera TC covering the spread with a 52% probability. The game will hinge on whether Independiente can overturn Obera's historical advantage.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 80.0 | 83.1 | 163.1 | -3.1 | 43% |
| Season at home (2) | 88.0 | 84.0 | 172.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 76.8 | 82.8 | 159.6 | -6.0 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.4 | 84.0 | 162.4 | -5.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.8 | 83.8 | 169.6 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 84.0 | 94.0 | 178.0 | -10.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (19) | 80.2 | 81.1 | 161.3 | -0.9 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 85.0 | 78.8 | 163.8 | +6.2 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 92.0 | 89.0 | 181.0 | +3.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (3) | 92.0 | 89.0 | 181.0 | +3.0 | 33% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 81.7 | 81.5 | 163.2 | +0.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.2 | 82.8 | 167.0 | +1.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 102.0 | 110.0 | 212.0 | -8.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (22) | 84.3 | 86.5 | 170.7 | -2.2 | 41% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 92.1 | 85.6 | 177.7 | +6.6 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 40.7 | 81.6 | +0.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.6 | 39.4 | 80.0 | +1.2 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.1 | 42.1 | 83.1 | -1.0 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.6 | 42.8 | 81.4 | -4.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 41.2 | 86.0 | +3.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 37.0 | 44.5 | 81.5 | -7.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 39.5 | 40.8 | 80.3 | -1.4 | 37% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 44.6 | 39.7 | 84.2 | +4.9 | 78% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.5 | 43.3 | 87.7 | +1.2 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 46.3 | 42.7 | 88.9 | +3.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.7 | 43.9 | 86.5 | -1.2 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.7 | 40.6 | 84.3 | +3.1 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.4 | 41.2 | 87.6 | +5.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 44.0 | 37.0 | 81.0 | +7.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 44.6 | 43.8 | 88.5 | +0.8 | 45% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 44.0 | 42.4 | 86.4 | +1.6 | 43% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.4 | 19.6 | 54.4% | 39.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.0 | 7.8 | 32.6% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.3 | 12.6 | 72.7% | 12.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.9 | 20.0 | 54.4% | 40.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 8.0 | 32.6% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.3 | 16.0 | 72.7% | 16.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 | Obera TC v Independiente de Oliva | 104-96 OT |
| 01/11/25 | Independiente de Oliva v Obera TC | 83-84 |
| 16/05/25 | Independiente de Oliva v Obera TC | 84-93 |
| 12/11/24 | Obera TC v Independiente de Oliva | 83-81 |
| 22/03/24 | Obera TC v Independiente de Oliva | 85-77 |
| 28/01/24 | Independiente de Oliva v Obera TC | 78-85 |
| 16/12/22 | Independiente de Oliva v Obera TC | 65-74 |
| 13/10/22 | Obera TC v Independiente de Oliva | 71-66 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | A | Gimnasia | 95-92 OT |
| 06/11/26 | H | Argentino | 98-84 |
| 18/10/26 | A | San Lorenzo | 78-73 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Platense | 80-86 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Racing de Chivilcoy | 78-84 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Lanus | 58-67 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Boca Juniors | 73-96 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Boca Juniors | 78-86 |
| 11/05/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 80-102 |
| 09/05/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 66-70 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 43% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LLLWW | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| Win % | 43% | 50% | 40% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 88.0 | 76.8 |
| Allowed / game | 83.1 | 84.0 | 82.8 |
| Point differential | -3.1 | +4.0 | -6.0 |
| Avg total | 163.1 | 172.0 | 159.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | - | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 0% | 20% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 33% | 33% | - |
| Points / game | 92.0 | 92.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 89.0 | 89.0 | - |
| Point differential | +3.0 | +3.0 | - |
| Avg total | 181.0 | 181.0 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 33% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 33% | 33% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 85.2 | 75.8 | +9.5 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 80.1 | 77.5 | +2.6 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 77.9 | 76.5 | +1.4 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 78.0 | 75.5 | +2.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 85.9 | 82.3 | +3.6 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 89.5 | 83.2 | +6.2 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 86.8 | 85.4 | +1.4 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 77.9 | 79.5 | -1.6 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 79.6 | 80.1 | -0.6 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 83.1 | -3.1 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 84.2 | 83.6 | +0.6 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 78.5 | 79.3 | -0.7 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 92.0 | 89.0 | +3.0 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.4 | 82.8 | -3.3 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 78.2 | 83.2 | -5.0 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.3 | 75.7 | -2.4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 70.7 | 79.1 | -8.4 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 81.6 | 87.4 | -5.9 |
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