Obera TC vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 90-81

18-23 20-24 31-14 21-20

Position#5

Record21-11

FormLWLLW

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game74.7

Obera TC 🏆

Penarol

Position#13

Record17-13

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game79.4

Liga ARound 6

Other2022-23

Meetings · Obera TC v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obera TC winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obera TC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

60-82

-22

A11/02

Torneo Super 20

Olimpico

77-74

A15/02

Liga A

Quimsa

61-99

-38

A17/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#17

95-63

+32

H20/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

64-85

-21

H05/03

Liga A

Platense

68-81

-13

H08/03

Liga A

Argentino

#16

89-88

A11/03

Liga A

Platense

78-80

-2

A13/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

76-81

-5

A16/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

100-88 OT

100

+12

H18/03

Liga A

21-21

14-17

14-33

11-11

19-23

17-12

21-23

20-16

18-21

20-20

12-28

11-30

22-20

27-16

17-10

29-17

14-19

14-21

20-22

16-23

12-13

16-20

19-23

21-25

20-18

24-20

30-23

15-27

15-20

18-21

18-18

27-21

16-18

20-25

19-18

21-20

18-16

22-23

22-20

21-24

158.9Avg total

76.8Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	76.2	74.7	150.8	+1.5	66%
Season at home (16)	77.3	71.1	148.4	+6.2	81%
Season away (16)	75.0	78.3	153.3	-3.3	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	82.1	158.9	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	83.6	165.8	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	99.0	160.0	-38.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	75.3	76.5	151.8	-1.2	55%
vs Weaker (8)	78.2	66.5	144.8	+11.8	88%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Urunday

#12

87-81

A03/03

Liga Uruguaya

Franca

84-91

-7

H06/03

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

78-92

-14

H07/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

93-97

-4

H11/03

Liga A

Franca

72-87

-15

A11/03

Champions League Americas

San Martin

#12

77-61

+16

H13/03

Liga A

Aguada

77-69

A16/03

Liga Uruguaya

Instituto de Cordoba

69-83

-14

H17/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#17

78-99

-21

A20/03

Liga A

Aguada

85-82

H20/03

Liga Uruguaya

21-24

20-20

27-19

19-18

19-25

19-23

20-26

26-17

23-20

15-20

16-26

24-26

19-21

25-20

23-24

26-32

22-20

14-17

21-29

15-21

20-14

21-14

24-21

12-12

23-19

13-19

20-16

21-15

17-22

19-9

24-26

9-26

20-19

16-21

26-25

16-34

18-24

24-25

18-16

25-17

164.2Avg total

80.0Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.2	79.4	160.6	+1.8	57%
Season at home (15)	80.4	79.4	159.8	+1.0	53%
Season away (15)	82.0	79.5	161.5	+2.5	60%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	84.2	164.2	-4.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	78.8	156.0	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	75.5	83.7	159.2	-8.3	36%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	85.1	84.4	169.5	+0.7	62%
vs Weaker (6)	91.5	82.0	173.5	+9.5	83%

This opponent (Obera TC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Obera TCPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.5	35.7	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.0	33.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	22.2	43.2	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.3	22.9	42.2	-3.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.8	17.9	35.8	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	20.5	41.8	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	17.5	37.4	+2.3	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-0.9	23%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	67%	-

Obera TCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

35-38

-3

A11/02

Torneo Super 20

Olimpico

36-35

A15/02

Liga A

Quimsa

38-41

-3

A17/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#17

49-36

+13

H20/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-40

-12

H05/03

Liga A

Platense

28-33

-5

H08/03

Liga A

Argentino

#16

44-38

A11/03

Liga A

Platense

33-41

-8

A13/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

36-43

-7

A16/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

40-39

H18/03

Liga A

75.1Avg total

36.7Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	35.7	72.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.8	35.9	71.7	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	35.5	72.7	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	38.4	75.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.8	75.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	35.8	35.2	71.0	+0.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.2	35.9	74.1	+2.4	62%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Urunday

#12

41-44

-3

A03/03

Liga Uruguaya

Franca

38-48

-10

H06/03

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

38-40

-2

H07/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

44-41

H11/03

Liga A

Franca

36-37

-1

A11/03

Champions League Americas

San Martin

#12

41-28

+13

H13/03

Liga A

Aguada

36-38

-2

A16/03

Liga Uruguaya

Instituto de Cordoba

36-31

H17/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#17

36-40

-4

A20/03

Liga A

Aguada

42-49

-7

H20/03

Liga Uruguaya

78.4Avg total

38.8Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	41.3	82.6	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.3	41.4	82.7	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.2	41.2	82.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	39.6	78.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.2	75.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.1	40.5	79.5	-1.4	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.6	43.0	84.6	-1.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.5	39.2	83.7	+5.3	67%	-

This opponent (Obera TC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	28.0	40.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.1	15.4	35.5	+4.8	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.5	42.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.8	44.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.4	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (6)	27.8	18.5	46.3	+9.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.7	37.5	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	30.0	41.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	35%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.9	15.2	35.1	+4.6	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	20.5	39.2	-1.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.9	21.5	38.4	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	24.3	43.5	-5.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	35.1	74.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	41.8	77.1	-6.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	43.2	81.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.8	86.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	58.0	81.0	-35.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.9	40.4	78.2	-2.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.0	30.6	70.6	+9.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	42.4	83.9	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	40.6	82.4	+1.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.4	43.7	85.1	-2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	44.6	85.8	-3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.4	43.3	79.6	-6.9	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.5	41.4	84.8	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.0	42.8	89.8	+4.2	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Obera TC wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/22	Penarol v Obera TC	68-71
10/03/22	Obera TC v Penarol	83-71
04/11/21	Penarol v Obera TC	68-86
11/02/21	Obera TC v Penarol	104-86
19/12/20	Penarol v Obera TC	74-68

Obera TClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	H	Obras Sanitarias	100-88 OT
16/03/23	A	Gimnasia	76-81
13/03/23	A	Platense	78-80
11/03/23	A	Argentino	89-88
08/03/23	H	Platense	68-81
05/03/23	H	Gimnasia	64-85
20/02/23	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	95-63
17/02/23	A	Quimsa	61-99
15/02/23	A	Olimpico	77-74
11/02/23	A	Gimnasia	60-82

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/23	H	Aguada	85-82
20/03/23	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	78-99
17/03/23	H	Instituto de Cordoba	69-83
16/03/23	A	Aguada	77-69
13/03/23	H	San Martin	77-61
11/03/23	A	Franca	72-87
11/03/23	H	Independiente de Oliva	93-97
07/03/23	H	Obras Sanitarias	78-92
06/03/23	H	Franca	84-91
03/03/23	A	Urunday	87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obera TC

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	66%
Home	WWLLW	81%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	66%	81%	50%
Points / game	76.2	77.3	75.0
Allowed / game	74.7	71.1	78.3
Point differential	+1.5	+6.2	-3.3
Avg total	150.8	148.4	153.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	100% (4)	50% (6)
Overtime %	9%	19%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	57%
Home	WLLWL	53%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	57%	53%	60%
Points / game	81.2	80.4	82.0
Allowed / game	79.4	79.4	79.5
Point differential	+1.8	+1.0	+2.5
Avg total	160.6	159.8	161.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	27%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	60% (5)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Instituto de Cordoba	28	23	5	82%	82.0	76.0	+5.9
2	Gimnasia	31	22	9	71%	83.7	77.9	+5.8
3	Quimsa	29	20	9	69%	86.5	77.1	+9.4
4	Obras Sanitarias	30	20	10	67%	83.6	79.2	+4.4
5	Obera TC	32	21	11	66%	76.2	74.7	+1.5
6	Olimpico	29	19	10	66%	83.6	77.2	+6.3
7	Platense	29	18	11	62%	81.0	79.0	+2.0
8	Boca Juniors	28	17	11	61%	82.7	79.3	+3.4
9	Penarol	30	17	13	57%	81.2	79.4	+1.8
10	Regatas	31	17	14	55%	77.8	77.8	-0.0
11	Independiente de Oliva	30	16	14	53%	79.4	77.9	+1.4
12	San Martin	29	15	14	52%	77.5	74.1	+3.4
13	La Union	30	14	16	47%	80.8	79.0	+1.8
14	Riachuelo	30	14	16	47%	81.1	84.2	-3.0
15	Ferro	30	13	17	43%	78.0	80.9	-2.9
16	Argentino	32	11	21	34%	74.2	78.9	-4.7
17	Comunicaciones Mercedes	29	8	21	28%	79.1	86.1	-7.0
18	Union De Santa Fe	32	7	25	22%	77.4	82.8	-5.4
19	San Lorenzo	30	6	24	20%	75.6	83.9	-8.3
20	Atenas	31	2	29	6%	74.4	88.5	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Obera TC	18	20	31	21	90
Penarol	23	24	14	20	81

← all games of the day

Obera TC vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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