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Ockelbo vs Djurgarden Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 79-80
Projected total 158.6
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game83.3
Vs
45%
55%
■ OCKE 45%■ DJUR 55%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record4-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game86.0
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ockelbo v Djurgarden
21 Nov 2026
OCKE v DJUR
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
OCKE70
DJUR68
21 Dec 2024
OCKE83
DJUR71
06 Mar 2024
OCKE80
DJUR62
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Ockelbo host Djurgarden in the Superettan. Pythia makes Djurgarden the favourite at 55% and projects 79-80, about 159 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Ockelbo are 3-7 this season (70.8 scored, 83.3 allowed a game), form LWLLL; Djurgarden are 4-6 this season (78.8 scored, 86.0 allowed a game), form WLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo win
45.5%fair 2.20
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden win
54.5%fair 1.83
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Alvik
#3
L
59-127
59
127
-68
41avg 64
A19/09
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
94-75
94
75
+19
86avg 64
A26/09
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
64avg 64
A03/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 64
A04/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
64avg 64
H10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 64
H24/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 64
H31/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
48avg 64
H01/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
58-70
58
70
-12
no box
H07/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
64-97
64
97
-33
no box
A14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
16-35
12-36
11-23
16-20
22-19
28-12
28-24
22-18
15-16
23-18
13-19
14-21
29-27
14-18
14-24
15-18
17-17
16-24
21-21
15-20
23-13
20-28
17-15
17-21
25-12
26-15
12-21
13-20
18-26
20-20
14-12
21-22
17-24
10-11
10-13
18-28
18-24
15-20
13-25
154.1Avg total
70.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.883.3154.1-12.530%
Season at home (5)69.474.6144.0-5.220%
Season away (5)72.292.0164.2-19.840%
Last 10 (10)70.883.3154.1-12.530%
Last 5 (5)68.478.0146.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.685.5158.1-12.916%
vs Similar (8)78.177.1155.2+1.050%
vs Weaker (3)73.763.0136.7+10.767%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
53avg 75
H21/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
76-101
76
101
-25
60avg 75
A26/09
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
63avg 75
A04/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
83-71
83
71
+12
71avg 75
H11/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
62avg 75
A21/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 75
H24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
H01/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
no box
A08/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H15/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
15-15
9-18
19-31
24-27
18-36
14-21
20-17
19-25
19-24
15-17
25-21
21-15
23-17
17-21
22-18
16-23
25-14
14-26
13-24
28-20
26-23
16-19
20-24
15-13
29-29
22-30
18-28
19-31
13-20
30-23
26-17
13-20
25-20
23-19
13-15
19-18
14-23
20-16
23-10
164.8Avg total
78.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.886.0164.8-7.240%
Season at home (5)79.083.4162.4-4.460%
Season away (5)78.688.6167.2-10.020%
Last 10 (10)78.886.0164.8-7.240%
Last 5 (5)84.284.2168.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.889.0166.8-11.225%
vs Similar (3)92.389.0181.3+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.977.3163.2+8.674%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
51.9%
Under 157.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
40.0%
Under 162.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
29.1%
Under 167.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ockelbo total 78.5
Over 78.5
50.3%
Under 78.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ockelbo total 82.5
Over 82.5
35.3%
Under 82.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ockelbo total 86.5
Over 86.5
22.4%
Under 86.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Djurgarden total 76
Over 76
65.3%
Under 76
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Djurgarden total 80
Over 80
49.6%
Under 80
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Djurgarden total 84
Over 84
34.0%
Under 84
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ockelbo -3
OCKE -3
36.4%
DJUR +3
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
No market prices yet.
DJUR
No market prices yet.
Spread Ockelbo 0
OCKE 0
45.5%
DJUR 0
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
No market prices yet.
DJUR
No market prices yet.
Spread Ockelbo +3
OCKE +3
54.6%
DJUR -3
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
OCKE
No market prices yet.
DJUR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
OckelboDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#3
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A19/09
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/09
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H24/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H01/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A14/11
Superettan
80.5Avg total
37.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.478.5-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.238.376.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.680.5-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.480.5-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.943.181.0-5.226%-
vs Similar (8)40.137.978.0+2.262%-
vs Weaker (3)33.330.363.7+3.033%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H21/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A26/09
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A04/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H15/11
Superettan
84.2Avg total
40.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.782.4-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.780.5+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.643.784.3-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.284.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.846.286.0-6.538%-
vs Similar (3)40.746.086.7-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.139.280.2+1.947%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.6
51.4%
50.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.75.1
21.5%
29.5%15.3
🏀 Free throws23.314.5
62.2%
65.7%14.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.1
48.5%
50.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.3
30.4%
29.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.115.0
62.2%
65.7%15.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
LLLWLLLWWL
Djurgarden
WWLLWLWLLL
#12
League position
#11
-7.8
Net rating
-5.1
79.6
Offensive rating
84.5
87.4
Defensive rating
89.6
44.5%
Effective FG%
47.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
21.5%
3-point %
30.4%
61.8%
Assist %
50.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence79.6 · 84.5Defence87.4 · 89.6Shooting44.5% · 47.5%3-point %21.5% · 30.4%Ball care17.6% · 16.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Ockelbo   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ockelbo wins
3
Djurgarden wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Djurgarden v Ockelbo82-76
11/10/25Ockelbo v Djurgarden70-68
21/12/24Ockelbo v Djurgarden83-71
27/11/24Djurgarden v Ockelbo91-88 OT
06/03/24Ockelbo v Djurgarden80-62
14/10/23Djurgarden v Ockelbo79-66
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFryshuset Basket64-97
07/11/26HTrelleborg58-70
01/11/26HAlvik65-78
31/10/26HMalbas80-69
24/10/26HHuddinge75-76
10/10/26HNorrort69-80
04/10/26AIK Eos71-90
03/10/26AMalbas73-71
26/09/26ACross Over94-75
19/09/26AAlvik59-127
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HIK Eos76-67
08/11/26AMalbas83-77 OT
07/11/26AIK Eos88-91
01/11/26HSollentuna84-100
24/10/26HFryshuset Basket90-86
21/10/26AAlvik68-87
11/10/26HCross Over83-71
04/10/26ANorrort78-87
26/09/26AEskilstuna76-101
21/09/26HAIK Basket62-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game70.869.472.2
Allowed / game83.374.692.0
Point differential-12.5-5.2-19.8
Avg total154.1144.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game78.879.078.6
Allowed / game86.083.488.6
Point differential-7.2-4.4-10.0
Avg total164.8162.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik108280%95.674.5+21.1
4 IK Eos85362%88.174.8+13.4
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden104640%78.886.0-7.2
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over110110%69.395.7-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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