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Obera TC vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-71
29-18 17-20 17-21 23-12
Position#3
Record21-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#12
Record15-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.6
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Dr.Luis Augusto Derna
Other2024-25
Meetings · Obera TC v Penarol
16 Apr 2026
OBER84
PENA81
04 May 2025
OBER86
PENA71
09 Oct 2023
OBER105
PENA71
21 Mar 2023
OBER90
PENA81
09 Mar 2022
OBER83
PENA71
11 Feb 2021
OBER104
PENA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obera TC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obera TCArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTC
Date
Competition
San Martin
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
67avg 74
H15/03
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
L
58-91
58
91
-33
48avg 74
A22/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 74
A24/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
L
79-82
79
82
-3
69avg 74
A26/03
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
75-66
75
66
+9
66avg 74
H30/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
69-62
69
62
+7
70avg 74
H03/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 74
A09/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
86-85
86
85
+1
76avg 74
A10/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
96-80
96
80
+16
93avg 74
H13/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
90-75
90
75
+15
84avg 74
H28/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
28-26
15-10
15-16
11-27
17-24
15-22
15-18
22-21
29-16
17-16
17-31
21-20
16-13
16-23
26-26
24-24
15-10
21-17
15-15
21-16
11-20
23-19
14-7
22-24
17-27
24-17
14-19
22-31
22-24
21-15
21-15
28-14
16-26
25-15
27-25
21-17
27-16
21-23
21-19
157.1Avg total
78.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.677.5159.1+4.064%
Season at home (17)85.274.9160.1+10.282%
Season away (16)77.880.3158.1-2.644%
Last 10 (10)78.978.2157.1+0.770%
Last 5 (5)83.677.8161.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.978.9156.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (18)83.877.5161.3+6.367%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#15
W
90-58
90
58
+32
93avg 67
H13/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
53avg 67
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 67
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
86-88
86
88
-2
71avg 67
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
81avg 67
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 67
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 67
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 67
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 67
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 67
A03/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
15-16
29-9
19-19
14-21
19-11
22-20
9-20
17-13
15-23
17-18
14-27
21-17
17-28
28-20
20-23
23-16
17-20
25-19
28-30
16-22
17-11
21-20
9-23
27-16
29-19
17-16
16-20
20-18
21-16
10-27
24-18
12-20
26-20
16-24
19-11
25-17
15-24
18-15
21-29
154.5Avg total
77.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.978.6158.5+1.244%
Season at home (16)81.974.8156.8+7.156%
Season away (18)78.182.1160.1-4.033%
Last 10 (10)77.577.0154.5+0.530%
Last 5 (5)75.877.2153.0-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.177.6155.6+0.543%
vs Weaker (14)82.678.0160.6+4.643%
This opponent (Obera TC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.1-4.1
Obera TCPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Obera TCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martin
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/03
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A22/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A24/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A26/03
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H30/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A10/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H28/04
Liga A
82.0Avg total
40.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.839.983.6+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)40.041.981.9-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.482.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.641.181.7-0.533%-
vs Weaker (18)42.940.683.6+2.361%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/05
Liga A
75.5Avg total
39.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.880.5+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.680.1+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.180.8-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.275.5+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.678.2+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.839.078.8+0.857%-
vs Weaker (14)42.740.683.4+2.157%-
This opponent (Obera TC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Obera TC wins
2
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Penarol v Obera TC78-97
11/04/24Penarol v Obera TC74-57
09/10/23Obera TC v Penarol105-71
22/03/23Obera TC v Penarol90-81
19/12/22Penarol v Obera TC68-71
10/03/22Obera TC v Penarol83-71
04/11/21Penarol v Obera TC68-86
11/02/21Obera TC v Penarol104-86
19/12/20Penarol v Obera TC74-68
Obera TClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25HObras Sanitarias90-75
13/04/25HUnion De Santa Fe96-80
10/04/25ASan Lorenzo86-85
09/04/25ABoca Juniors77-87
03/04/25HRegatas69-62
30/03/25HZarate75-66
26/03/25AOlimpico79-82
24/03/25AQuimsa85-84
22/03/25ARiachuelo58-91
15/03/25HSan Martin74-70
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AUnion De Santa Fe79-85
27/04/25HFerro73-75
25/04/25HPlatense75-79
10/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba89-71
05/04/25ASan Lorenzo63-76
03/04/25AObras Sanitarias93-85
02/04/25AGimnasia86-88
29/03/25HQuimsa63-81
21/03/25HBoca Juniors64-72
13/03/25HOlimpico90-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obera TC
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %64%82%44%
Points / game81.685.277.8
Allowed / game77.574.980.3
Point differential+4.0+10.2-2.6
Avg total159.1160.1158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%41%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game79.981.978.1
Allowed / game78.674.882.1
Point differential+1.2+7.1-4.0
Avg total158.5156.8160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors3225778%80.875.4+5.4
2 Instituto de Cordoba3122971%81.271.9+9.3
3 Quimsa36241267%87.477.8+9.6
4 Riachuelo33211264%81.977.1+4.8
5 Obera TC33211264%81.677.5+4.0
6 Obras Sanitarias34211362%82.679.9+2.8
7 Gimnasia34201459%83.678.2+5.4
8 Regatas34181653%79.179.9-0.8
9 Atenas36181850%78.880.5-1.7
10 San Martin37181949%74.573.4+1.1
11 Union De Santa Fe37181949%81.985.3-3.4
12 Ferro35171849%81.583.0-1.5
13 Penarol34151944%79.978.6+1.2
14 San Lorenzo34151944%76.979.9-3.0
15 Olimpico35152043%80.082.9-2.9
16 Independiente de Oliva35142140%85.887.5-1.7
17 Platense36142239%79.181.9-2.9
18 La Union34122235%83.685.5-1.9
19 Zarate34102429%73.482.8-9.4
20 Argentino3462818%72.285.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Obera TC2917172386
Penarol1820211271
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