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Ockelbo vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-75
15-24 27-21 20-12 22-18
Position#12
Record5-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#13
Record3-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game86.7
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ockelbo v Aros Basket
17 Jan 2026
OCKE84
AROS75
29 Mar 2025
OCKE85
AROS59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
59avg 66
H25/10
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
60-92
60
92
-32
47avg 66
A31/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 66
A02/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
81avg 66
H15/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
95avg 66
H29/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
68-86
68
86
-18
47avg 66
A06/12
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
L
55-57
55
57
-2
47avg 66
A13/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
53avg 66
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
73avg 66
A10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
69avg 66
A11/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
21-19
20-13
17-21
18-15
16-32
9-23
17-22
16-15
20-15
18-35
24-20
20-14
14-28
19-23
34-23
24-12
24-18
22-17
24-32
21-29
12-18
15-26
20-13
12-17
13-12
15-13
15-15
16-23
15-17
21-12
19-22
24-22
22-29
24-25
14-22
20-18
22-14
18-21
14-19
155.2Avg total
74.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.678.9153.6-4.336%
Season at home (6)78.576.2154.7+2.350%
Season away (8)71.881.0152.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)74.480.8155.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)70.477.4147.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.678.8157.3-0.244%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.975.3148.2-2.450%
vs Weaker (9)75.774.1149.8+1.667%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 72
A25/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
73-96
73
96
-23
67avg 72
A26/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
92-60
92
60
+32
90avg 72
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
49avg 72
H02/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 72
A15/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
99-86
99
86
+13
95avg 72
A22/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
90avg 72
H29/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 72
H06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
97-110 OT
97
110
-13
91avg 72
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 72
A20/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
17-20
21-21
18-21
12-29
22-18
20-27
19-22
15-18
32-16
23-9
22-17
14-30
6-12
21-11
23-21
21-23
20-23
15-17
21-22
29-28
27-16
20-24
23-18
12-26
34-26
16-26
29-18
18-20
22-17
10-26
30-24
18-23
25-28
25-18
24-23
15-20
21-28
29-24
18-25
170.0Avg total
82.9Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.386.7167.0-6.423%
Season at home (5)84.885.4170.2-0.620%
Season away (8)77.587.5165.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)82.987.1170.0-4.220%
Last 5 (5)90.095.2185.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.688.5168.1-8.921%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.676.1153.7+1.550%
vs Weaker (6)86.884.8171.7+2.067%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
OckelboAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/10
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A31/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H15/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H29/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/12
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A13/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/01
Superettan
75.6Avg total
36.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.574.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.433.973.3+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)37.138.775.8-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.175.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.875.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.037.976.9+1.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.837.073.8-0.242%-
vs Weaker (9)39.034.373.3+4.778%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A25/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
20-42
20
42
-22
H02/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A22/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A20/12
Superettan
83.6Avg total
39.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.282.9-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.041.482.4-0.433%-
Last 30 away (18)38.844.483.3-5.628%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.983.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.246.490.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.945.384.2-6.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.840.576.3-4.740%-
vs Weaker (6)48.043.091.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.515.6
41.6%
50.7%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.7
29.7%
30.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.816.3
68.5%
67.0%16.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.4
55.8%
50.7%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.2
26.8%
30.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.9%
67.0%13.7
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
WLLLLWLLLL
Aros Basket
LLLLWLLWLL
#12
League position
#13
-8.1
Net rating
-5.0
90.2
Offensive rating
97.9
98.3
Defensive rating
102.9
42.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
21.5%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.7%
3-point %
26.8%
63.4%
Assist %
65.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 97.9Defence98.3 · 102.9Shooting42.9% · 49.7%3-point %29.7% · 26.8%Ball care16.1% · 21.5%Off. rebounds25.8% · 29.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Ockelbo   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ockelbo wins
1
Aros Basket wins
DateGameScore
31/10/25Aros Basket v Ockelbo92-60
12/04/25Aros Basket v Ockelbo71-80
29/03/25Ockelbo v Aros Basket85-59
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AMalbas74-72
10/01/26AIK Eos84-98
20/12/25HSollentuna71-74
13/12/25ABlackeberg55-57
06/12/25ASollentuna68-86
29/11/25HTrelleborg94-79
15/11/25HHuddinge87-88
02/11/25AFryshuset Basket78-85
31/10/25AAros Basket60-92
25/10/25HAlvik73-77
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AHuddinge83-97
13/12/25HHuddinge97-110 OT
06/12/25HAlvik80-87
29/11/25HFryshuset Basket91-96
22/11/25ABlackeberg99-86
15/11/25AEskilstuna77-85
02/11/25HWetterbygden Stars64-74
31/10/25HOckelbo92-60
26/10/25AIK Eos73-96
25/10/25AMalbas73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%50%25%
Points / game74.678.571.8
Allowed / game78.976.281.0
Point differential-4.3+2.3-9.2
Avg total153.6154.7152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %23%20%25%
Points / game80.384.877.5
Allowed / game86.785.487.5
Point differential-6.4-0.6-10.0
Avg total167.0170.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket1715288%86.678.7+7.9
2 Wetterbygden Stars149564%78.177.6+0.5
3 Djurgarden159660%81.676.6+5.0
4 Malbas127558%83.378.2+5.1
5 Sollentuna148657%78.474.8+3.6
6 Huddinge169756%86.886.2+0.5
7 Alvik169756%78.479.6-1.2
8 Eskilstuna137654%85.784.9+0.8
9 IK Eos167944%81.979.7+2.2
10 Trelleborg135838%80.283.8-3.7
11 Ockelbo145936%74.678.9-4.3
12 AIK Basket123925%75.377.5-2.2
13 Aros Basket1331023%80.386.7-6.4
14 Blackeberg1331023%73.885.1-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo1527202284
Aros Basket2421121875
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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