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Obera TC vs Independiente de Oliva Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:01
Projected 82-81
Projected total 163.2
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game83.1
Vs
52%
48%
■ OBER 52%■ INDE 48%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game89.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Dr.Luis Augusto Derna
Other2026-27
Meetings · Obera TC v Independiente de Oliva
18 Nov 2026
OBER v INDE
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
OBER104
INDE96
11 Nov 2024
OBER83
INDE81
21 Mar 2024
OBER85
INDE77
12 Oct 2022
OBER71
INDE66
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Obera TC will host Independiente de Oliva in the Liga A on 18 November 2026, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as the two clubs sit in the middle of the standings. Obera TC's season record of 3-4 shows they have struggled to find consistency, averaging 80.0 points while allowing 83.1, and their home form is a 1-1 split with 88.0 points per game and 84.0 conceded. Their last five games include a 95-92 away win over Gimnasia, a 98-84 home victory against Argentino, and a 78-73 win over San Lorenzo, indicating a recent ability to edge close contests. Independiente de Oliva, 1-2 this season with 92.0 points per game and 89.0 allowed, has a 2-3 record over the last five, highlighted by an 108-93 home win over Lanus but also a 76-77 loss to Gimnasia. Their head-to-head history is dominated by Obera TC, who have won all eight meetings, most recently 104-96 on 20 March 2026. Pythia rates Obera TC as the favourite with a 52% chance of victory versus 48% for Independiente, projecting a tight 82-81 scoreline and a total of 163.2 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The model sees Obera TC covering the spread with a 52% probability. The game will hinge on whether Independiente can overturn Obera's historical advantage.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obera TC win
51.9%fair 1.93
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva win
48.1%fair 2.08
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obera TCArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTC
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
66-70
66
70
-4
54avg 72
H09/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
80-102
80
102
-22
70avg 72
H11/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 72
A15/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
73-96
73
96
-23
62avg 72
A08/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
58-67
58
67
-9
51avg 72
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
78-84
78
84
-6
68avg 72
H14/10
Liga A
Platense
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
70avg 72
A16/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
A18/10
Liga A
Argentino
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
H06/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
18-20
20-17
17-13
16-22
19-19
21-32
24-29
23-25
14-23
18-13
23-25
21-26
11-30
21-21
20-19
14-12
15-25
14-12
15-18
23-17
22-27
18-19
15-21
17-21
24-20
25-24
14-21
21-18
25-26
17-14
15-15
20-15
30-29
23-21
25-19
24-16
18-17
18-24
20-23
162.4Avg total
78.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.083.1163.1-3.143%
Season at home (2)88.084.0172.0+4.050%
Season away (5)76.882.8159.6-6.040%
Last 10 (10)78.484.0162.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)85.883.8169.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)84.094.0178.0-10.050%
vs Similar (19)80.281.1161.3-0.947%
vs Weaker (9)85.078.8163.8+6.267%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
73avg 77
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 77
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 77
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
57avg 77
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 77
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
64avg 77
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 77
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 77
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 77
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
no box
H06/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
14-27
17-20
28-19
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
21-19
22-15
6-14
13-14
163.2Avg total
81.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.089.0181.0+3.033%
Season at home (3)92.089.0181.0+3.033%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.781.5163.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)84.282.8167.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (22)84.386.5170.7-2.241%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.185.6177.7+6.671%
This opponent (Obera TC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5
Over 151.5
75.5%
Under 151.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156.5
Over 156.5
65.0%
Under 156.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
53.2%
Under 161.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Obera TC total 75.5
Over 75.5
73.0%
Under 75.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Obera TC total 79.5
Over 79.5
58.8%
Under 79.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Obera TC total 83.5
Over 83.5
43.4%
Under 83.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Independiente de Oliva total 73
Over 73
79.7%
Under 73
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Independiente de Oliva total 77
Over 77
66.5%
Under 77
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Independiente de Oliva total 81
Over 81
51.0%
Under 81
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Obera TC -3
OBER -3
42.7%
INDE +3
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
OBER
No market prices yet.
INDE
No market prices yet.
Spread Obera TC 0
OBER 0
51.9%
INDE 0
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
OBER
No market prices yet.
INDE
No market prices yet.
Spread Obera TC +3
OBER +3
61.0%
INDE -3
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
OBER
No market prices yet.
INDE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
Obera TCIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Obera TCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H09/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H11/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A08/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Liga A
Platense
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A16/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/10
Liga A
Argentino
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H06/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A09/11
Liga A
81.4Avg total
38.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.781.6+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.639.480.0+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.183.1-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.881.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.286.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.044.581.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (19)39.540.880.3-1.437%-
vs Weaker (9)44.639.784.2+4.978%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Liga A
84.3Avg total
43.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.387.7+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.788.9+3.660%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.684.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.287.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (22)44.643.888.5+0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.042.486.4+1.643%-
This opponent (Obera TC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Obera TCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obera TC: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.6
51.0%
54.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.8
27.9%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.6
72.8%
72.7%12.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Obera TC
WWWLLLLLLL
Independiente de Oliva
LWLLWWLLWW
#10
League position
#13
-9.7
Net rating
-3.2
101.7
Offensive rating
107.5
111.5
Defensive rating
110.8
47.1%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.9%
3-point %
29.3%
51.1%
Assist %
43.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 107.5Defence111.5 · 110.8Shooting47.1% · 49.1%3-point %27.9% · 29.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Obera TC   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Obera TC wins
0
Independiente de Oliva wins
Obera TClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AGimnasia95-92 OT
06/11/26HArgentino98-84
18/10/26ASan Lorenzo78-73
16/10/26APlatense80-86
14/10/26HRacing de Chivilcoy78-84
09/10/26ALanus58-67
08/10/26ABoca Juniors73-96
15/05/26ABoca Juniors78-86
11/05/26HBoca Juniors80-102
09/05/26HBoca Juniors66-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HGimnasia76-77 OT
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92
01/05/26HLa Union83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obera TC
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW43%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game80.088.076.8
Allowed / game83.184.082.8
Point differential-3.1+4.0-6.0
Avg total163.1172.0159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLWL33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total181.0181.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %33%33%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol86275%80.177.5+2.6
3 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
4 Gimnasia118373%78.075.5+2.5
5 Atenas75271%85.982.3+3.6
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
8 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
9 Platense73443%79.680.1-0.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Ferro83538%84.283.6+0.6
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Independiente de Oliva31233%92.089.0+3.0
14 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
15 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
16 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
17 San Lorenzo72529%70.779.1-8.4
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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